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Why do some societies evolve and adapt while others remain stagnant? What creates divisiveness and exclusion, and what leads to community cohesion and social progress? This book discusses the psychology of social system change and resistance to change, offering readers a deep exploration of the psychological dynamics that shape societal transformations. Readers explore psychological perspectives on intergroup relations and group processes, alongside interdisciplinary perspectives from environmental science, history, political science, and sociology, to question and challenge conventional thinking. This readable, entertaining book contains clear definitions, lucid explanations, and key learnings in each chapter that highlight the take-home points and implications, so that readers can apply these insights to their real-world challenges. Whether you're a student, scholar, community member, or leader, this book provides important knowledge for all who are interested in understanding and influencing the dynamics of social change.
Of the sectors comprising international capital markets, insurance and reinsurance have attracted relatively little attention from students of politics. New social conventions and financial instruments arising from the invention of probabilistic calculation and the discovery of risk began to spread around the world five centuries ago. Today, states and firms are harnessing the logic of insurance to address an expansive array of risks confronting their societies. In Insuring States in an Uncertain World, Louis Pauly examines the history and politics of pragmatic experiments aimed at governing complex global risks. His fascinating and accessible narrative explores the promise and the challenges of multi-faceted insurance arrangements in arenas ranging from nuclear energy production and international financial intermediation to those focused on environmental change, infectious diseases, and disruptive new technologies. At a time when the foundations of global order are under mounting stress, Pauly makes the case for limited and effective political innovation.
This chapter studies the history of European expansion in the oceans and the seas stretching east from the Cape of Good Hope. It aims to look at European violent activity here within the broader context of the history of the Indian Ocean, the Red Sea, the Persian Gulf, the Arabian Sea, the Bay of Bengal, the South Chinese Sea, and the Pacific Ocean. In this short chapter, only a few major developments can be traced. Roughly three phases can be distinguished: first, armed vessels – sea power – opened the door for later European success. Then overseas bases – factories – were consolidated by the construction of fortresses. Finally, the Europeans – the Portuguese, the Dutch, the English, and the French – became drawn into military enterprises inland. This chapter, though, focuses on the naval aspects of European expansion, more specifically on the use of warfare to support overseas trade or to prevent competitors from trading.
This study addresses the mental health needs of refugees and migrants in the Netherlands, highlighting the urgent public health challenges they face. Unique psychosocial hurdles, exacerbated by cultural dislocation, language barriers and systemic inequalities, hinder their access to quality mental healthcare. This study explores how coloniality intersects with mental healthcare access, using a decolonial framework to challenge stereotypes and assumptions that marginalize migrant voices. Through semi-structured interviews with migrants and language service providers, this research reveals the complexities of navigating the mental healthcare system. Findings reveal that temporality, professionalism and language barriers are key issues in migrants’ mental healthcare journeys. We advocate for systemic changes that prioritize migrant perspectives. Ultimately, this study aims to inform policy and practice to enhance mental health services for migrant populations in the Netherlands and contribute to the broader dialogue on decolonization in mental health.
The 2007 adoption of the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples (UNDRIP) marked a critical juncture in the area of Indigenous rights. As a nonbinding agreement, its adoption is at the discretion of each state, resulting in significant state-level variation. Importantly, within-state variations remain underexplored. These differences are potentially significant in federal, decentralized countries such as Canada. This article examines why some provinces and territories lead in implementing the key principles embedded in UNDRIP, whereas others have dragged their feet. We collected 230 Canadian regulations introduced at the subnational level between 2007 and 2023, and assessed the impact of three key variables (i.e. political ideology, resource politics and issue voting). We found that none of these variables explained within-state variations on their own. To further explore the role of these variables, we subsequently compared two provinces at different stages of the UNDRIP implementation spectrum (Québec and British Columbia).
Obtaining high-resolution, autonomous and continuous measurements of internal and interfacial convection at the ice–ocean interface is important to understand sea-ice desalination, compare the effects of gravity drainage and salt segregation, and give insight into the behaviour of the sublayer beneath the ice. We present the first digital image processing method that can be applied to Schlieren images from a quasi-2D Hele-Shaw cell to provide continuous high-frequency measurements of fingers and streamers, which are linked to interfacial and internal convection, respectively. Previous studies lack the ability to provide a temporal evolution of this dynamic system at a high enough resolution to investigate these interactions. The improved algorithm confirms previous results, while providing a more detailed and statistically acceptable description of the processes during artificial sea-ice growth. We demonstrate that internal convection exhibits a highly variable behaviour that changes in time. As the ice growth rate decreases to its minimum value, internal convection becomes periodically inactive while interfacial convection remains active throughout the experiments. This temporal change suggests a dominant, shorter time-period for gravity drainage to occur and a longer time-period over which salt segregation occurs, while the oscillation in expulsion behaviour suggests that the sublayer is more turbulent than diffusive.
