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We prove new mixing rate estimates for the random walks on homogeneous spaces determined by a probability distribution on a finite group $G$. We introduce the switched random walk determined by a finite set of probability distributions on $G$, prove that its long-term behaviour is determined by the Fourier joint spectral radius of the distributions, and give Hermitian sum-of-squares algorithms for the effective estimation of this quantity.
We consider supercritical site percolation on the $d$-dimensional hypercube $Q^d$. We show that typically all components in the percolated hypercube, besides the giant, are of size $O(d)$. This resolves a conjecture of Bollobás, Kohayakawa, and Łuczak from 1994.
A $(p,q)$-colouring of a graph $G$ is an edge-colouring of $G$ which assigns at least $q$ colours to each $p$-clique. The problem of determining the minimum number of colours, $f(n,p,q)$, needed to give a $(p,q)$-colouring of the complete graph $K_n$ is a natural generalization of the well-known problem of identifying the diagonal Ramsey numbers $r_k(p)$. The best-known general upper bound on $f(n,p,q)$ was given by Erdős and Gyárfás in 1997 using a probabilistic argument. Since then, improved bounds in the cases where $p=q$ have been obtained only for $p\in \{4,5\}$, each of which was proved by giving a deterministic construction which combined a $(p,p-1)$-colouring using few colours with an algebraic colouring.
In this paper, we provide a framework for proving new upper bounds on $f(n,p,p)$ in the style of these earlier constructions. We characterize all colourings of $p$-cliques with $p-1$ colours which can appear in our modified version of the $(p,p-1)$-colouring of Conlon, Fox, Lee, and Sudakov. This allows us to greatly reduce the amount of case-checking required in identifying $(p,p)$-colourings, which would otherwise make this problem intractable for large values of $p$. In addition, we generalize our algebraic colouring from the $p=5$ setting and use this to give improved upper bounds on $f(n,6,6)$ and $f(n,8,8)$.
Properties and behaviours at the systemic aggregate level are derived as statistical averages from probability distributions describing the likelihoods of the various states available to the components.
We discuss forecasting of the transitions accompanying the intermittent dynamics of complex systems. Co-evolutionary dynamics is particularly challenging.
Assume we are able to obtain the joint probability for a set of time series representing a complex system. Based on the joint probabilities, information theory can help to analyse the nature of the interdependence in the system. It is particularly important to be able to distinguish between different types of emergent behaviour, such as synergy or redundancy.
The next chapters are dedicated to mathematical approaches of central relevance to the analysis and modelling of emergent behaviour amongst many interacting components.