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This chapter sets out the system proposed by the Thatcher government’s 1985 Green Paper on social security reform and argues that this would have constituted a revolutionary, system-wide replacement. Yet this revolution never happened. To explain why, the chapter reveals the counter-revolution that ensured the planned pensions revolution did not take place – or, rather, happened only in a very different way from that envisaged by its architects. Making clear both the breadth and depth of opposition, the chapter examines the sequence of events that forced Thatcher’s government to execute a humiliating U-turn. As it does so, the chapter unpicks the forces at work in constraining and shaping the government’s options for more limited evolutionary change, showing how it navigated its way to a very different neoliberal version of pensions reform. As Paul Pierson famously put it, the government moved from outright privatisation of pensions to a process of ‘implicit privatisation’. The chapter concludes, however, that the main cause of this shift was a chronic underestimation by the revolution’s architects of the scale of the institutional barriers to the radical changes they were seeking to achieve. In particular, the analysis shows that opposition from the very life assurance and insurance companies the government had assumed would welcome its personal pension proposals in the event proved fatal to its revolutionary intent and forced it to accept a neoliberal evolution instead.
This chapter sets out existing approaches to Thatcherism and neoliberalism and calls attention to problems arising from the disconnections between them. Although the term ‘neoliberalism’ can be used improperly, the chapter argues that a distinctive set of neoliberal ideas and arguments took shape in the middle of the twentieth century. These gained their coherence through a network of thinkers interacting as a ‘thought collective’ with a common aim to reformulate liberalism. The chapter highlights the constituent schools that developed within this network and draws out their approaches to the welfare state and pensions policy. The chapter concludes by evaluating the relationship between Thatcherism and neoliberalism. It argues that this relationship can be best characterised as contingent, multi-layered, plural, embedded, dynamic, unstable, manifest, and ironic. On this basis, the chapter also claims that the most fruitful way to understand Thatcherism and neoliberalism is not to fully reconcile the differing perspectives of contemporaries, political scientists, sociologists, and historians nor to leave these entirely disconnected but, instead, to write histories that foreground the interconnections and interdependences of the phenomena each describes.
In its second term, the Thatcher government hoped to solve the ‘early leaver problem’ in collective occupational pensions by effectively replacing this part of the United Kingdom’s ‘second tier’ of pension arrangements with individualised personal pensions. As policy developed, though, this idea was expanded to embrace total reform of the ‘second tier’ through the outright abolition of the State Earnings-Related Pension Scheme (SERPS). In doing so, the government intended a dramatic break with the consensus reached only during the late 1970s. This chapter explores the roots of the plan to abolish SERPS, in the process tracing its two principal motivations: the desire to contain unfunded state spending on pensioners, a fear deepened by a growing awareness that SERPS could be a ‘demographic time bomb’, timed to detonate in the early decades of the twenty-first century; and the hope that, through privatisation, its former members would be imbued with the ‘vigorous virtues’ of thrift and entrepreneurialism. The chapter examines how this proposal became government policy in the 1985 Green Paper on the reform of social security, even though it was opposed by the great majority of those giving evidence to Norman Fowler’s Inquiry into Provision for Retirement (IPR). In doing so, it highlights the pivotal role of the No. 10 Policy Unit and John Redwood in persuading Margaret Thatcher to back those pushing for radical neoliberal reform.
This chapter charts the political and economic environment of the 1970s, which shaped the uptake of neoliberal ideas in Britain and their folding into a political project on the Conservative right. The chapter starts by highlighting the growing compatibility between Conservative and neoliberal ideas, emphasising the range of individuals who acted as carriers or bridges between the two. The chapter then considers four environmental factors thath served to make these ideas salient. First, there is the impact of the economic crises of the 1970s and the way in which they called into question the prevailing economic policy model. Second, the chapter briefly elaborates the various attempts to address these multitudinous problems made by both Conservative and Labour governments during the decade. Third, it explores key changes in British capitalism and in the composition of the UK labour force, which served further to undermine existing assumptions about the operation of the economy. Fourth, the chapter widens the analysis to consider the ‘crisis of consensus’, examining the self-conscious break with the putative Keynesian and welfare state consensus to be found on both the Left and Right of British politics. Having set out this context, it considers how economic crisis served to advance the neoliberal critique of the state in Britain. The chapter concludes by connecting these developments with the Conservative party’s longer-term attitudes to the state and its pursuit of ‘statecraft’.
