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A significant portion of a building’s energy is used to provide air heating, water heating, air-conditioning, and refrigeration. Heat is also used for cooking, dishwashing, and clothes washing and drying. Away from the tropics, demand for air heating in buildings is usually greatest during winter, whereas demand for air-conditioning is usually greatest during summer. In all locations, hot water and refrigeration are needed year-round, although energy demand for hot water peaks during cold months and demand for refrigeration peaks during warm months. In a 100 percent WWS world, air and water heating and air-conditioning in buildings will be provided either by district heating and cooling systems or by individual-building heating and cooling systems. In both cases, heating and cooling will be provided primarily by electric heat pumps, where the electricity comes from WWS sources and the heat or cold is extracted from either air, ground, water, or a waste stream of hot or cold air or water. The heat and cold may be stored or used immediately. Additional heat may come from geothermal and solar heat. The remaining energy used in buildings is for electric appliances and gadgets, such as lights, televisions, computers, and phone chargers. This chapter discusses how WWS will power district and individual-building heating and cooling systems. It includes a discussion of hot and cold storage options for both. It also discusses electric appliances and machines that will replace fossil-gas ones in buildings. The chapter also examines energy efficiency in buildings and techniques to reduce building energy use. Finally, it discusses a modern district heating and cooling system and an all-electric home.
The chapter begins with a brief history of paleoclimate modeling. It first outlines the main modeling approaches and types of models used to study Quaternary climate dynamics. The hierarchy of numerical models is presented, ranging from simple (box, conceptual and 1-dimensional) models to comprehensive 3-D Earth system models. The role of models of intermediate complexity and of individual components of the Earth system in understanding past climate variability is explored. The use of different types of models to study past climate conditions and climate variability is illustrated through a number of practical examples. The methods of conducting time slice and transient experiments are compared, and their potential limitations are discussed. The chapter also explains the objective and methodology of the paleoclimate intercomparison projects and their main results.
The chapter describes Quaternary glacial cycles. It begins by outlining the main empirical evidence regarding the magnitude, typical periodicity and spatial pattern of Quaternary climate variability at orbital time scales, including changes in atmospheric composition and global ice volume. The chapter explores the current understanding of the mechanisms of Quaternary glacial cycles, starting with the classical Milankovitch theory, highlighting its strengths and shortcomings, and then provides an overview of modeling work carried out with different types of models aimed at testing the theory and reproducing the reconstructed climate variability associated with glacial cycles. The role of glacial-interglacial variations in atmospheric CO2 concentrations and the proposed mechanism of this variability are examined. The cause of the onset of Quaternary glacial cycles 2.7 million years ago and the transition from obliquity-dominated glacial cycles to the dominant 100,000-year periodicity one million years ago are discussed in relation to recent modeling results.
Near-space hypersonic vehicles encounter significant rarefaction effects during the flight through the atmosphere, causing the classical Navier–Stokes–Fourier (NSF) equations to break down and posing challenges for the evaluation of surface drag and heat flux. In this paper, the nonlinear momentum and heat transfer in a hypersonic transitional boundary layer are analysed based on the generalized hydrodynamic equations (GHE), and the generality of the derived formulae is also discussed. The leading transport relations are obtained by estimating the relative orders of the various terms in GHE according to the hypersonic flow and boundary-layer requirements. Local non-equilibrium parameters characterising the shear non-equilibrium effect ($K_\sigma$) and thermal-gradient non-equilibrium effect ($K_q$) are introduced, and a set of correlation formulae for local surface pressure, shear stress and heat flux are proposed as corrections to continuum-based solutions. The correction function depends only on the non-equilibrium parameters $K_\sigma$ and $K_q$, and the continuous solutions can be either analytical formulae or NSF simulation results. This enables us to predict the surface aerothermodynamics with enhanced accuracy while still using the solutions of the NSF equations. The proposed formulae are carefully verified by comparing with direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) results of different hypersonic rarefied flows, including flat-plate, sharp-wedge, cylinder and blunt-cone flows, and partial experimental data are also given. The results demonstrate that the proposed formulae can significantly enhance the accuracy of the continuum-based solutions, and show good agreement with DSMC simulations and experimental measurements in the near-continuum regime.
