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In this paper we use a simple transient Markov process with an absorbing point to investigate the qualitative behavior of a large-scale storage network of nonreliable file servers across which files can be duplicated. When the size of the system goes to ∞, we show that there is a critical value for the maximum number of files per server such that, below this quantity, most files have a maximum number of copies. Above this value, the network loses a significant number of files until some equilibrium is reached. When the network is stable, we show that, with convenient time scales, the evolution of the network towards the absorbing state can be described via a stochastic averaging principle.
In the present paper, results given in Natvig (1990) are generalized to a multistate, strongly coherent, nonrepairable system of independent components by considering the reduction in remaining system time above a certain state due to a jump downwards of a component. This reduction also equals the increase in remaining system time above a certain state due to a minimal repair of the component at its time of jump downwards. The expected value of the sum of such reductions/increases for the different possible jumps downwards of the component is the building block of the Natvig measure of the importance of the component in the multistate case. Hence, the whole distributions of these reductions/increases are arrived at, not only the expectations, throwing more light on the consequences for the system of the deterioration of the components.
The idea of the system signature is extended here to the case of ordered system lifetimes arising from a test of coherent systems with a signature. An expression is given for the computation of the ordered system signatures in terms of the usual system signature for system lifetimes. Some properties of the ordered system signatures are then established. Closed-form expressions for the ordered system signatures are obtained in some special cases, and some illustrative examples are presented.
Suppose that a system consists of n independent and identically distributed components and that the life lengths of the n components are Xi, i = 1, …, n. For k ∈ {1, …, n - 1}, let X(k)1, …, X(k)n-k be the residual life lengths of the live components following the kth failure in the system. In this paper we extend various stochastic ordering results presented in Bairamov and Arnold (2008) on the residual life lengths of the live components in an (n - k + 1)-out-of-n system, and also present a new result concerning the multivariate stochastic ordering of live components in the two-sample situation. Finally, we also characterize exponential distributions under a weaker condition than those introduced in Bairamov and Arnold (2008) and show that some special ageing properties of the original residual life lengths get preserved by residual life lengths.
In the present paper, we study the evolution of an overloaded cyclic polling model that starts empty. Exploiting a connection with multitype branching processes, we derive fluid asymptotics for the joint queue length process. Under passage to the fluid dynamics, the server switches between the queues infinitely many times in any finite time interval causing frequent oscillatory behavior of the fluid limit in the neighborhood of zero. Moreover, the fluid limit is random. In addition, we suggest a method that establishes finiteness of moments of the busy period in an M/G/1 queue.
We propose an estimator for the cumulative distribution function G of the sojourn time in a steady-state M/G/∞ queueing system, when the available data consists of the arrival and departure epochs alone, without knowing which arrival corresponds to which departure. The estimator generalizes an estimator proposed in Brown (1970), and is based on a functional relationship between G and the distribution function of the time between a departure and the rth latest arrival preceding it. The estimator is shown to outperform Brown's estimator, especially when the system is heavily loaded.
A continuously monitored system is considered, which is subject to accumulating deterioration modelled as a gamma process. The system fails when its degradation level exceeds a limit threshold. At failure, a delayed replacement is performed. To shorten the down period, a condition-based maintenance strategy is applied, with imperfect repair. Mimicking virtual age models used for recurrent events, imperfect repair actions are assumed to lower the system degradation through a first-order arithmetic reduction of age model. Under these assumptions, Markov renewal equations are obtained for several reliability indicators. Numerical examples illustrate the behaviour of the system.
We consider partial customer flexibility in service systems under two different designs. In the first design, flexible customers have their own queue and each server has its own queue of dedicated customers. Under this model, the problem is a scheduling problem and we show under various settings that the dedicated customers first (DCF) policy is optimal. In the second design, flexible customers are not queued separately and must be routed to one of the server's dedicated queues upon arrival. We extend earlier results about the ‘join the smallest work (JSW)’ policy to systems with dedicated as well as flexible arrivals. We compare these models to a routeing model in which only the queue length is available in terms of both efficiency and fairness and argue that the overall best approach for call centers is JSW routeing. We also discuss how this can be implemented in call centers even when work is unknown.
We study the array of point-to-point distances in random regular graphs equipped with exponential edge lengths. We consider the regime where the degree is kept fixed while the number of vertices tends to ∞. The marginal distribution of an individual entry is now well understood, thanks to the work of Bhamidi, van der Hofstad and Hooghiemstra (2010). The purpose of this note is to show that the whole array, suitably recentered, converges in the weak sense to an explicit infinite random array. Our proof consists in analyzing the invasion of the network by several mutually exclusive flows emanating from different sources and propagating simultaneously along the edges.
Under the assumption of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) components, the problem of the stochastic comparison of a coherent system having used components and a used coherent system has been considered. Necessary and sufficient conditions on structure functions have been provided for the stochastic comparison of a coherent system having used/inactive i.i.d. components and a used/inactive coherent system. As a consequence, for r-out-of-n systems, it has been shown that systems having used i.i.d. components stochastically dominate used systems in the likelihood ratio ordering.