Although its manifesto had given no hint of radical change, within months of its election in 1983 Margaret Thatcher’s second government was embracing pension reforms of breathtaking ambition. Had they been implemented, the reforms proposed would have led to the effective destruction of the occupational pensions enjoyed by about half the workforce, and of the State Earnings-Related Pension Scheme (SERPS) that ied the remainder. In place of these collective approaches, a new system of individualised, compulsory, and much more risky ‘personal portable pensions’ would be backed up by a minimalist basic state pension. This chapter focuses on the attempt to substitute personal private pensions as the second tier of the UK pension system and, in the process, sweep away the country’s system of employer-provided occupational pensions. The chapter explores the emergence of the personal pensions idea and explains how it came to be embraced at the heart of government. The analysis shows how this radical (neoliberal) proposal was championed by the Centre for Policy Studies (CPS) and others as the solution to long-running problems through the investigations of the ‘Fowler Inquiry’ in respect of pensions. The chapter reveals the lines of resistance that these architects of change encountered from various stakeholders before explaining how the eventual outcome of this neoliberal policy development was embodied in the 1985 Green Paper on social security reform.
Social networks influence health outcomes, yet declining health can also reshape social ties. While prior research has focused on constrained settings, the impact of health on social networks in fully voluntary contexts remains underexplored. This study examines the reciprocal relationship between health and social networks in voluntary settings, assessing whether previously observed patterns persist. We analyzed three-wave longitudinal whole network data from two voluntary clubs (N = 102, mean age = 54 years) in North-Rhine Westphalia, Germany, using Stochastic Actor-Oriented Models to distinguish between selection and influence effects across self-rated, mental, and physical health measures. Our analyses suggest diverging patterns observed in more constrained settings. We found no evidence of peer influence on health across any measures. While self-rated health showed some evidence of selection effects, social avoidance was limited to individuals with poor physical health. Notably, we found no evidence of withdrawal; instead, individuals with poorer health were more likely to nominate others in the network, suggesting they actively sought social connections as a compensatory strategy. These findings challenge existing assumptions about health-based network dynamics, emphasizing the need to reconsider how social networks function in voluntary contexts. Future research should explore how the degree of setting constraints shape health-related network dynamics.
This study examines the political economy of international trade and perpetual peace proposed by the agronomist Jean-Baptiste Rougier-Labergerie under the French Directory. Drawing on Rougier-Labergerie’s treatise on commerce and peace, this article shows how a political economy that was rooted in natural jurisprudence navigated the challenges of subsistence and war through turbulent times that extended beyond the Thermidor. Similar to eighteenth-century intellectuals who witnessed large-scale wars waged with public debt in the name of national interest, Rougier-Labergerie considered the possibility of peace and prosperity to be intricately linked to the question of commercial rivalry between nations. He thereby recognized the pressing need to mitigate—by different means from those deployed by the radicals of Year II—the jealousy of trade that plagued Europe in the 1790s. This examination provides a more nuanced dimension to the established categories in historical inquiries into the international political economy of the revolutionary period.
This paper applies Structure-Preserving Doubling Algorithms (SDAs) to solve the matrix quadratic that underlies linear DSGE models. We present and compare two SDAs to other competing methods—the QZ method, a Newton algorithm, and an iterative Bernoulli approach—as well as linking them to the cyclic and logarithmic reduction algorithms included in Dynare. Our evaluation, conducted across 142 models from the Macroeconomic Model Data Base and multiple parameterizations of the Smets and Wouters (2007) model, demonstrates that SDAs generally provide more accurate solutions in less time than QZ. We also establish their theoretical convergence properties and robustness to initialization issues. The SDAs perform particularly well in refining solutions provided by other methods and for large models.