The evolution of the flow structure around an impulsively stopped sphere is investigated in an incompressible viscous fluid under a transverse magnetic field. The study focuses on the wake structure and drag force over the range of Reynolds numbers $60 \leqslant {\textit{Re}}_{\!D} \leqslant 300$ and $ {\textit{Re}}_{\!D}=1000$, with the interaction parameters $0 \leqslant N \leqslant 10$, where $N$ characterises the strength of the magnetic field. The wake is fully developed before the impulsive stop, after which it moves downstream and interacts with the sphere under the influence of a transverse magnetic field. The complex flow structures are characterised by skin friction lines on the downstream side of the sphere and categorised into five regimes in the $\{N, {\textit{Re}}_{\!D}\}$ phase diagram based on nearly 200 cases. The drag force generally decays over time following the impulsive stop. A drag decomposition model based on the vorticity diffusion scale is proposed, attributing the drag decay to three components: the original Stokes contribution, an inertia correction at high Reynolds numbers and a magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) correction, where the inertia and MHD effects both contribute a temporal power-law decay with an exponent of $-1/6$. Temporal scaling laws of the drag decay are derived by coupling these three different effects, considering flow structures at short and long time scales, as well as the dependence on ${\textit{Re}}_{\!D}$ and $N$. The prediction results are consistent with present simulations. Furthermore, the proposed drag decomposition model is successfully extended to complex vortex flow past a sphere at ${\textit{Re}}_{\!D}=1000$, to an anisotropic ellipsoidal particle and to different magnetic field orientations.
The chapter provides a brief summary of Earth's geological history, spanning from its origin to the Quaternary. It presents the main geological periods, key events and qualitative transitions in atmospheric composition, climate variability and the complex interaction between climate and life. It discusses the role of the Great Oxidation Event for climate and biosphere, the so-called “faint young sun paradox,” and the mechanisms behind the Neoproterozoic snowball Earth. The role of plate tectonics and the formation and collapse of supercontinents in climate history is described. The Paleocene and Eocene greenhouse climates and possible mechanisms of the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum are examined. The influence of a gradual Cenozoic cooling in the transition from a greenhouse to an icehouse world is explored alongside the leading hypothesis for the cause of Antarctic glaciation. Finally, the role of various factors in the transition to regular Quaternary glacial cycles is discussed.
A combined experimental and direct numerical simulation (DNS) investigation is undertaken to study the laminar boundary-layer (BL) flow adjacent to a melting vertical ice face at two far-field water salinities ($S_\infty =0$ and 34 ‰) and a range of far-field temperatures ($T_\infty$). Wall-normal distributions of vertical velocity and temperature within the BL are measured by a modified molecular tagging velocimetry and thermometry technique. Experimental data match with DNS only when a nonlinear equation of state (EoS) for density is used rather than a linear EoS. For all $S_\infty =0$, i.e. freshwater cases, the flow remains uni-directional, although the flow reverses direction at $T_\infty =4^{\,\circ} \text{C}$. A bi-directional flow, however, exists for $S_\infty =$ 34 g kg−1, where an inner salinity-driven upward flow of fresher water is accompanied by a downward-flowing temperature-driven outer flow. Although the contribution of temperature to density relative to salinity is small $({\approx}1/40)$, the thermal BL region is larger owing to higher diffusivity. This results in increased total buoyancy force when the buoyancy is integrated across the BL, which combined with effects of wall shear stress on salinity BL and a freer thermal BL growth reveals that buoyancy from temperature contributes almost equally to the overall flow. Melt rates ($V$) also show differing features in uni- and bi-directional flows. The uni-directional flows exhibit the standard scaling of increasing velocity magnitude and BL thickness, and decreasing $V$ with distance along the flow direction. Such scalings are not followed in the bi-directional flows. These show a more uniform $V$ with height, which is attributed to the counteracting effects of an upward-growing salinity BL and a downward-growing temperature BL, combined with the necessity of maintaining salinity and temperature flux balance at the ice–water interface.
Stéphane Dees, Banque de France and Bordeaux School of Economics, University of Bordeaux, France,Selin Ozyurt-Miller, International Finance Corporation
This book explores the economic and financial impacts of climate change, highlighting the risks posed by extreme weather events and the transition to a low-carbon economy. It examines the challenges for central banks, financial institutions, and emerging markets, emphasizing the need for green finance mechanisms such as sustainability debt markets and blended finance. The book also addresses climate justice, ensuring equitable distribution of burdens and benefits. Through comprehensive analysis, it offers insights for policymakers and financial professionals on managing climate-related risks and promoting sustainable development.
The solution to air pollution, global warming, and energy insecurity is, in theory, simple and straightforward: Electrify or provide direct heat for all energy; obtain the electricity and heat from only wind, water, and solar sources; store energy; transmit electricity over long distance; and reduce energy use. This chapter first explores the main components of a wind–water–solar system and then focuses on the WWS electricity-generating technologies that will replace traditional energy sources, thereby eliminating all global anthropogenic emissions from such energy sources.
