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Norway is an active player in international climate politics, with strong consensus on the issue underpinned by cross-party Climate Settlements. Despite this, Norway has only marginally reduced its domestic greenhouse gas emissions. Moreover, attempts to establish a new Climate Settlement in 2021 failed. Does this failure constitute a break with Norway’s consensual climate tradition, and is this good or bad news for climate policy? In this chapter, we investigate whether and to what extent the consensus characterizing the 2000s and 2010s contributed to climate policy development or stasis. Focusing on two key sectors – petroleum and transport – we find that key Norwegian climate policies have developed through a dynamic tension of depoliticization and repoliticization over time, with mixed effects. We identify reasons for depoliticization and repoliticization and argue that it is useful to embrace agnosticism in the debate over politicization versus policy stability, instead exploring this on an empirical and contextual basis. Moreover, we uncover a dynamic of politicization in one policy area affecting policy development in another, arguing that such spillover effects warrant analytical attention.
How can the state make durable policies and control resistance of incumbent fossil fuel interests for rapid decarbonization? Through the lens of policy feedback and coalitions, we argue that in certain contexts the state can manage political conflicts to ensure durable policies for decarbonization. We use the case of China – the world’s largest carbon emitter with a political economy system where the state has large influence on the market – to illustrate the possibility of conflict management for energy transition. We show how the central government has used regulatory power to induce big power companies to shift away from fossil fuels toward renewable energies. Reflecting upon the Chinese case, we identify some conditions under which the state can redirect the interest of incumbent actors toward net zero transition. Our study suggests that while political conflicts are inevitable to combat climate change, policymakers can strategically manage them to deepen and accelerate transition.
A global resurgence of industrial policymaking has been evident in low-carbon industries. These sectors – renewable energy, battery storage, and electric vehicles, among others – have seen levels of state intervention rarely witnessed outside of late economic development. But because of China’s dominant position in manufacturing such products, industrial policies for clean energy industries have been accompanied by calls for a reshoring of manufacturing, including in the United States, which is examined in this chapter. While such reshoring may be politically expedient, it presents obstacles to global emissions reductions. First, calls for reshoring likely understate the extent to which the world must rely on Chinese manufacturing capacity for clean energy technologies, until alternative supply chains are established elsewhere. Second, these competitive approaches to industrial policymaking put government measures in explicit tension with the need for global collaboration to meet transnational decarbonization goals. The politicization of clean energy industrial policies may yield short-term political successes but risks long-term instability on emissions reductions and decarbonization.
Turbulence–chemistry interaction in a Mach-7 hypersonic boundary layer with significant production of radical species is characterised using direct numerical simulation. Overriding a non-catalytic surface maintained as isothermal at 3000 K, the boundary layer is subject to finite-rate chemical effects, comprising both dissociation/recombination processes as well as the production of nitric oxide as mediated by the Zel’dovich mechanism. With kinetic-energy dissipation giving rise to temperatures exceeding 5300 K, molecular oxygen is almost entirely depleted within the aerodynamic heating layer, producing significant densities of atomic oxygen and nitric oxide. Owing to the coupling between turbulence-induced thermodynamic fluctuations and the chemical-kinetic processes, the Reynolds-averaged production rates ultimately depart significantly from their mean-field approximations. To better characterise this turbulence–chemistry interaction, which arises primarily from the exchange reactions in the Zel’dovich mechanism, a decomposition for the mean distortion of finite-rate chemical processes with respect to thermodynamic fluctuations is presented. Both thermal and partial-density fluctuations, as well as the impact of their statistical co-moments, are shown to contribute significantly to the net chemical production rate of each species. Dissociation/recombination processes are confirmed to be primarily affected by temperature fluctuations alone, which yield an augmentation of the molecular dissociation rates and reduction of the recombination layer’s off-wall extent. While the effect of pressure perturbations proves largely negligible for the mean chemical production rates, fluctuations in the species mass fractions are shown to be the primary source of turbulence–chemistry interaction for the second Zel’dovich reaction, significantly modulating the production of all major species apart from molecular nitrogen.
We derive the scale-by-scale uncertainty energy budget equation and demonstrate theoretically and computationally the presence of a self-similar equilibrium cascade of decorrelation in an inertial range of scales during the time range of power-law growth of uncertainty in statistically stationary homogeneous turbulence. This cascade is predominantly inverse and driven by compressions of the reference field’s relative deformation tensor and their alignments with the uncertainty velocity field. Three other subdominant cascade mechanisms are also present, two of which are forward and also dominated by compressions and one of which, the weakest and the only nonlinear one of the four, is inverse. The uncertainty production and dissipation scalings which may follow from the self-similar equilibrium cascade of decorrelation lead to power-law growths of the uncertainty integral scale and the average uncertainty energy which are also investigated. Compressions are key not only to chaoticity, as previously shown, but also to stochasticity.
