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The basal thermal state of the Antarctic ice sheet (AIS)—whether the base is frozen or thawed—fundamentally underpins its flow and is an important factor in understanding its large-scale response to external forcings. Here, we present a first synthesis of the AIS basal thermal state combining two indirect and independent methods: (1) a compilation of nine three-dimensional thermomechanical simulations that calculate AIS basal temperature as part of the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6) and (2) an estimate of the basal slip ratio, defined as the ratio of observed surface speed to deformational speed. This synthesis is evaluated against direct observations from deep boreholes and predicted flowpaths for water originating from subglacial lakes detected by altimetry and radar sounding. The synthesis predicts a thawed bed across most of West Antarctica and localized regions in East Antarctica. Most of the Antarctic Peninsula, the Transantarctic Mountains and several regions of East Antarctica are likely frozen at the bed. Overall, our synthesis suggests 46% of the AIS bed is likely thawed, 18% likely frozen and the remaining 36% is uncertain. Additional observations, particularly at the continental scale, are required to improve our understanding of Antarctica’s basal thermal state.
States do not just seek to manage affairs within their borders. They exist within a competitive, uneven and unequal and highly fragmented international system: shaping and shaped by what other states do through processes of inter-state diplomacy and by being bound, to different degrees, by the rules and procedures of regional and international institutions. The chapter builds an account of the geopolitics of transition from scholarship on political ecology and international relations as well as draws on insights from development studies to understand how countries’ developmental space and policy autonomy over pathways to sustainability is enabled and constrained by global ties of aid, finance and investment. The final part of the chapter explores entry points for transformation in the form of a realignment and rebalancing of politics and priorities in the global state. These include the prospects for shifts in the mandates and institutional configurations of major global governance bodies such as the World Trade Organization (WTO), the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank, for the clearer articulation of transnational harm and liability for environmental negligence beyond state borders as well as rolling back regressive treaty arrangements which have been used to subvert sustainability transitions.
In 1988, meteorological measurements started at the Spanish research station Juan Carlos I (JCI) on Livingston Island. A second station - Gabriel de Castilla (GdC) - was installed in 2005 on Deception Island. These long-term measurements improved our climatological understanding of the western region of the South Shetland Islands (SSI), a region that has received less attention than the more station-populated King George Island in the central SSI. Here, we present a complete climatological analysis of these stations after undertaking a full quality control process of the data. This analysis covers temperature, wind, precipitation, radiation, relative humidity and pressure, as well as trends and variability. The results show: 1) the stations along the western SSI coastline, particularly JCI, are warmer than those on the central SSI, especially in summer, 2) at GdC, winters are colder due to stagnant cold air pooling within the Deception Island caldera, 3) the importance of island orography in shaping local climatology, especially regarding wind patterns, and 4) the critical need to correct precipitation measurements for undercatchment of solid precipitation by common pluviometers. This study provides a climatological framework to support further research conducted in the region.
Glaciers provide critical ecosystem services, including water resources, biodiversity, cultural value and climate signals. But what makes a glacier a glacier? And when is a glacier no longer a glacier? Different glacier definitions can conflict. While a common definition emphasizes ‘past or present flow’, practical applications involve criteria like observable ice flow, crevassing, minimum thickness, minimum area, surficial features related to hydrology and/or debris cover and/or relative size. Increasingly, glacier inventories apply multiple criteria, acknowledging the nuanced, continuous nature of glacier retreat rather than a binary status. In the context of increasingly melting, shrinking and vanishing glaciers, as glaciologists consider when to declare a glacier lost, disappeared or dead, it is important to explore glacier definitions and their application. Ultimately, the glacier definition applied depends on the specific context, purpose and audience. This also highlights the need for careful language choice, clear communication and localized expertise in considering glacier loss.