The industrial sector creates products made of metal, plastic, rubber, concrete, glass, and ceramics, among other materials. Energy is needed in industry for heating, cooling, drying, curing, melting, and electricity. Industrial heat ranges from low- to high-temperature heat. About half of industrial heat is high-temperature heat (above 400 degrees Celsius) and the other half, low- (30–200 degrees Celsius) and medium- (200–400 degrees Celsius) temperature heat. High-temperature heat is used for plastics and rubber manufacturing, casting, steel production, other metal production, glass production, lime calcining in cement manufacturing, metal heat-treating and reheating, ironmaking, and silicon extraction from sand. Low- and medium-temperature heat are used for drying and washing during food production, chemical manufacturing, distilling, cracking, pulp and paper manufacturing, and petroleum refining, among other processes. This chapter first discusses the current sources of energy used in industry and then discusses WWS alternatives to these sources. The chapter also includes methods of eliminating chemical emissions from steel, concrete, and silicon manufacturing.
Numerical simulations of turbulent flows at realistic Reynolds numbers generally rely on filtering out small scales from the Navier–Stokes equations and modelling their impact through the subgrid-scale stress tensor ${\tau }_{\textit{ij}}$. Traditional models approximate ${\tau }_{\textit{ij}}$ solely as a function of the filtered velocity gradient, leading to deterministic subgrid-scale closures. However, small-scale fluctuations can locally exhibit instantaneous values whose deviation from the mean can have a significant influence on the flow dynamics. In this work, we investigate these effects by employing direct numerical simulations combined with Gaussian filtering to quantify subgrid-scale effects and evaluating the local energy flux in both space and time. The mean performance of the canonical Clark model is assessed by conditioning the energy flux distributions on the invariants of the filtered velocity gradient tensor, $Q$ and $R$. The Clark model captures to a good degree the mean energy flux. However, the fluctuations around these mean values for given ($Q,R$) are of the order of the mean, displaying fat-tailed distributions. To be more precise, we examine the joint distributions of true energy flux and the predictions from both the Clark and the Smagorinsky models. This approach mirrors the strategy adopted in early stochastic subgrid-scale models. Clear non-Gaussian characteristics emerge from the obtained distributions, particularly through the appearance of heavy tails. The mean, the variance, the skewness and the flatness of these distributions are quantified. Our results emphasise that fluctuations are an integral component of the small-scale feedback onto the large-scale dynamics and should be incorporated into subgrid-scale modelling through an appropriate stochastic framework.
Hydro, geothermal, tidal, and ocean-current electricity production can be steady for long periods; thus, these generators provide baseload (constant-output) electricity. However, wind, solar PV, and wave electricity outputs vary during the day and by season. As such, these electricity sources provide variable output. Given that solar and wind may end up supplying 90 percent or more of all WWS energy generation worldwide, on average, it is important to have electricity-storage technologies available to provide backup when solar and wind are unavailable. Storage also allows excess daytime WWS generation, for example, to be shifted to nighttime. Major electricity-storage options include existing hydroelectric dams, pumped hydroelectric storage, batteries, concentrated solar power coupled with thermal energy storage, flywheels, compressed-air energy storage, gravitational storage with solid masses, and green-hydrogen storage. This chapter discusses these technologies.
One of the greatest concerns facing the implementation of a worldwide 100 percent clean, renewable energy and storage system is whether electricity, heat, cold, and hydrogen will be available when they are needed. In other words, can a 100 percent WWS grid avoid blackouts? The electric grid in a 100 percent WWS world will be very different from that today. Today, electricity comprises about 20 percent of all end-use energy (or 40 percent of primary energy). In a 100 percent WWS world, electricity will comprise close to 100 percent of all end-use energy, which itself will equal primary energy less transmission and distribution losses. The nonelectricity end-use energy will come from geothermal heat and solar heat. The sectors that will be electrified (transport, buildings, industry, agriculture/forestry/fishing, and the military) will use more energy-efficient technologies than with a fossil-fuel system. Such technologies include battery-electric vehicles, hydrogen-fuel-cell-electric vehicles, and electric heat pumps, among others. The reduction in energy use due to the use of more efficient technologies will reduce overall energy demand substantially. Demand will also decrease because no more energy will be used to mine, transport, or process fossil fuels, bioenergy, or uranium for energy. End-use energy efficiency will increase, and policies will encourage less energy use. A future electric grid will also be coupled with electricity, heat, cold, and hydrogen storage. Finally, a future grid will have more long-distance electrical transmission instead of fossil-fuel pipelines. Thus, the main challenge in a future grid will be to match electricity, heat, cold, and hydrogen demand with 100 percent WWS electricity and heat supply plus storage while using demand response. This chapter discusses how to meet such demand both on short timescales (seconds to minutes) and long times scales (months to seasons to years).