The goal of risk stratification is to place the emergency department patient in the correct level of care. Patients with a moderate to high risk/probability of disease and who need inpatient hospitalization meet the threshold for inpatient admission. Severity of illness and intensity of service are required to justify an inpatient admission. Others are safe to be discharged home. With others in whom it is unclear whether or not they have a serious condition, observation is an appropriate disposition.
The key components mandatory for observation services: hospital site of service, acute care staffing, continuous care in outpatient setting, intensive managerial review and economical service are enumerated.
For abdominal pain patients it is often difficult upon presentation in the emergency to make the diagnosis. In abdominal pain patients, observation improves diagnostic performance, cost effectiveness, patient satisfaction and patient outcomes. Patients can receive definitive tests safely as outpatients. Observation helps the clinician better discriminate which patients with abdominal pain have disease,
The binary decision, admit or discharge, was the only option allowed by the traditional approach to the evaluation and management of patients over 3-4 hours in the emergency department. This traditional approach was a failure for many reasons including a high rate of missed diagnoses, increased malpractice liability, and a long and more costly inpatient length of stay. The addition of a third option, observation, selected patients with a low probability of serious, dangerous disease who could receive an additional 8–24 hours of evaluation and/or treatment. The result was best practices with fewer missed diagnoses, better patient care/outcomes at a lower cost with financial viability. The evolution of observation medicine with leadership and the support of ACEP and SAEM responding to Centers for Medicare and Medicaid issues including reimbursement and the two-midnight rule is discussed.
During 1996–7 MSRI held a full academic year program on Combinatorics, with special emphasis on the connections with other branches of mathematics, such as algebraic geometry, topology, commutative algebra, representation theory, and convex geometry. The rich combinatorial problems arising from the study of various algebraic structures are the subject of this book, which represents work done or presented at seminars during the program. It contains contributions on matroid bundles, combinatorial representation theory, lattice points in polyhedra, bilinear forms, combinatorial differential topology and geometry, Macdonald polynomials and geometry, enumeration of matchings, the generalized Baues problem, and Littlewood–Richardson semigroups. These expository articles, written by some of the most respected researchers in the field, will continue to be of use to graduate students and researchers in combinatorics as well as algebra, geometry, and topology.
Determining the factors that impact the risk for infection with SARS-CoV-2 is a priority as the virus continues to infect people worldwide. The objective was to determine the effectiveness of vaccines and other factors associated with infection among Canadian healthcare workers (HCWs) followed from 15 June 2020 to 1 December 2023. We also investigate the association between antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 and subsequent infections with SARS-CoV-2. Of the 2474 eligible participants, 2133 (86%) were female, 33% were nurses, the median age was 41 years, and 99.3% had received at least two doses of COVID-19 vaccine by 31 December 2021. The incidence of SARS-CoV-2 was 0.91 per 1000 person-days. Prior to the circulation of the Omicron variants, vaccine effectiveness (VE) was estimated at 85% (95% CI 1, 98) for participants who received the primary series of vaccine. During the Omicron period, relative adjusted VE was 43% (95% CI 29, 54), 56% (95% CI 42, 67), and 46% (95% CI 24, 62) for 3, 4, and ≥ 5 doses compared with those who received primary series after adjusting for previous infection and other covariates. Exposure to infected household members, coworkers, or friends in the previous 14 days were risk factor for infection, while contact with an infected patient was not statistically significant. Participants with higher levels of immunoglobulin G (IgG) anti-receptor binding domain (RBD) antibodies had lower rates of infection than those with the lowest levels. COVID-19 vaccines remained effective throughout the follow-up of this cohort of highly vaccinated HCWs. IgG anti-RBD antibody levels may be useful as correlates of protection for issues such as vaccine development and testing. There remains a need to increase the awareness among HCWs about the risk of contracting SARS-CoV-2 from contacts at a variety of venues.
Former prisoners are a vulnerable population, and suicide rates among this group are high, particularly following release from prison.
Aims
To explore former prisoners’ engagement with mental health services before death by suicide, and to examine the demographics, clinical history and clinical care of this patient group and compare them with patients who died by suicide who had not been to prison.
Method
The clinical, sociodemographic and care characteristics of patients in contact with mental health services who died by suicide in the UK were examined in a national clinical survey between 1 January 2001 and 31 December 2021, and comparisons were made between former prisoners and patients with no history of being in prison.
Results
Of the 33 381 (median age 46 years, range 10–100; 65.6% male) patients who died by suicide in the UK and had been in contact with mental health services in the 12 months before death, 3335 (11%) were ex-prisoners (male n = 2988, 90%; female n = 347, 10%). Compared with other patients, ex-prisoner patients had higher frequencies of personality disorder, schizophrenia and delusional disorders, as well as childhood abuse. Ex-prisoner patients were more likely to be male, to be aged between 45 and 65 years (median age 39, range 17–89), to live in deprived areas and to have a history of substance misuse. We found no differences in ethnicity.
Conclusions
Mental health services need to focus particularly on patients with a history of being in prison who are experiencing economic adversity and offer substance-use-related interventions to ensure continued patient engagement. The link with deprivation is striking at a time at which rising costs of living are resulting in more health inequalities.