Centring on key state functions of protection and the promotion of the economic and social well-being of its citizens, the welfare state describes a range of functions related to state intervention aimed at reducing the risk of market failure, ensuring a decent living standard and a certain degree of equality and intergenerational distribution. The welfare state thus often plays a central role in relation to essential issues of people’s daily lives such as housing, employment, income security, health and education. Nevertheless, despite some initial explorations of the relevance of perspectives grounded in sustainability transitions for understanding processes of change and innovation in welfare states, the question of welfare remains a neglected area in transition studies and, until recently, in environmental studies more broadly. Yet the welfare state can both be used to enable and hardwire social protection into transitions to protect ‘stranded workers’ and also have a key role to play, and be heavily impacted by, the social costs and adjustments brought about by the disruptions and dislocations that transitions inevitably bring in their wake. The chapter concludes with a discussion of what ‘sustainable welfare’ might look like as part of a transformation of the welfare state.
The relationship between states and their militaries has long been a subject of social enquiry. Most nation-states have their origins in war, formed and reformed by external conflict and civil wars. Yet the military aspects of state power are intimately tied to all other aspects of state power in relation to its industrial, entrepreneurial and global dimensions. Having discussed the ways in which militaries shape and constrain transition pathways through innovation and their everyday conduct as well as the exercise of violence and war, the chapter explores potential to transform the military state arguing that at the heart of transforming the military state is the need to rethink security, possibly along the lines of ecological security. In conjunction with efforts to embed more ecological thinking in relation to security, a prerequisite for such a shift is a revisioning of the goal and purpose of the economy as proposed in Chapter 4, at least in richer countries in the first instance.
The relationship between democracy and sustainability is a contentious one. Yet diverse groups of citizens need to be engaged in the design and implementation of policies and actions across all scales and sectors for them to succeed and be socially acceptable. But how? From protest and mobilisation to participation in policy and the creation of new spaces of citizen engagement through citizens’ assemblies and the like, governments, businesses, cities and civil society actors are all grappling with the challenge of how best to engage citizens in addressing a series of threats to global sustainability but with uneven capacity to do so. In terms of transforming the democratic state, the chapter engages with the literature on ecological democracy and explores the idea that deepening democracy would extend to democratic control over the economy for the common good. In practice, this might imply expanded spaces and scope for deliberation over plural pathways to sustainability and the use of deliberative and inclusive policymaking processes such as standing panels of citizens, regular polling, multi-criteria mapping and citizens’ assemblies and juries. To really deepen democracy and open the state up would mean including issues of core state interest that are currently off limits for debate and not just what are dismissively termed ‘low-political’ issues.
This chapter looks at the entrepreneurial state where the bulk of transitions scholarship has focussed to date. Indeed, technological change is a vital component of successful transitions and deeper transformations. Attention has often focussed on how support can be provided to ‘niche’ technologies and innovations that might ultimately disrupt dominant socio-technical regimes, in part through building markets for new products and services through financing, infrastructures and the generation of demand. The chapter explores the use of policy tools such as financial instruments including subsidies and feed-in-tariffs and industrial policy to support innovation and, implicitly or explicitly, ‘pick winners’. In discussing the transformation of the entrepreneurial state, the chapter explores the question of ‘exnovation’: taking unsustainable technologies out of production and the need to align innovation policy with the need to transform structures and levels of production and consumption which presents a series of challenges for growth-oriented industrial capitalist states and requires a more social, ecological and inclusive vision of innovation and who the innovators are in society.
The Silurian of Podolia, Ukraine, is renowned for its arthropod fauna, including eurypterids and the synziphosurine Pasternakevia. Here, we describe one of several new arthropods recently discovered in the vicinity of the Smotrych River. Smotrychaspis kurtopleurae gen. et sp. nov. is a synziphosurine euchelicerate with semicircular carapace lacking eyes, an unfused opisthosoma with 11 visible segments, the posterior tergites wide and bearing falcate epimera and a relatively long and stout telson. Smotrychaspis resembles pseudoniscid and bunodid synziphosurines but cannot be placed in either of these families.
