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The stochastic process resulting when pairs of events are formed from two point processes is a rich source of questions. When the two point processes have different rates, the resulting stochastic process has a mean drift towards either -∞ or +∞. However, when the two processes have equal rates, we end up with a null-recurrent Markov chain and this has interesting behavior. We study this process for both discrete and continuous times and consider special cases with applications in communications networks. One interesting result for applications is the waiting time of a packet waiting for a token, a special case of this pair-formation process. Pair formation by two independent Poisson processes of equal rates results in a point process that is asymptotically a Poisson process of the same rate.
The eigentime identity is proved for continuous-time reversible Markov chains with Markov generator L. When the essential spectrum is empty, let {0 = λ0 < λ1 ≤ λ2 ≤ ···} be the whole spectrum of L in L2. Then ∑n≥1 λn-1 < ∞ implies the existence of the spectral gap α of L in L∞. Explicit formulae are presented in the case of birth–death processes and from these formulae it is proved that ∑n≥1 λn-1 < ∞ if and only if α > 0.
Let (φ(Xn))n be a function of a finite-state Markov chain (Xn)n. In this article, we investigate the conditions under which the random variables φ(n) have the same distribution as Yn (for every n), where (Yn)n is a Markov chain with fixed transition probability matrix. In other words, for a deterministic function φ, we investigate the conditions under which (Xn)n is weakly lumpable for the state vector. We show that the set of all probability distributions of X0, such that (Xn)n is weakly lumpable for the state vector, can be finitely generated. The connections between our definition of lumpability and the usual one (i.e. as the proportional dynamics property) are discussed.
We show that, for reversible continuous-time Markov chains, the closeness of the nonzero eigenvalues of the generator to zero provides complete information about the sensitivity of the distribution vector to perturbations of the generator. Our results hold for both the transient and the stationary states.
In this paper we use the exit time theory for Lévy processes to derive new closed-form results for the busy period distribution of finite-capacity fluid M/G/1 queues. Based on this result, we then obtain the busy period distribution for finite-capacity queues with on–off inputs when the off times are exponentially distributed.
We provide a new probabilistic explanation for the appearance of Benford's law in everyday-life numbers, by showing that it arises naturally when we consider mixtures of uniform distributions. Then we connect our result to a result of Flehinger, for which we provide a shorter proof and the speed of convergence.
In this article we investigate a class of superprocess with cut-off branching, studying the long-time behavior of the occupation time process. Persistence of the process holds in all dimensions. Central-limit-type theorems are obtained, and the scales are dimension dependent. The Gaussian limit holds only when d ≤ 4. In dimension one, a full large deviation principle is established and the rate function is identified explicitly. Our result shows that the super-Brownian motion with cut-off branching in dimension one has many features that are similar to super-Brownian motion in dimension three.
Suppose that μ is the branching measure on the boundary of a supercritical Galton–Watson tree with offspring distribution N such that E[N log N] < ∞ and P{N = 1} > 0. We determine the multifractal spectrum of μ using a method different from that proposed by Shieh and Taylor, which is flawed.
One approach to the computation of the price of an Asian option involves the Hartman–Watson distribution. However, numerical problems for its density occur for small values. This motivates the asymptotic study of its distribution function.
An explicit, computable, and sufficient condition for exponential ergodicity of single-birth processes is presented. The corresponding criterion for birth–death processes is proved using a new method. As an application, some sufficient conditions are obtained for exponential ergodicity of an extended class of continuous-time branching processes and of multidimensional Q-processes, by comparison methods.
The birth, death and catastrophe process is an extension of the birth–death process that incorporates the possibility of reductions in population of arbitrary size. We will consider a general form of this model in which the transition rates are allowed to depend on the current population size in an arbitrary manner. The linear case, where the transition rates are proportional to current population size, has been studied extensively. In particular, extinction probabilities, the expected time to extinction, and the distribution of the population size conditional on nonextinction (the quasi-stationary distribution) have all been evaluated explicitly. However, whilst these characteristics are of interest in the modelling and management of populations, processes with linear rate coefficients represent only a very limited class of models. We address this limitation by allowing for a wider range of catastrophic events. Despite this generalisation, explicit expressions can still be found for the expected extinction times.
