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We consider an (R, Q) inventory model with two types of orders, normal orders and emergency orders, which are issued at different inventory levels. These orders are delivered after exponentially distributed lead times. In between deliveries, the inventory level decreases in a state-dependent way, according to a release rate function $\alpha({\cdot})$. This function represents the fluid demand rate; it could be controlled by a system manager via price adaptations. We determine the mean number of downcrossings $\theta(x)$ of any level x in one regenerative cycle, and use it to obtain the steady-state density f (x) of the inventory level. We also derive the rates of occurrence of normal deliveries and of emergency deliveries, and the steady-state probability of having zero inventory.
We show analogs of the classical arcsine theorem for the occupation time of a random walk in (−∞,0) in the case of a small positive drift. To study the asymptotic behavior of the total time spent in (−∞,0) we consider parametrized classes of random walks, where the convergence of the parameter to 0 implies the convergence of the drift to 0. We begin with shift families, generated by a centered random walk by adding to each step a shift constant a>0 and then letting a tend to 0. Then we study families of associated distributions. In all cases we arrive at the same limiting distribution, which is the distribution of the time spent below 0 of a standard Brownian motion with drift 1. For shift families this is explained by a functional limit theorem. Using fluctuation-theoretic formulae we derive the generating function of the occupation time in closed form, which provides an alternative approach. We also present a new form of the first arcsine law for the Brownian motion with drift.
We show that the supremum of the successive percentages of red balls in Pólya's urn model is almost surely rational, give the set of values that are taken with positive probability, and derive several exact distributional results for the all-time maximal percentage.
We consider a production–inventory control model with two reflecting boundaries, representing the finite storage capacity and the finite maximum backlog. Demands arrive at the inventory according to a Poisson process, their i.i.d. sizes having a common phase-type distribution. The inventory is filled by a production process, which alternates between two prespecified production rates ρ1 and ρ2: as long as the content level is positive, ρ1 is applied while the production follows ρ2 during time intervals of backlog (i.e., negative content). We derive in closed form the various cost functionals of this model for the discounted case as well as under the long-run-average criterion. The analysis is based on a martingale of the Kella–Whitt type and results for fluid flow models due to Ahn and Ramaswami.
In this paper we derive limit theorems for the conditional distribution of X1 given Sn=sn as n→ ∞, where the Xi are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables, Sn=X1+··· +Xn, and sn/n converges or sn ≡ s is constant. We obtain convergence in total variation of PX1∣ Sn/n=s to a distribution associated to that of X1 and of PnX1∣ Sn=s to a gamma distribution. The case of stable distributions (to which the method of associated distributions cannot be applied) is studied in detail.
In this note we find a new result concerning the asymptotic expected number of passages of a finite or infinite interval (x,x+h) as x→∞ for a random walk with increments having a positive expected value. If the increments are distributed like X then the limit for 0<h<∞ turns out to have the form Emin(|X|,h)/EX, which unexpectedly is independent of h for the special case where |X|≤b<∞ almost surely and h>b. When h=∞, the limit is Emax(X,0)/EX. For the case of a simple random walk, a more pedestrian derivation of the limit is given.
We consider the level hitting times τy = inf{t ≥ 0 | Xt = y} and the running maximum process Mt = sup{Xs | 0 ≤ s ≤ t} of a growth-collapse process (Xt)t≥0, defined as a [0, ∞)-valued Markov process that grows linearly between random ‘collapse’ times at which downward jumps with state-dependent distributions occur. We show how the moments and the Laplace transform of τy can be determined in terms of the extended generator of Xt and give a power series expansion of the reciprocal of Ee−sτy. We prove asymptotic results for τy and Mt: for example, if m(y) = Eτy is of rapid variation then Mt / m-1(t) →w 1 as t → ∞, where m-1 is the inverse function of m, while if m(y) is of regular variation with index a ∈ (0, ∞) and Xt is ergodic, then Mt / m-1(t) converges weakly to a Fréchet distribution with exponent a. In several special cases we provide explicit formulae.
In this paper we propose a prototype model for the problem of managing waiting lists for organ transplantations. Our model captures the double-queue nature of the problem: there is a queue of patients, but also a queue of organs. Both may suffer from “impatience”: the health of a patient may deteriorate, and organs cannot be preserved longer than a certain amount of time. Using advanced tools from queueing theory, we derive explicit results for key performance criteria: the rate of unsatisfied demands and of organ outdatings, the steady-state distribution of the number of organs on the shelf, the waiting time of a patient, and the long-run fraction of time during which the shelf is empty of organs.
We consider an M/G/1 queue in which an arriving customer does not enter the system whenever its virtual waiting time, i.e. the amount of work seen upon arrival, is larger than a certain random patience time. We determine the busy period distribution for various choices of the patience time distribution. The main cases under consideration are exponential patience and a discrete patience distribution.
