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In this chapter, possible limitations of the hypothesis-testing approaches to the philosophy of science are outlined, in particular, that the theory-dependence of observations is a problem for falsificationism as well as for empiricism. How can we falsify a hypothesis by observations counter to predictions from the hypothesis if observations are fallible? The related Duhem-Quine problem is introduced: the design of experiments is invariably dependent on a number of theoretical assumptions, so a negative outcome may imply that the hypothesis is wrong but could just as well imply that any of the assumptions are wrong. The important role of confirmation of hypotheses, rather than falsification, is introduced, as well as the problem of how scientific progress can work in light of falsificationism - can science really progress by just proving ideas wrong? The problems are summed up, leading to Feyerabend’s general critique of the scientific method. The strong lasting influence of falsificationism on science today is acknowledged, and the alternative approach of Bayesianism is introduced.
Sea cucumber fisheries have continued to expand during the past decade at a fast rate, despite the predictable drop during the COVID-19 period. The exploitations are now qualified as ‘serial’ and ‘contagious’. The most recent trends are shown through the analysis of Food and Agriculture Organization’s capture data, collected from different countries and territories. The mean captures per year, in fresh weight, are over 90.103 tonnes. The mean trade data for years 2019–2021 are given by category of commodities, which complicates the trade analysis. The imports, in quantity and value, show the usual importance of China and Hong Kong, and now of Saudi Arabia. The exports show the importance of the frozen products from Canada. The statistics from Hong Kong in quantities and values (for imports and re-exports) are analysed for the past decade. Globally, catches have increased in comparison to previous studies, with new countries and territories developing export fisheries, new species targeted from new regions, and new products traded. The continued growth and expansion of the global sea cucumber trade is alarming as the sustainability of many species-specific fisheries remains of great concern. Stronger conservation measures, and their implementation, at national, regional, and international levels, are required to effectively protect biodiversity, promote sustainable resource use, and address the escalating impacts of the increasing exploitation efforts.
This chapter introduces philosophies of science based on the notion that science functions within structures of theories, where some theories are fundamental and protected from falsification. A short piece of fiction illustrates this notion. Building on this story, Kuhn’s paradigms are introduced, including the concepts of scientific revolutions, paradigm shifts and incommensurability between paradigms. Some problematic aspects of paradigms are mentioned, such as the seeming lack of real scientific revolutions historically and whether progress and preservation of knowledge in science are really possible given the incommensurability between paradigms that replace each other. It is acknowledged that paradigm thinking has had a strong lasting role both within science and in society, but not always in a way Kuhn would have recognised. Lakatos’ research programmes are introduced as a similar but different approach, and the ‘new experimentalism’ is mentioned as a quite different way of dealing with theory-dependence and theory structures in science.
A description is given of the academic career and how it fosters the ‘competent researchers’ who can influence the search for a consensus. Problems with unequal opportunities to reach such positions are mentioned, as well as the role of scientific institutions and the ‘invisible college’ of connected researchers at different institutions. The concept of academic freedom is introduced and defended. A description and discussion are given of funding opportunities, grant applications and associated problems such as directed calls limiting academic freedom and curiosity-driven research. Various ethical concerns in science are introduced, along with a discussion of how they relate to the web of trust. The role of science in society is discussed, along with problems associated with ‘following the science’ given how science actually works, and how scientists can still make scientific results more accessible and actionable for decision-makers.
This chapter contains a first formulation of the question ‘What is science?’, followed by a brief treatment of realism vs. antirealism and an introduction to how observations can be made more trustworthy. The theory-dependence of ‘facts’ and the resulting fallibility of observations are introduced - how scientific findings can turn out to be wrong. A first brief treatment of how science is used and misused in society is also included as a stepping stone to why some understanding of the philosophy of science matters to everybody.