A new species of Blastulospongia Pickett and Jell, 1983 from the middle Cambrian Devoncourt Limestone, Georgina Basin, Australia exhibits distinct perforation patterns characteristic of sphinctozoans. Recognition as a sphinctozoan-grade sponge confirms the poriferan affinity of this enigmatic genus, which appeared prior to the development of other hypercalcified sponge forms of chaetetids and stromatoporoids. Blastulospongia bouliaensis new species occurs together with four species of primitive spicular radiolarians: Echidnina irregularis Won in Won and Iams, 2002, Parechidnina aspinosa Won in Won and Below, 1999, Palaeospiculum reedae Won in Won and Below, 1999, and Palaeospiculum devoncourtensis Won in Won and Below, 1999. Micro-computed tomographic (MCT) analysis of Parechidnina aspinosa reveals its skeletal construction through the fusion of unirayed spicules, indicating a close phylogenetic link with archeoentactinids. Blastulospongia bouliaensis n. sp. and Palaeospiculum devoncourtensis represent promising Miaolingian accessory species for biostratigraphy during the Drumian-Guzhangian interval.
The Llandoverian (Telychian) Schoolcraft Formation of Schoolcraft County in the Upper Peninsula of Michigan includes several intervals of exceptional preservation marked by abundant specimens of the noncalcified macroalga Thalassocystis striata Taggart and Parker, 1976. Here, two new noncalcified macroalgal species are described from one of these algal-Lagerstätten intervals. The monopodial thallus of Archaeobatophora gulliverensis new species resembles that of the living dasycladalean green alga Batophora Agardh, 1854 and consists of a cylindrical main axis bearing whorls of branched laterals. It is the second species to be assigned to Archaeobatophora Nitecki, 1976, the type species of which is known only from the Upper Ordovician of neighboring Delta County and the diagnosis of which is emended herein. The thallus of Earltonella swinehartii new species consists of a horizontal stolon that bears a series of upright pinnate fronds. This taxon broadly resembles the living bryopsidalean green alga Caulerpa Lamouroux, 1809 and is the second species to be assigned to Earltonella LoDuca in LoDuca et al., 2023, a genus otherwise known only from approximately age-equivalent strata in the Lake Timiskaming area of Ontario. Additionally, a new Thalassocystis striata occurrence is reported from the Schoolcraft Formation in neighboring Mackinac County, extending eastward the geographic range of this Codium-like bryopsidalean taxon within the Michigan Basin. Viewed in broader terms, the two new species show complex thallus morphologies consistent with a previously documented large-scale morphological pattern in the early Paleozoic evolutionary history of macroalgae and contribute to an emerging understanding of major early Paleozoic radiations of both dasycladalean and bryopsidalean algae that produced, by the mid-Silurian, diverse floras of siphonous green macroalgae broadly similar to those that thrive today in Florida Bay and the Bahama Banks.
We report new interpretation of >19,500 beach strandlines from waterbodies in the western St. Lawrence and Champlain Lowlands in northern New York and adjacent areas of Vermont, Quebec, and Ontario from ≤2-m-resolution digital elevation models. Strandline evidence supports a deglaciation model in which proglacial lake and marine shoreline deposits adjusted continuously in response to steady shoreline regression linked to outlet incision, differential isostatic adjustments, and postglacial relative sea-level rise. Gaps in strandline preservation reflect times of rapid water-level decline associated with breakout floods and abrupt shifts in drainage to new outlets. Water levels returned to slower, steady decline and renewed beach sedimentation during the later stages of a breakout as water levels in the source and receiving waterbodies equilibrated. Our conclusions contrast with previous models that infer discrete lake stages were controlled by stable outlets then fell abruptly as lower outlets were exhumed from beneath the Laurentide Ice Sheet during deglaciation. We present a new deglacial chronology and lake nomenclature that reflects this paradigm and redefines the spatial and temporal distributions of proglacial lake and marine water in the region.