A simple, but nice theorem of Banach states that the variation of a continuous function F:[a, b]→ ℝ is given by where t(y) is defined as the number of x ∈ [a, b[ for which F(x)= y (see, e.g., [1], VIII.5, Th. 3). In this paper we essentially derive a similar representation for the variation of F′ which also yields a criterion for a function to be an integral of a function of bounded variation. The proof given here is quite elementary, though long and somewhat intriciate.
We study a collector's problem with K renewal arrival processes for different type items, where the objective is to collect complete sets. In particular, we derive the asymptotic distribution of the sequence of interarrival times between set completions.
We study a cumulative storage system that is totally cleared sporadically at stationary renewal times and whenever a finite-capacity threshold is exceeded. The independent and identically distributed inputs occur at time epochs that also form a stationary renewal process. We determine the distribution of the interoverflow times. Although this distribution is quite intricate when both underlying renewal processes are general, in the special case of Poisson sporadic clearings we obtain a neat formula for its Laplace transform.
We study a stochastic fluid EOQ-type model operating in a Markovian random environment of alternating good and bad periods determining the demand rate. We deal with the classical problem of “when to place an order” and “how big it should be,” leading to the trade-off between the setup cost and the holding cost. The key functionals are the steady-state mean of the content level, the expected cycle length (which is the time between two large orders), and the expected number of orders in a cycle. These performance measures are derived in closed form by using the level crossing approach in an intricate way. We also present numerical examples and carry out a sensitivity analysis.
We consider growth-collapse processes (GCPs) that grow linearly between random partial collapse times, at which they jump down according to some distribution depending on their current level. The jump occurrences are governed by a state-dependent rate function r(x). We deal with the stationary distribution of such a GCP, (Xt)t≥0, and the distributions of the hitting times Ta = inf{t ≥ 0 : Xt = a}, a > 0. After presenting the general theory of these GCPs, several important special cases are studied. We also take a brief look at the Markov-modulated case. In particular, we present a method of computing the distribution of min[Ta, σ] in this case (where σ is the time of the first jump), and apply it to determine the long-run average cost of running a certain Markov-modulated disaster-ridden system.
We consider control policies for perishable inventory systems with random input whose purpose is to mitigate the effects of unavailability. In the basic uncontrolled system, the arrival times of the items to be stored and the ones of the demands for those items form independent Poisson processes. The shelf lifetime of every item is finite and deterministic. Every demand is for a single item and is satisfied by the oldest item on the shelf, if available. The first controlled model excludes the possibility of unsatisfied demands by introducing a second source of fresh items that is completely reliable and delivers without delay whenever the system becomes empty. In the second model, there is no additional ordering option by outsourcing. However, to avoid the most adverse effects of unavailability, the demands are classified into different categories of urgency. An incoming demand is satisfied or not according to its category and the current state of the system. For both models, we determine the steady-state distribution of the virtual outdating process, which is then used to derive the relevant cost functionals: the steady-state distribution and expected value of the number of items in the system, the rate of outdatings, as well as, for model 1, the rate of special orders from the external source and, for model 2, the rate of unsatisfied demands.
We consider a Brownian motion with time-reversible Markov-modulated speed and two reflecting barriers. A methodology depending on a certain multidimensional martingale together with some linear algebra is applied in order to explicitly compute the stationary distribution of the joint process of the content level and the state of the underlying Markov chain. It is shown that the stationary distribution is such that the two quantities are independent. The long-run average push at the two barriers at each of the states is also computed.
The aim of this article is to derive the income and cost functionals required to determine the actuarial value of certain types of perishable inventory system. In the basic model, the arrival times of the items to be stored and the ones of the demands for those items form independent Poisson processes. The shelf lifetime of every item is finite and deterministic. Every demand is for a single item and is satisfied by the oldest item on the shelf, if available. The price of an item depends on its shelf age. For an actuarial valuation, it is important to know the distribution of the total value of the items in the system and the expected (discounted) total income and cost generated by the system when in steady state. All of these functionals are determined explicitly. As extensions of the original model, we also deal with the case of batch arrivals and general renewal interdemand times; in both cases, closed-form solutions are obtained.
We studied several group testing models with and without processing times. The objective was to choose an optimal group size for pooled screening of a contaminated population so as to collect a prespecified number of good items from it with minimum testing expenditures. The tested groups that were found to be contaminated were used as a new sampling population in later stages of the procedures. Since testing may be time-consuming, we also considered deadlines to be met for the testing process. We derived algorithms and exact results for the underlying distributions, enabling us to find optimal procedures. Several numerical examples are given.
We consider a stochastic input–output system with additional total clearings at certain random times determined by its own evolution (and specified by a controller). Between two clearings, the stock level process is a superposition of a Brownian motion with drift and a compound Poisson process with positive jumps, reflected at zero. We introduce meaningful cost functionals for this system and determine them explicitly under several (classical and new) clearing policies.
We consider a modulated fluid system with a finite state-space Markov chain Jt as modulating process and general state-dependent net input rates. We derive differential equations for the transient and the stationary distribution of (Wt, Jt), where Wt is the content process, and the corresponding Laplace transforms with respect to time. Moreover, we study the level hitting times of Wt. Our results lead to explicit formulas in the case of two modulating states.