In this paper, we show that the mean comparison theorem, which is valid for Brownian motion, cannot be extended to Poisson processes. A counterexample in the Poisson case for which the mean comparison theorem does not hold is provided.
We consider the problem of scheduling the transmissions of multiple data users (flows) sharing the same wireless channel (server). The unique feature of this problem is the fact that the capacity (service rate) of the channel varies randomly with time and asynchronously for different users. We study a scheduling policy called the exponential scheduling rule, which was introduced in an earlier paper. Given a system with N users, and any set of positive numbers {an}, n = 1, 2,…, N, we show that in a heavy-traffic limit, under a nonrestrictive ‘complete resource pooling’ condition, this algorithm has the property that, for each time t, it (asymptotically) minimizes maxnanq̃n(t), where q̃n(t) is the queue length of user n in the heavy-traffic regime.
We develop a new, self-contained proof that the expected number of generations required for gene allele fixation or extinction in a population of size n is O(n) under general assumptions. The proof relies on a discrete Markov chain analysis. We further develop an algorithm to compute expected fixation or extinction time to any desired precision. Our proofs establish O(nH(p)) as the expected time for gene allele fixation or extinction for the Fisher-Wright problem, where the gene occurs with initial frequency p and H(p) is the entropy function. Under a weaker hypothesis on the variance, the expected time is O(n(p(1-p))1/2) for fixation or extinction. Thus, the expected-time bound of O(n) for fixation or extinction holds in a wide range of situations. In the multi-allele case, the expected time for allele fixation or extinction in a population of size n with n distinct alleles is shown to be O(n). From this, a new proof is given of a coalescence theorem about the mean time to the most recent common ancestor (MRCA), which applies to a broad range of reproduction models satisfying our mean and weak variation conditions.
We show that the advantage that can accrue to the server in tennis does not necessarily imply that serving first changes the probability of winning the match. We demonstrate that the outcome of tie-breaks, sets and matches can be independent of who serves first. These are corollaries of a more general invariance result that we prove for n-point win-by-2 games. Our proofs are non-algebraic and self-contained.
We consider a Brownian motion with time-reversible Markov-modulated speed and two reflecting barriers. A methodology depending on a certain multidimensional martingale together with some linear algebra is applied in order to explicitly compute the stationary distribution of the joint process of the content level and the state of the underlying Markov chain. It is shown that the stationary distribution is such that the two quantities are independent. The long-run average push at the two barriers at each of the states is also computed.
We present several results refining and extending those of Neuts and Alfa on weak convergence of the pair-formation process when arrivals follow two independent Poisson processes. Our results are obtained using a different, more straightforward, and apparently simpler probabilistic approach. Firstly, we give a very short proof of the fact that the convergence of the pair-formation process to a Poisson process actually holds in total variation (with a bound for convergence rate). Secondly, we extend the result of the theorem to the case of multiple labels: there are d independent arrival Poisson processes, and we are looking at the epochs when d-tuples are formed. Thirdly, we extend the original (weak convergence) result to the case when arrivals follow independent renewal processes (this extension is also valid for the d-tuple formation).
We consider a branching model, which we call the collision branching process (CBP), that accounts for the effect of collisions, or interactions, between particles or individuals. We establish that there is a unique CBP, and derive necessary and sufficient conditions for it to be nonexplosive. We review results on extinction probabilities, and obtain explicit expressions for the probability of explosion and the expected hitting times. The upwardly skip-free case is studied in some detail.
The ‘rendezvous time’ of two stochastic processes is the first time at which they cross or hit each other. We consider such times for a Brownian motion with drift, starting at some positive level, and a compound Poisson process or a process with one random jump at some random time. We also ask whether a rendezvous takes place before the Brownian motion hits zero and, if so, at what time. These questions are answered in terms of Laplace transforms for the underlying distributions. The analogous problem for reflected Brownian motion is also studied.
We study the stochastic comparison of interacting particle systems where the state space of each particle is a finite set endowed with a partial order, and several particles may change their value at a time. For these processes we give local conditions, on the rates of change, that assure their comparability. We also analyze the case where one of the processes does not have any changes that involve several particles, and obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for their comparability. The proofs are based on the explicit construction of an order-preserving Markovian coupling. We show the applicability of our results by studying the stochastic comparison of infinite-station Jackson networks and batch-arrival, batch-service, and assemble-transfer queueing networks.