The Guanajuato Mining District of central Mexico is one of the main silver and gold deposits in the world. It is in the State of Guanajuato in the southern part of the Sierra Madre Occidental (SMO) volcanic province. The mining district developed within a mid-Tertiary volcano-sedimentary sequence that includes thick alluvial-fan deposits accumulated in a tectonic basin during the Eocene-Oligocene named the Guanajuato Red Conglomerate and an overlying volcanic sequence mostly pyroclastic of Oligocene age. The mid-Tertiary stratigraphy of Guanajuato is revised and reinterpreted in the light of new fieldwork and U-Pb ages, which document a close timing between all units of the volcanic succession at the top of the Guanajuato Red Conglomerate. This sequence is made of pyroclastic density current deposits formed during episodic events from the Guanajuato caldera. A new nomenclature of the caldera’s units is proposed; the Guanajuato Caldera Volcanic Group, which includes the Guanajuato Pyroclastic Formation represented by the Loseros PDC deposits and the Bufa-Calderones ignimbrites emplaced around 32.8 ± 0.2 Ma, and the post-collapse lava domes of El Rodeo and Chichíndaro formations emplaced at 31–30 Ma. Apparently, a resurgent pulse of the caldera uplifted the collapsed intra-caldera blocks, so that the caldera floor is now exposed. The caldera collapse was controlled by the pre-existing normal faults inherited from the previous tectonic basin; thus, it is classified as a graben-type caldera, with a square shape and a size of 15 × 16 km. By comparison with other similar calderas of Mexico, the Guanajuato caldera is another case study of graben-type calderas of the SMO coinciding with mineral districts, such as Bolaños (Jalisco).
Since the 1990s, Pine Island Glacier (PIG) has been a focal point of research due to its vulnerability within the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. Decades of research have interrogated this dynamic glacier system with a focus on its main trunk and the ice shelf section bordering and stabilizing PIG to the south (the ‘south shelf’), receiving comparatively less attention. Using satellite-derived observations from 2017 to 2023, we document marked dynamic changes on the south shelf, particularly following PIG’s 2018 calving event, which removed >60 km2 of ice from this section. Measurements of surface deformation, ice velocity and strain rates from synthetic aperture radar and optical imagery show localized acceleration and structural weakening of the south shelf near-coincident with this loss. Our findings, highlighting the role of peripheral ice shelves in glacier-system stability, suggest that PIG’s new configuration—characterized by weakening margins and a compromised south shelf—may result in a geometry that grows progressively unstable.
We study experimentally, numerically and theoretically the gravitational instability induced by dissolution of carbon dioxide with a forced lateral flow. The study is restricted to the model case of a vertical Hele-Shaw cell filled with water. While a transverse (horizontal) flow is continuously forced through the whole cell, the carbon dioxide is introduced above the liquid–gas interface so that a $\textrm {CO}_2$-enriched diffusive layer gradually forms on top of the liquid phase. The diffusive layer destabilises through a convective process which entrains the $\textrm {CO}_2$–water mixture towards the bottom of the cell. The concentration fields are measured quantitatively by means of a pH-sensitive dye (bromocresol green) that reveals a classic fingering pattern. We observe that the transverse background flow has a stabilising effect on the gravitational instability. At low velocity (i.e. for small thickness-based Péclet numbers), the behaviour of the system is hardly altered by the background flow. Beyond a threshold value of the Péclet number ($\textit{Pe} \sim 15$), the emergence of the fingering instability is delayed (i.e. the growth rate becomes smaller), while the most unstable wavelength is increased. These trends can be explained by the stabilising role of the Taylor–Aris dispersion in the horizontal direction and a model is proposed, based on previous works, which justifies the scalings observed in the limit of large Péclet number for the growth rate ($\sigma ^\star \sim \textit{Pe}^{-4}$) and the most unstable wavelength ($\lambda ^\star \sim \textit{Pe}^{\,5/2}$). The flux (rate mass transfer) of $\textrm {CO}_2$ in the nonlinear regime is also weakly decreased by the background transverse flow.