Turbulence subject to axisymmetric expansion is experimentally investigated using opposed multiple-jet arrays. For each array, jet interaction generates decaying, nearly homogeneous and isotropic turbulence within a duct. The turbulent flows from the opposed arrays collide and spread radially, forming a mean-flow stagnation point with associated mean strain. Flow properties are examined using particle image velocimetry. The mean velocity gradient tensor, $\mathsf{A}_{\textit{ij}} = \partial \langle u_i \rangle / \partial x_{\!j}$, satisfies $\mathsf{A}_{\textit{xx}} : \mathsf{A}_{\textit{yy}} : \mathsf{A}_{zz} = -2 : 1 : 1$ with $\mathsf{A}_{\textit{xx}} \lt 0$, indicating axisymmetric expansion. Turbulence is strongly influenced by this expansion, becoming increasingly anisotropic towards the stagnation point, suggesting a cumulative effect of mean strain. The ratios of streamwise to transverse root-mean-square velocity fluctuations, $u_{\textit{rms}}/v_{\textit{rms}}$, and of their integral scales both increase relative to an isotropic state, consistent with rapid distortion theory (RDT). However, because the strain time scale is comparable to that of large-scale motions, deviations from RDT arise, including larger $u_{\textit{rms}}/v_{\textit{rms}}$ values and a steeper decay of energy spectra in the inertial subrange than the $-5/3$ law. The spectral slope change is opposite to that reported for axisymmetric contraction, suggesting a common mechanism for spectral modification in both strain types, since both are described by the same tensor form with opposite signs of $\mathsf{A}_{\textit{ij}}$. Consistently, the scaling exponents of velocity structure functions differ from predictions based on Kolmogorov’s second similarity hypothesis, even for low-order functions. These results confirm that axisymmetric mean strain significantly modifies turbulence properties, some of which are considered universal for other turbulent flows.
This chapter introduces falsificationism - a philosophy of science based on the notion that science is based on critical testing of hypotheses about how the world is. A short piece of fiction is first used to illustrate this idea. Building on this story, hypothesis-testing is introduced as a general method, and in particular Karl Popper’s falsificationism. Popper’s claim that logic supports falsification rather than generalisation is introduced. It is outlined how falsificationism may be superior to at least naive empiricism as a philosophy of science. It provides a shift in perspective; theory now precedes observations rather than the opposite. The concept of falsifiability and degrees of falsifiability (how falsificationism rewards clarity and precision) are introduced. The role of predictions, and how hypothesis-testing rather than empiricism addresses causality and explains change, is discussed, as well as why ad hoc hypotheses that are not independently testable should be avoided according to Popper.
We report the results of radiocarbon dating performed at the ETH laboratory on soft tissue of the mummified body found in September 1991 on the Hauslabjoch in the Ötztaler Alps (near the Similaun Mountain), South Tyrol. Over the past three decades, additional analyses of the sample, which had been stored frozen in a glass jar, have improved the precision of the first published radiocarbon ages. The frozen jar and the story of a mummified body found in the Alps fascinated visitors to the laboratory, mostly primary and high-school students. As part of educational projects, 11 samples were prepared and analyzed, yielding a combined radiocarbon age of 4525 ± 7 BP. This agreement with 4550 ± 27 BP, i.e., the very first results by Bonani et al. (1994), highlights the quality of the analysis performed decades ago. The combined age of all the 14C ages measured at the ETH laboratory is 4527 ± 7 BP.
Sustainability transformations necessitate systemic changes that simultaneously respect planetary boundaries and promote social equity. This article presents a conceptual framework that links sociometabolic stress with the principles of strong sustainability. The framework enables the assessment of long-term social and environmental impacts of sustainability-oriented activities, considering both planetary thresholds and societal needs. The applicability of developed framework is illustrated through an exemplar analysis of the impacts and benefits associated with increased adoption of electric vehicles. Beyond offering a novel analytical lens, the proposed approach also invites reflection on the societal necessity and diversity of such activities.