The hydrogen isotope composition of the mantle provides insight into the advection, melting and metasomatism of the mantle, and the Earth’s water cycle. Because of sampling challenges, most estimates for the hydrogen composition of the mantle have been derived from basaltic glasses rather than from direct samples of the mantle. We present the first direct measurement of D/H ratios in nominally anhydrous orthopyroxene and olivine inclusions hosted within diamonds. The diamond hosts were recovered from placer deposits in Guyana, South America. The diamond-hosted inclusions preserve a population with δD of –31 ± 59‰ (normalised to Vienna Standard Mean Ocean Water). This value is D-enriched relative to that expected for a homogeneous upper mantle and is similar to values measured for arc basalts. We introduce three explanations for the observed D-enrichment in the anhydrous silicate inclusions. The hydrogen isotopic composition of the mantle might simply be heterogeneous in space and/or time. The measured D-enrichment could instead preserve local heterogeneity produced by fluids genetically related to the crystallisation of the diamond hosts. Local and mantle-wide processes might also have operated in concert, and overprint each other. Diamond-hosted silicate inclusions preserve an underexplored record of Earth’s water cycle.
Iraya Volcano, situated at the northern tip of Batan Island in the Batanes group, marks the northernmost extent of the Philippine archipelago. Aside from the presence of accessible tephra deposits, the numerous archaeological sites on the island provide key insight into tephrochronology and volcanic hazard assessment. This paper presents stratigraphy and 21 radiocarbon ages of Holocene tephra layers distributed on the island. The eruption ages of the Holocene tephra are approximately 12.4 cal ka BP for Rolling Hills at the bottom, 4.5–4.9 cal ka BP for San Antonio, 2.1–2.5 cal ka BP for Mahatao, 1.6 cal ka BP for Basco, and 1.2–1.6 cal ka BP for Boulder Beach, with most of the tephra concentrated in the latter half of the Holocene. Artifacts excavated from Reydante Cabizon Property Site, San Antonio, Basco can be thought to date to around 4 to 2 cal ka BP, which is consistent with tephrochronology.
The archaeology of glaciers and ice patches has developed as a distinct new field in response to climate change and the melting of mountain ice. Thousands of artefacts and biological materials, dating back up to 10 000 years are being released from melting ice patches and retreating glaciers, offering unique insight into past human activities in cold environments. This paper examines the historical development of glacial archaeology, the preservation or loss of archaeological material from snow and ice, and the methodological challenges in locating and recovering such finds. Key finds and sites from North America, the Alps and Norway are presented. The emerging history demonstrates that high mountain areas were used more intensively in the past than previously assumed, including during winter. The paper argues that closer collaboration between glacial archaeology, glaciology and palaeoclimate research would be highly beneficial, particularly through joint investigations of the ice at glacial archaeological sites.
Deep ice cores from polar ice sheets enable reconstructions of Earth’s past climate. Ice core records are therefore crucial for projecting future climate change, but our ability to interpret them relies on our understanding of polycrystalline-ice microstructures and mechanics. In turn, these microstructures enable modeling of ice flow and large-scale effects of ice sheet evolution. Since drilling began in the 1950s, the ice textures and climate proxies developed to decipher ice core records have been analyzed in one-dimensional (1D) or two-dimensional (2D) spaces, necessitated by the analytical instruments of core-processing lines and laboratories. Here, we develop a three-dimensional (3D), non-destructive approach to textural analysis that preserves the natural context of ice and complements standard methods. Our method combines lab-based absorption and diffraction contrast tomography to simultaneously visualize, measure, and spatially correlate ice grains and air bubbles from volumetric and 3D crystallographic perspectives, both lost during traditional sample preparations. We evaluate the representation of 3D versus 2D data and discuss how access to both c- and a-axis directions of grains may help constrain micromechanical models. We also built a specially designed cooling device for the laboratory X-ray system to extend observational volumes by several orders of magnitude over previous synchrotron-based measurements.
This work aims to clarify the absolute chronology of the construction phases of the St. Peter and Paul Rotunda at Budeč, focusing on the erection of the rotunda and the tower. Fifteen mortar samples were taken from various structural parts, two of which also contained remnants of charcoal. The mortar samples were mechanically treated to extract a purified calcitic binder that was dated by radiocarbon analysis. The effectiveness of the sample pretreatment methodology was assessed by means of cathodoluminescence microscopy. Thin sections of mortars were characterized by polarized light microscopy. The petrographic characterization allowed for the samples to be grouped according to their binder, aggregate, and structure. This was compared with the evaluation of the calibrated dates, expected chronology known from legends, as well as with formal and stylistic analyses of the structure. The radiocarbon dating distinguished the different construction phases well, and the accuracy and reliability of the dating is discussed. The presence of silts and clays probably led to geogenic carbon contamination of the samples from the foundations, as the obtained dates are older than expected. These dating results were thus regarded as inconclusive. However, the samples from the vaulted dome of the rotunda did not show any anomalies, and the calibrated date period obtained was regarded as relevant and thus successfully dated. The dating based on the legends also fits the determined interval.