Essentials of Geomorphology is an introductory textbook covering the latest research on landforms, both on Earth as well as on planets and moons. This easy-to-read, non-quantitative textbook hones in on the knowledge of leading experts in the field, and presents the practicality, applications and necessity of geomorphology. Replete with beautiful color figures and photographs, it contains in-depth discussions on fluvial and glacial geomorphology while also covering topics such as planetary geomorphology, biogeomorphology, Earth history and climate change, and periglacial systems. Descriptive, but also process-driven, it is intended for readers interested in physical landscapes, regardless of their previous background or level of training in geography or geology. To this end, it only includes the basic mathematics needed to understand the concepts presented.
Negotiations by more than 180 States during the Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee (INC) session 5.2 to develop a legally binding instrument with the purpose to end plastic pollution have, once again, concluded without a treaty. This is especially disastrous for developing States and marginalized peoples (such as indigenous communities and waste pickers), who are disproportionately suffering from plastic pollution. In this article, we show that developing States were underrepresented at the INC-5.2 negotiations in Geneva: Their delegations were on average only half as large (~5 delegates) when compared to delegations from Western European States (~13 delegates) and those from States with a high and very high Human Development Index (~10 delegates). In addition, more than 230 industry representatives participated in INC-5.2, exerting influence in diverse ways, both during official negotiations and through side events, organized by lobbying organizations. Finally, we discuss the importance of how treaty negotiations were organized: Simultaneously occurring negotiation formats (such as contact groups and informal meetings) put smaller delegations at a disadvantage, causing procedural injustice, which falls under the responsibility of the INC Secretariat.
Applying a sufficiently rapid start–stop to the outer cylinder of the Taylor–Couette system, structures approximately aligned with the rotation axis were recorded in the classic work of Coles (1965 J. Fluid Mech. vol. 21, no. 3, pp. 385–425). These short-lived rolls are oriented perpendicular to the classic Taylor-vortex rolls. In this work we report numerical observation of this instability, guided by a more recent experimental observation. The instability is shown to be related to an inflection in the azimuthal velocity profile, a finding consistent with the experimental observations of its emergence during the deceleration phase. Despite the transient nature of start–stop experiments, we show that the instability can be linked to that of the oscillating boundary layer problem of Stokes. There are several reasons why the instability may have remained elusive, both for experimental observation and for the idealised system. We look in more detail at dependence on the radius ratio for the Taylor–Couette system, $\eta=R_i/R_o$, where $R_i$ and $R_o$ are the inner and outer radii. We find that, in the case where the size of the rolls scales with the gap width, for radius ratios any lower than that used by Coles, $\eta=0.874$, the instability is quickly overrun by axisymmetric rolls of Görtler type.
We discuss flow-induced vibrations of an equilateral triangular prism confined to travel on a circular path when placed in the concave or convex orientations with respect to the flow. In each orientation, we consider three different initial angles for the prism. In Case 1, one side of the prism sees the flow first; in Case 2, one sharp edge sees the flow first; and in Case 3, one side of the prism is parallel to the incoming flow. We show that the response of the structure as well as the observed wake depend heavily on both the orientation and the initial angle of the prism. Case 1 exhibits vortex-induced vibration (VIV) in the concave orientation and galloping in the convex orientation. Case 2 does not oscillate in the concave orientation; however, oscillates about a mean deflection after a critical reduced velocity in the convex orientation. Case 3 exhibits small-amplitude oscillations in the concave orientation about a mean deflection, while in the convex orientation, exhibits VIV at low reduced velocities, followed by an asymmetric response with VIV features in a half-cycle and galloping features in the other half, and divergence at higher reduced velocities. These different types of responses are accompanied by a myriad of vortex patterns in the wake, from two single vortices shed in the wake in each cycle of oscillations to two vortex pairs, two sets of co-rotating vortices, and a combination of single vortices and vortex pairs depending on the prism’s orientation and its initial angle.