Technical summary
This article introduces a conceptual framework linking sociometabolic stress to strong sustainability, providing a novel approach for assessing the transformative potential of sustainability-oriented activities. Sociometabolic stress is defined as the socio-ecological cost of provisioning societal services, such as transport and energy, relative to their societal benefits. The framework distinguishes between strong and weak sustainability by evaluating activities based on their capacity to reduce sociometabolic stress and ensure social equity. Strong sustainability is characterized by long-term conservation of critical natural capital and promotion of human well-being. Weak sustainability, in turn, assumes that human-made capital can substitute natural capital – a premise that risks long-term integrity of Earth's life-support systems. The framework integrates insights from social metabolism theory and the scaling of planetary boundaries to assess activities across two dimensions: societal need and socio-ecological cost. An example assessment from the transport sector demonstrates the framework's utility in evaluating whether increased electric vehicle adoption constitutes a strongly sustainable transformation. This article argues that reduced sociometabolic stress is a key indicator of strong sustainability and calls for its integration into sustainability assessments. This approach enables researchers and practitioners to better estimate the transformative potential of different activities, which thus supports societal planning.
Social media summary
A new societal transformation framework allows consideration between strong and weak sustainability activities.
Two Late Ordovician cornulitid species, Cornulites richmondensis (Miller, 1874) and Cornulites hemistriatus new species, from the Ellis Bay and Vaureal formations of Anticosti Island, eastern Canada, are each shown in this study to have a thick, punctate, cross-bladed lamellar, calcitic conch wall, a crested fold, a septate juvenile part, and endoconic chamber deposit. These Late Ordovician, free-living (i.e., nonencrusting) forms of Cornulites Schlotheim, 1820 have characters intermediate between Cornulites and the late Silurian-Devonian forms of Tentaculites Schlotheim, 1820, particularly by having incipient inner layers and poorly fused annuli, but lacking cornulitid-type vesicular microstructures. The described cornulitids are similar to brachiopods in their cross-bladed lamellae and pseudopunctae, but their lamellar layers are considerably finer and much less distinct than those of brachiopod shells.
This study presents a comprehensive systematic analysis of a cold-water brachiopod fauna from the upper Cisuralian (lower Permian) Kharnuden Formation, exposed at the Hovsugol section in southeastern Mongolia. Taxonomic investigation identifies 40 species belonging to 28 genera, including three newly described taxa: Paramarginifera pentagona n. sp., Linoproductus planiconvexus n. sp., and Jilinmartinia hovsugolensis n. sp. Biostratigraphic evidence tentatively indicates a Kungurian age, with possible extension down into the Artinskian. The assemblage likely originated along the southern margin of the Siberian Craton, within the Paleo-Asian Ocean (PAO). The fauna exhibits strong biogeographic affinities with contemporaneous faunas from the Beishan orogenic belt (northwestern China), Inner Mongolia, South Primorye (Russia), and selected Japanese terranes, yet differs significantly from assemblages in Transbaikal and central-northeastern Mongolia. These contrasts support the presence of the Sino-Mongolian Seaway—a transitional marine corridor within the closing PAO. The fauna is characterized by elements of the northern Boreal biogeographic realm, with a dominance of cold-adapted and endemic taxa and a complete absence of paleotropical elements. Associated paleoecological indicators suggest the influence of cool-temperate conditions at a relatively high-latitude paleogeographic position as well as geographic isolation. This paleobiogeographic pattern sheds light on the responses of Permian marine ecosystems to plate convergence, latitudinal climate gradients, and oceanic current reorganization during the final stages of the PAO closure.