In the present study, we investigate the relation between temperature ($T^{\prime}$) and streamwise velocity ($u^{\prime}$) fluctuations by assessing the state-of-the-art Reynolds analogy models. These analyses are conducted on three levels: in the statistical sense, in spectral space and via the distribution characteristics of temperature fluctuations. It is observed that the model proposed by Huang et al. (HSRA) (1995 J. Fluid Mech.305, 185–218), is the only model that works well for both channel flows and turbulent boundary layers in the statistical sense. In spectral space, the intensities of $T^{\prime}$ at small scales are discovered to be larger than the predictions of these models, whereas those at scales corresponding to the energy-containing eddies and the large-scale motions are approximately equal to and smaller than the predictions of the HSRA, respectively. The success of the HSRA arises from this combined effect. In compressible turbulent boundary layers, the relationship between the intensities of positive temperature and negative velocity fluctuations is found to be well described by a model proposed by Gaviglio (1987 IntlJ. Heat Mass Transfer, 30, 911–926), whereas that between negative temperature and positive velocity fluctuations is accurately depicted by the HSRA. The streamwise length scale, rather than the spanwise length scale, is found to be more suitable for characterising the scale characteristics of the $u^{\prime}-T^{\prime}$ relation in spectral space. Combining these observations and a newly proposed modified generalised Reynolds analogy (Cheng & Fu 2024 J. Fluid Mech.999, A20), models regarding the relations in spectral space for both compressible channel flows and turbulent boundary layers are developed, and a strategy for generating more reliable temperature fluctuations as the inlet boundary condition for simulations of compressible boundary layers is also suggested.
In this study, we established an annually resolved chronology for the upper 98.5 m of a 210.5 m deep ice core (Styx-M core) drilled at the Styx Glacier plateau (SGP) in northern Victoria Land, East Antarctica, to reconstruct the multi-centennial variations of the snow accumulation rate (SAR). The core was dated via the annual layer counting of highly resolved impurities exhibiting seasonal cycles. The layer counting result was constrained using multiple temporal markers, including the 239Pu peaks that resulted from atmospheric weapon tests as well as five large volcanic eruptions in recorded history. These approaches show that the Styx-M core chronology covered 755 years (1259–2014 CE), with the estimated dating uncertainties of ±8 years. The annual accumulation record was derived using the depth-age scale and depth-density relationships of the core. This record revealed a long-term trend of a ∼30% increase in the SARs over the past 755 years, overlapping the pronounced inter-decadal and multi-decadal fluctuations. Further study will be needed to reveal the complex interaction of oceanic and atmospheric processes controlling the temporal fluctuations of SARs in the coastal areas of northern Victoria Land, combining multiple proxy records in the Styx-M core.
Climate hazard events, such as floods and heatwaves, are becoming more frequent and severe. This paper focuses on coastal urban areas and addresses the need for implementing effective ecosystem-based adaptation (EbA) measures. It highlights the importance of integrating EbA into urban planning to enhance resilience. The study proposes a comprehensive assessment framework to guide EbA implementation process at the local level. Governance system, policy framework, and funding sources are identified as key factors influencing the process. Within governance structures, the study focuses on cooperation, decision-making processes, scientific knowledge, and political support. Plans and strategies, regulations, international treaties, or agreements are recognized within policy sphere. The framework also considers the importance of sustainable funding mechanisms, including public–private partnerships and fiscal incentives, to ensure the long-term viability of EbA interventions. The framework's applicability and effectiveness are tested by assessing 10 implementation experiences in Spain and Portugal. The assessment underscores the need for adaptive governance and the inclusion of diverse stakeholders in planning and execution. The research concludes with the need for a systemic approach to integrating EbA into local adaptation strategies, to bridge the knowledge gap between researchers and practitioners, foster adaptation in coastal urban environments, and increase climate resilience.
Irrigation relies on groundwater, but depletion threatens food supply, rural livelihoods, and ecosystems. Nature-based Solutions can potentially combat groundwater depletion, typically combining physical and natural infrastructure to benefit both people and nature. However, social infrastructure (e.g., rules and norms) is also needed but is under-studied for NbS used in agricultural groundwater management. Through a narrative review, we find that social infrastructure is infrequently described with an emphasis on using Nature-based Solutions to augment supply rather than manage demand.
Technical summary
Groundwater faces depletion worldwide, threatening irrigators who rely on it. Supply-side interventions to drill deeper or import water greater distances have not reduced this threat. Nature-based Solutions (NbS) are increasingly promoted as leveraging natural infrastructure to reduce depletion. However, there is growing evidence that without social infrastructure (e.g., social norms, capacities and knowledge), NbS will reproduce the problems of technical approaches. How can social infrastructure be implemented within agricultural groundwater NbS to overcome groundwater depletion? Through a narrative review of the literature on agricultural groundwater NbS, we evaluate how social infrastructure has been implemented to (1) enable coordination, (2) monitor and manage change over time, and (3) achieve social fit. Our analysis covers diverse cases from around the world and various points in time, ranging from ancient civilizations to present-day. We conclude that social infrastructure is essential to effective agricultural groundwater NbS but understudied. We also propose further research on NbS designs that rely only on social and natural infrastructure by focusing on ecological fit between agricultural practices and their local environments.