Aims: People under mental health (MH) services’ care are at increased risk of suicide. We aimed to identify opportunities for suicide prevention and underpinning data enhancement in people with recent contact with MH services.
Methods: A population-based study of all who died by suicide in the year following an MH services contact in Wales, 2001–2015 (cases), paired with similar patients, with the same mental health diagnoses, who did not die by suicide (controls). We linked the National Confidential Inquiry into Suicide and Safety in Mental Health and the Suicide Information Database – Cymru with primary and secondary healthcare records. We present odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (OR [95% CI]) of conditional logistic regression.
Results: We matched 1,031 cases with 5,155 controls. In the year before their death, 98.3% of cases were in contact with healthcare services, and 28.5% presented with self-harm.
A high proportion (98.3%) of cases were in contact with primary and secondary healthcare services in the year before their death. Compared with controls, cases were more likely to attend emergency departments (OR 2.4 [2.1–2.7]) and have emergency hospital admissions (OR 1.5 [1.4–1.7]); but less likely to have primary care contacts (OR 0.7 [0.6–0.9]), out-patient attendances (OR 0.2 [0.2–0.3]) and missed/cancelled out-patient appointments (OR 0.9 [0.8–1.0]).
A high proportion of cases presented to primary and secondary healthcare services with accidents, injury and poisoning, and especially self-harm – more so than controls (for self-harm, 28.5% of cases compared with 8.5% of controls; OR 3.6 [2.8–4.5]). This was particularly true for female patients admitted to hospital with injury and poisoning (OR 3.3 [2.5–4.5] in females compared with 2.6 [2.1–3.1] in males).
Conclusion: We may be missing existing opportunities to intervene across all settings, particularly when people present to emergency departments and hospitals, especially with self-harm. Intent underlying injury and poisoning events may be undisclosed, or recorded as undetermined or without specifying intent when they may in fact be self-harm, particularly in females. Efforts should be made to appropriately identify those who are self-harming, including by direct and non-judgmental questioning on presentation underpinned by staff training and awareness. Prevention efforts should focus on strengthening non-urgent and routine contacts (primary care and outpatients), responding to emergency contacts, and better self-harm care. This study also highlights the benefits of enhancing clinical audit systems with routinely collected data for data completeness, breadth, and depth.
This chapter discusses sleep-disordered breathing (SDB), a highly prevalent condition that affects over 1 billion people worldwide, and the incidence of SDB is likely to increase in over the next decades. At first thought to be a moderate disruption in sleep, leading to snoring, intermittent awakenings and daytime sleepiness, SDB has now been shown to be strongly associated with severe health outcomes such as cardiovascular disease, stroke, pulmonary hypertension, and even death. Most of those with SDB suffer from obstructive sleep apnea resulting from upper airway obstruction during sleep, distinct from central sleep apnea in which the control of breathing in the brain is impaired. Diagnosis is primary made by polysomnography, with increasing application of lower cost and widely scalable home sleep apnea testing. In neuromuscular disease, SDB is more prevalent than in the general population. Treatment typically involves lifestyle management changes, CPAP therapy and noninvasive positive airway pressure ventilation. These and other treatment options, including dental appliances and surgical therapies, are presented.
In response to the concerns of a growing number of crises, we trace the temporal trends, distribution, and co-occurrences of shocks – sudden events with noticeable impacts – on 175 countries from 1970 to 2019. Our analysis shows that shocks have not evolved uniformly over time and space: after becoming more co-occurring between 1970 and 2000, they then showed a regionally dependent shift in patterns. Our results highlight that regional differentiation is not incidental but constitutive of polycrisis dynamics, and that any effort to theorize, anticipate, or navigate polycrisis must account for this spatial heterogeneity.
Technical Summary.
Polycrisis has emerged as a new property of the Anthropocene. Defined as the convergence of crises across multiple systems, polycrisis calls for a paradigm shift in how crises are perceived and managed. Characterizing polycrisis dynamics is the first step in that direction but is made difficult by the complex and non-linear mechanisms at play. To overcome this challenge, we adopt a social-ecological systems approach to decompose polycrisis dynamics into two interrelated processes: shocks – sudden events with noticeable impacts, and creeping changes – slow processes that have a potential significant impact on society or the biosphere. We then develop and analyse a harmonized database capturing the occurrence of six categories of shocks (climatic, geophysical, ecological, economic, technological, and conflict-related) across 175 countries between 1970 and 2019. Our analysis reveals a significant rise in shock co-occurrences until 2000, particularly at the intersection of conflict, climate, and technological disruptions. After 2000, co-occurrence began plateauing or declining in all regions, yet at different levels. Our findings highlight the importance of a regionalized and typologically nuanced approach to understanding polycrisis. Our work also paves the way to an integration of polycrisis theory and multi-hazard methodologies for developing a more effective and crisis management ecosystem.
Social Media Summary.
Dynamics of the polycrisis reveal regional differences, with a possible shift in the interaction of shocks from 2000.