This work studies time averages of an observable $h(t,X_t)$, where $X_t$ is the solution to a time-inhomogeneous stochastic differential equation (SDE) driven by drift, b(t, x), and diffusion, $\sigma(t{,}{\kern.5pt}x)$, that change sufficiently slowly in time. In this quasistatic regime we derive an approximation to the time average that is computable from properties of the time-homogeneous SDEs driven by $b(t,\cdot)$ and $\sigma(t,\cdot)$ with fixed t; specifically, we utilize $\log$-Sobolev inequalities for the instantaneous invariant distribution and generator for each t. We obtain explicit non-asymptotic error bounds on this quasistatic approximation, both in the form of concentration inequalities and bounds on the expected value. The error bounds demonstrate a competition between the speed of convergence to the instantaneous invariant distributions and their rate of change, matching the intuition that underlies the quasistatic approximation.

Mixing rates, relaxation rates, and decay of correlations for dynamics defined by potentials with summable variations are well understood, but little is known for non-summable variations. This paper exhibits upper bounds for these quantities for dynamics defined by potentials with square-summable variations. We obtain these bounds as corollaries of a new block coupling inequality between pairs of dynamics starting with different histories. As applications of our results, we prove a new weak invariance principle and a Hoeffding-type inequality.

We prove a version of the ergodic theorem for an action of an amenable group, where a Følner sequence need not be tempered. Instead, it is assumed that a function satisfies certain mixing conditions.

We consider the so-called frog model with random initial configurations. The dynamics of this model are described as follows. Some particles are randomly assigned to any site of the multidimensional cubic lattice. Initially, only particles at the origin are active and these independently perform simple random walks. The other particles are sleeping and do not move at first. When sleeping particles are hit by an active particle, they become active and start moving in a similar fashion. The aim of this paper is to derive large deviation and concentration bounds for the first passage time at which an active particle reaches a target site.

We investigate the estimation of the perimeter of a set by a graph cut of a random geometric graph. For Ω ⊆ D = (0, 1)d with d ≥ 2, we are given n random independent and identically distributed points on D whose membership in Ω is known. We consider the sample as a random geometric graph with connection distance ε > 0. We estimate the perimeter of Ω (relative to D) by the, appropriately rescaled, graph cut between the vertices in Ω and the vertices in D ∖ Ω. We obtain bias and variance estimates on the error, which are optimal in scaling with respect to n and ε. We consider two scaling regimes: the dense (when the average degree of the vertices goes to ∞) and the sparse one (when the degree goes to 0). In the dense regime, there is a crossover in the nature of the approximation at dimension d = 5: we show that in low dimensions d = 2, 3, 4 one can obtain confidence intervals for the approximation error, while in higher dimensions one can obtain only error estimates for testing the hypothesis that the perimeter is less than a given number.

Given a Poisson process on a d-dimensional torus, its random geometric simplicial complex is the complex whose vertices are the points of the Poisson process and simplices are given by the C̆ech complex associated to the coverage of each point. By means of Malliavin calculus, we compute explicitly the three first-order moments of the number of k-simplices, and provide a way to compute higher-order moments. Then we derive the mean and the variance of the Euler characteristic. Using the Stein method, we estimate the speed of convergence of the number of occurrences of any connected subcomplex as it converges towards the Gaussian law when the intensity of the Poisson point process tends to infinity. We use a concentration inequality for Poisson processes to find bounds for the tail distribution of the Betti number of first order and the Euler characteristic in such simplicial complexes.