Underground gas storage is a critical technology in global efforts to mitigate climate change. In particular, hydrogen storage offers a promising solution for integrating renewable energy into the power grid. When injected into the subsurface, hydrogen’s low viscosity compared with the resident brine causes a bubble of hydrogen trapped beneath caprock to spread rapidly into an aquifer through release of a thin gas layer above the brine, complicating recovery. In long aquifers, the large viscous pressure drop between source and outlet induces significant pressure variations, potentially leading to substantial density changes in the injected gas. To examine the role of gas compressibility in the spreading dynamics, we use long-wave theory to derive coupled nonlinear evolution equations for the gas pressure and gas/liquid interface height, focusing on the limit of long domains, weak gas compressibility and low gas/liquid viscosity ratio. Simulations are supplemented with a comprehensive asymptotic analysis of parameter regimes. Unlike the near-incompressible limit, in which gas spreading rates are dictated by the source strength and viscosity ratio, and compressive effects are transient, we show how compression of the main gas bubble can generate dynamic pressure changes that are coupled to those in the thin gas layer that spreads over the liquid, with compressive effects having a sustained influence along the layer. This coupling allows compressibility to reduce spreading rates and gas pressures. We characterise this behaviour via a set of low-order models that reveal dominant scalings, highlighting the role of compressibility in mediating the evolution of the gas layer.
This study reports the first record of Caprella moradi Momtazi, Sari & Darvish, 2020 from India. The specimens for this study were collected from Diu and Veraval coast of Gujarat State, India. Caprella moradi can be identified by the presence of four rows of small setae on body surface, curved anterior margin of male gnathopod 2 propodus and unequal size of gills 3 and 4. Caprella moradi can be differentiated from its close congener Caprella danilevskii; Czerniavski, 1868 by these consistent morphological characters. Examination of materials collected from Gujarat and their comparison with published figures indicates that the previous report of C. danilevskii from India actually corresponds to C. moradi.
In this study, we investigate the transition from laminar to turbulent flow in boundary layers within nozzles used as standard flow meters. Experiments are conducted to analyse the effects of surface roughness, the radius of curvature at the nozzle throat and the level of free stream turbulence. The results indicate that, for industrial nozzles with standard roughness levels, surface roughness does not significantly influence the transition process. Additionally, tests on three different nozzles reveal that a smaller throat radius corresponds to a higher Reynolds number at the transition point. To understand this behaviour, we develop a theoretical model where the laminar boundary layer profiles are derived using an analytical formulation that accounts for compressibility and favourable pressure gradients in these nozzles. The stability characteristics of this boundary layer are examined within the framework of linear stability theory, assuming parallel flow. Since Tollmien–Schlichting waves are stabilised by the favourable pressure gradient, a spatial transient growth analysis is employed to explore the role of bypass mechanisms. Similar to the flat-plate boundary layer case, the optimal perturbations are identified as streaks. Due to the nozzle wall’s convex curvature, the highest growth is observed at low but non-zero frequencies, leading to unsteady streak formation. A transition model, based on the N-factor of optimal unsteady streaks, is used to estimate the onset of transition. This model successfully reproduces the experimentally observed effects of curvature and can be used to optimise the design of mass-flow-meter nozzles. Finally, the critical roughness size required to trigger a roughness-induced transition is estimated theoretically and compared with experimental observations. The impact of distributed roughness on transition is examined in relation to stability theory, showing that the tested roughness levels are ineffective in triggering transient growth mechanisms.
What if we don't need 'miracle technologies' to solve the climate problem? What if the technologies we need are already available? And what if we can use those existing technologies to ensure reliable electricity, heat supplies, and energy security? In a revised and updated edition of his award-winning climate bestseller, No Miracles Needed, the world's premier thinker on energy futures and one of the world's 100 most impactful people in the world in 2023, Mark Z. Jacobson reveals how nations, communities, and individuals can solve the climate crisis most effectively, while simultaneously eliminating air pollution and providing energy security. Mark explains how existing technologies can harness, store, and transmit energy from wind, water, and solar sources to ensure reliable electricity and heat supplies. It includes new, cutting-edge technologies, additional new real-life case studies about the solutions, and additional references. Written for everyone who cares about the future of our planet, this book advises individuals, policymakers, communities, and nations about what they can do to solve the problems identified, and the economic, health, and climate benefits of the solutions.