This short report provides the first observations of deep-sea corals belonging to the class Octocorallia and order Antipatharia surveyed during the KM24-03 Leg 2 cruise in the waters around Minamidaito and Kitadaito Islands in Okinawa, Japan between approximately 200 and 1,000 m. It also lists and illustrates the specimens that were collected. Based on field observations, deep-sea corals occupied the niches inside and around caves and crevices, as well as non-cave environments such as flat seabeds and slopes. Our morphological and phylogenetic analyses of the collected specimens revealed the presence of Callogorgia cf. korema, Pleurocorallium inutile, and Acanthopathes undulata. We provide the first documentation of deep-sea corals found in this area, as well as extend the known geographic distribution of these species. In particular, the black coral A. undulata, which until now has only been reported from the western and central Pacific Ocean, is reported for the first time in the northwestern Pacific. Our preliminary findings warrant further investigation and more stringent protection of the deep-sea species and habitats found in the waters around these karstic islands from anthropogenic impacts, perhaps with inclusion in regional Marine Protected Areas.
The Chalbi Desert, located in eastern Africa, is a significant but overlooked archive of the Pleistocene and Holocene periods that could add insight into investigations on human evolution. We revisited southeastern Chalbi Desert landforms between the towns of Kargi and Maikona to improve the chronostratigraphy and provide paleoenvironmental context. Direct U-series and electron spin resonance dating of various fossil teeth recovered from a deflated dune (Qzs) landform at the Farre locality return a mean age of ∼545 ka, which is compatible with biostratigraphic inferences. While this numerical age result should probably be regarded as mostly indicative given the existing uncertainty on the environmental dose rate evaluation, the data set available nevertheless strongly suggests a Middle Pleistocene age for at least some of the fauna. Sedimentology, luminescence, and 14C dating further suggest that this Qzs landform and its contents were modified by alluvial fan development and weathering during denudation in a proximal fan setting through the late Pleistocene into the Holocene. The Qzs landform currently experiences aeolian additions, erosion, and salt-affected soil development in an arid climate. Pedogenic carbonate isotope geochemistry suggests that deflated sand dunes were covered by woody grasslands during Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 4 and 3 pluvials, consistent with nearby fan progradation constrained at >35 ka. The desert experienced increased hydrologic activity during late Pleistocene and African humid period pluvials, as evidenced by additional optically stimulated luminescence and 14C dating from fan, dune, and playa contexts. The last significant pluvial episode ended after 4.4 ± 0.3 cal ka BP, which coincides with the final regression of nearby Lake Turkana. This study extends the chronology of Quaternary sediments in the Chalbi Desert to the Middle Pleistocene and offers paleoenvironmental insights into the conditions experienced by Middle Stone Age tool users in the region.
This study presents an analytical advancement in predicting the growth rate of perturbation amplitude in two-dimensional non-standard Richtmyer–Meshkov instability (RMI), driven by the interaction of a first-phase rippled shock wave at moderate Mach number with a heavy–light interface. We extend the irrotational model to encompass non-standard RMI scenarios, establishing a generalised framework validated through numerical simulations. Distinct from previous models, our model is free of empirical coefficients, and demonstrates superior accuracy across diverse perturbation configurations and Mach numbers. The analyses reveal the fundamental disparity of non-standard RMI from classical RMI: the vorticity deposition mechanism in non-standard RMI arises not only from normal pressure gradients at the shock front but crucially from tangential pressure gradients behind the shock wave. The asymptotic circulations are also well predicted by our model. Moreover, the relationship of the amplitudes between sinusoidal shock and perturbed interface is derived based on the model to realise the freeze-out of interface amplitude. The initial fundamental mode’s amplitude growth is frozen well, and the mixing width is greatly suppressed.