Do self-imposed short-selling bans stabilise markets or impair them? We study the 1930 restrictions on non-mining shares introduced by the self-regulated Sydney (SSX) and Melbourne (MSX) exchanges one day apart. Using hand-collected daily quotes and trades for four weeks around the bans, we estimate difference-in-differences models by exchange and by listing status, and stratify firms by pre-ban liquidity and returns. Bid–ask spreads widen overall, most for initially illiquid firms and on SSX, while MSX effects are weaker, consistent with brief cross-venue substitution. Trading volumes adjust unevenly, with notable contractions among high-volume non-mining and dual listed firms. Returns show no systematic impact, although relative gains accrued to high-return non-mining firms on SSX. Overall, the bans introduced new frictions in liquidity and participation without providing broad price support. Our results underscore the limited effectiveness of self-regulated short-selling restrictions and offer historical insights for today’s self-regulated markets such as cryptocurrency and over-the-counter trading.
This introduction outlines the three major contributions of our study. It argues that the story of an attempted neoliberal policy revolution, its failure, and the subsequent salvaging of evolutionary reforms is key to understanding how and why Britain was left with the most complex and least adequate pension system of any advanced capitalist economy in the early twenty-first century. The introduction explains that the case study of pensions reform reveals important new ways of thinking about the Thatcher governments and challenges us to grapple with ‘Thatcherism’ as a more dynamic, less stable, yet deliberate project that was very often constructed ‘in flight’. Moreover, it argues that a focus on policy history and newly released archival material can bring together disconnected approaches to international neoliberalism and establish a more tangible – and more nuanced – understanding of neoliberal influence and legacy. The introduction then establishes the groundwork for the book’s analysis. It describes the crisis facing Britain’s pensions system early in the twenty-first century and positions the book’s story of policy change within wider historical narratives about the transformation of Britain’s economy, culture and society in the ‘long’ 1980s. The introduction assesses how far these transformations can be understood through the lenses of politics, neoliberalism, and a break with the postwar ‘consensus’ before reviewing two central features of our approach: the historical study of neoliberalism and political science theories of policy/institutional change. The introduction concludes by defining the book’s key terms and outlining its structure.
What was the institutional inheritance for those who from 1979 sought to reform the United Kingdom’s system of income replacement in old age? What specific motivations, policy ideas, or known barriers to reform did the Thatcher governments inherit from the Conservative party’s time thinking about savings, pensions, and capital ownership in opposition from 1974? This chapter addresses these questions by first surveying institutional developments in pensions from 1945 to 1974 and then describing the emergence of a pensions consensus in the mid- to late 1970s. Drawing on political science theories of historical institutionalism, the chapter maps a pattern of path dependence, incrementalism, and layering from 1948 to 1979. In doing so, it reveals a policy arc that was quite different from the stereotype of a ‘social democratic’ consensus made in the 1940s falling apart in the 1970s; not only was its timeline different, but the case study of pensions policy also shows how mounting complexity could itself become a force in British politics. The chapter ends by showing that, even as this consensus was taking a legislative form in the late 1970s, a small number of Conservatives had come to see parts of Britain’s pension system as incompatible with their party’s vision of wider capital ownership. At that time, though, the strength of interests and political forces supporting the recently constructed consensus meant that their proposals were constrained to outflanking manoeuvres rather any direct challenge.
Although the ‘Thatcher evolution’ in pensions amounted to a major reform, it nevertheless represented a significant step back from reformers’ initial neoliberal vision. These architects of reform were not just disappointed; they also feared that Britain might have ended up with the ‘worst of both worlds’ because of the compromises forced upon them. This chapter asks whether they were right and focuses on the legacy of Thatcher-era reform. It begins by assessing the long-term implications of delinking the basic state pension from earnings and reducing the generosity of SERPS. It then turns its attention to defined benefit (DB) occupational pensions, teasing out the consequences of reform for their long-term sustainability. The chapter goes on to consider the legacy of personal pensions, beginning by acknowledging significant early successes in terms of sales. It then explores two misselling scandals and their effects, however, before highlighting the consequences of poor performance, largely driven by high charges, inadequate contributions, and poor investment returns. Finally, the chapter draws the focus out to examine the ways in which the reforms of the 1980s served to generate market failure across state, personal, and occupational pensions, considering the consequences of increasing regulation and describing reductions in pension entitlement at the aggregate level. It concludes that all this amounted to a significant political failure that meant Britain did indeed end up with the worst of both worlds in terms of pensions, though not entirely for the reasons identified by the Thatcher-era reform project’s disappointed neoliberal architects.