Social media summary
A review of nature-based solutions for agricultural groundwater management finds that social infrastructure is key.
The momentum dispersion model for flows in isotropic porous media has been validated and successfully applied by Rao & Jin (2022, J. Fluid Mech., vol. 937, A17). However, the anisotropic coupled models concerning heat–fluid–solid interactions in turbulent forced convection requires further development. This research proposes various anisotropic physical coefficient tensors to model the total drag ${R}_{i}$, interphase energy resistance $H$, momentum dispersion and thermal dispersion accounting for both anisotropic and isotropic scenarios. The effective physical coefficients of the Darcy–Forchheimer equation regarding ${R}_{i}$ are adapted to accommodate anisotropy. The heat transfer coefficient $h$ between the solid and fluid, despite being a scalar, is also required to depend on the local flow direction in anisotropic cases. Two scaling laws of $h$ with respect to a local Reynolds number ${\textit{Re}_{K}}$ are found: $h\sim \textit{Re}_K^2$ for the Darcy regime, and $h\sim \textit{Re}_{K}^{1/2}$ for the Forchheimer regime, with a transition at ${\textit{Re}_{K}}\sim 1$. The influence of momentum and thermal dispersions, along with the modelling errors of ${R}_{i}$ and $H$ originating from heterogeneity, are approximated using a second-order pseudo-stress tensor and a pseudo-flux vector, respectively. The effective viscosity and thermal diffusivity tensors are simplified into longitudinal and transverse components using tensor symmetries, and are assumed to rely mainly on another local Reynolds number ${\textit{Re}_{d}}$. Both components of the effective viscosity are positive in isotropic cases, whereas the longitudinal component may be negative in anisotropic cases, mainly serving as a compensation of overestimated drag. The coupled models are applied to simulate turbulent forced thermal convection in porous media with one or two length scales across a wide range of Reynolds numbers. The comparisons with direct numerical simulations results imply that the coupled macroscopic models can accurately predict not only statistically stationary distributions but also real-time changes in velocity and temperature.
Standing acoustic waves in a channel generate time-mean Eulerian flows. In homogeneous fluids, these streaming flows have been shown by Rayleigh to result from viscous attenuation of the waves in oscillatory boundary (i.e. Stokes) layers. However, the strength and structure of the mean flow significantly depart from the predictions of Rayleigh when inhomogeneities in fluid compressibility or density are present. This change in mean flow behaviour is of particular interest in thermal management, as streaming flows can be used to enhance cooling. In this work, we consider standing acoustic wave oscillations of an ideal gas in a differentially heated channel with hot- and cold-wall temperatures respectively set to $T_* + \Delta \varTheta _*$ and $T_*$. An asymptotic analysis for a normalised temperature differential $\Delta \varTheta _*/T_*$ comparable to the small acoustic Mach number is performed to capture the transition between the two documented regimes of Rayleigh streaming ($\Delta \varTheta _*\,{=}\,0$) and baroclinic streaming ($\Delta \varTheta _* =O(T_*)$). Our analytical solution accounts for existing experimental and numerical results and elucidates the separate contributions of viscous torques in Stokes layers and baroclinic forcing in the interior to driving the streaming flow. The analysis yields a scaling estimate for the temperature difference $\Delta \varTheta _{c_*}$ at which baroclinic driving is comparable to viscous forcing, signalling the smooth transition from Rayleigh to baroclinic acoustic streaming.
When a liquid film on a horizontal plate is driven in motion by a shear stress, surface waves are easily generated. This paper studies such flow at moderate Reynolds numbers, where the surface tension and inertial force are equally important. The governing equations for two-dimensional flows are derived using the long-wave approximation along with the integral boundary-layer theory. For small disturbances, the dispersion relation and neutral curves are determined by the linear stability analysis. For finite-amplitude perturbations, the numerical simulation suggests that the oscillations generated by the perturbation in a certain place continuously spread to the surrounding areas. When the effects of surface tension and gravity reach equilibrium, steady-state solutions will emerge, which include two cases: solitary waves and periodic waves. The former have heteroclinic trajectories between two stationary points, while the latter include five patterns at different parameters. In addition, there are also periodic waves that do not converge after a long period of time. During these evolution processes, strange attractors appear in the phase space. By examining the Poincaré section and the sensitivity to initial values, we demonstrate that these waves can be divided into two types: quasi-periodic and chaotic solutions. The specific type depends on parameters and initial conditions.