Based on pathwise duality constructions, several new results on truncated queues and storage systems of the G/M/1 type are derived by transforming the workload (content) processes into certain ‘dual’ M/G/1-type processes. We consider queueing systems in which (a) any service requirement that would increase the total workload beyond the capacity is truncated so as to keep the associated sojourn time below a certain constant, or (b) new arrivals do not enter the system if they have to wait more than one time unit in line. For these systems, we derive the steady-state distributions of the workload and the numbers of customers present in the systems as well as the distributions of the lengths of busy and idle periods. Moreover, we use the duality approach to study finite capacity storage systems with general state-dependent outflow rates. Here our duality leads to a Markovian finite storage system with state-dependent jump sizes whose content level process can be analyzed using level crossing techniques. We also derive a connection between the steady-state densities of the non-Markovian continuous-time content level process of the G/M/1 finite storage system with state-dependent outflow rule and the corresponding embedded sequence of peak points (local maxima).
We study a multiclass Markovian queueing network with switchover across a set of many-server stations. New arrivals to each station follow a nonstationary Poisson process. Each job waiting in queue may, after some exponentially distributed patience time, switch over to another station or leave the network following a probabilistic and state-dependent mechanism. We analyze the performance of such networks under the many-server heavy-traffic limiting regimes, including the critically loaded quality-and-efficiency-driven (QED) regime, and the overloaded efficiency-driven (ED) regime. We also study the limits corresponding to mixing the underloaded quality-driven (QD) regime with the QED and ED regimes. We establish fluid and diffusion limits of the queue-length processes in all regimes. The fluid limits are characterized by ordinary differential equations. The diffusion limits are characterized by stochastic differential equations, with a piecewise-linear drift term and a constant (QED) or time-varying (ED) covariance matrix. We investigate the load balancing effect of switchover in the mixed regimes, demonstrating the migration of workload from overloaded stations to underloaded stations and quantifying the load balancing impact of switchover probabilities.
We consider a drift parameter estimation problem when the state process is a reflected fractional Brownian motion (RFBM) with a nonzero drift parameter and the observation is the associated local time process. The RFBM process arises as the key approximating process for queueing systems with long-range dependent and self-similar input processes, where the drift parameter carries the physical meaning of the surplus service rate and plays a central role in the heavy-traffic approximation theory for queueing systems. We study a statistical estimator based on the cumulative local time process and establish its strong consistency and asymptotic normality.
Consider random vectors formed by a finite number of independent groups of independent and identically distributed random variables, where those of the last group are stochastically smaller than those of the other groups. Conditions are given such that certain functions, defined as suitable means of supermodular functions of the random variables of the vectors, are supermodular or increasing directionally convex. Comparisons based on the increasing convex order of supermodular functions of such random vectors are also investigated. Applications of the above results are then provided in risk theory, queueing theory, and reliability theory, with reference to (i) net stop-loss reinsurance premiums of portfolios from different groups of insureds, (ii) closed cyclic multiclass Gordon-Newell queueing networks, and (iii) reliability of series systems formed by units selected from different batches.
Bandit processes and the Gittins index have provided powerful and elegant theory and tools for the optimization of allocating limited resources to competitive demands. In this paper we extend the Gittins theory to more general branching bandit processes, also referred to as open bandit processes, that allow uncountable states and backward times. We establish the optimality of the Gittins index policy with uncountably many states, which is useful in such problems as dynamic scheduling with continuous random processing times. We also allow negative time durations for discounting a reward to account for the present value of the reward that was received before the present time, which we refer to as time-backward effects. This could model the situation of offering bonus rewards for completing jobs above expectation. Moreover, we discover that a common belief on the optimality of the Gittins index in the generalized bandit problem is not always true without additional conditions, and provide a counterexample. We further apply our theory of open bandit processes with time-backward effects to prove the optimality of the Gittins index in the generalized bandit problem under a sufficient condition.
We show how to write the solution to the generalized drift Skorokhod problem in one-dimension in terms of the supremum of the solution of a tractable unrestricted integral equation (that is, an integral equation with no boundaries). As an application of our result, we equate the transient distribution of a reflected Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) process to the first hitting time distribution of an OU process (that is not reflected). Then, we use this relationship to approximate the transient distribution of the GI/GI/1 + GI queue in conventional heavy traffic and the M/M/N/N queue in a many-server heavy traffic regime.
We present and investigate a general model for inhomogeneous random digraphs with labeled vertices, where the arcs are generated independently, and the probability of inserting an arc depends on the labels of its endpoints and on its orientation. For this model, the critical point for the emergence of a giant component is determined via a branching process approach.
In this paper we show that fractional Brownian motion with H < ½ can arise as a limit of a simple class of traffic processes that we call ‘scheduled traffic models’. To our knowledge, this paper provides the first simple traffic model leading to fractional Brownnian motion with H < ½. We also discuss some immediate implications of this result for queues fed by scheduled traffic, including a heavy-traffic limit theorem.
Almost all populations existing in the real world are finite populations. Specifically, in the areas relevant to lifetime modeling and analysis, finite populations are frequently encountered. However, descriptions of failure/survival patterns of elements in the finite population have not yet been properly established. In particular, it is questionable whether the ordinary failure rate can be defined for finite populations in the same way and whether the corresponding interpretations are still valid. In this paper we consider two kinds of finite mixed population and provide new definitions for their failure rates. Then we clarify the notion of failure rate in finite populations.
In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of a general class of product-form closed queueing networks as the population size grows large. We first characterize the asymptotic behavior of the normalization constant for the stationary distribution of the network in exact order. This result then enables us to establish the asymptotic behavior of the system performance metrics, which extends a number of well-known asymptotic results to exact order. We further derive new, computationally simple approximations for performance metrics that significantly improve upon existing approximations for large-scale networks. In addition to their direct use for the analysis of large networks, these new approximations are particularly useful for reformulating large-scale queueing network optimization problems into more easily solvable forms, which we demonstrate with an optimal capacity planning example.