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Nonmonotonic logics serve as formal models of defeasible reasoning, a type of reasoning where conclusions are drawn absent absolute certainty. Defeasible reasoning takes place when scientists interpret experiments, in medical diagnosis, and in practical everyday situations. Given its wide range of applications, nonmonotonic logic is of interest to philosophy, psychology, and artificial intelligence. This Element provides a systematic introduction to the multifaceted world of nonmonotonic logics. Part I familiarizes the reader with basic concepts and three central methodologies: formal argumentation, consistent accumulation, and semantic methods. Parts II–IV provide a deeper understanding of each of these methods by introducing prominent logics within each paradigm. Despite the apparent lack of unification in the domain of nonmonotonic logics, this Element reveals connections between the three paradigms by demonstrating translations among them. Whether you're a novice or an experienced traveler, this Element provides a reliable map for navigating the landscape of nonmonotonic logic.
In the years around 1900, Paris was home to three major, well-established orchestras, each of which had its loyal patrons. While there were some differences in programming philosophy, concerts of all three ensembles generally featured an eclectic mix of music of different genres and from different eras. The abundance of concert music would have astonished listeners from the years before the Franco-Prussian War, when there was relatively little interest in non-theatrical music, and even less in such music by French composers. This situation changed after L’année terrible, which resulted in much national soul-searching in France and led to a new mood of sobriety. Musically, this was manifested in increased interest in orchestral and chamber music. The Société nationale de musique was founded in 1871 to encourage the production of such ‘pure’ music by French composers. Over the next several decades, it offered a venue where composers could present their latest creations before a select and appreciative audience. Debussy was an active member of the SN after 1888 and some of his most significant works were introduced at its concerts. But because its concerts were generally open only to members and invited guests, the SN had very little impact on public taste. Most new French orchestral music was premiered not at SN concerts, but at those of the orchestral concerts led by Jules Pasedeloup, Édouard Colonne, and Charles Lamoureux, all of whom performed a great deal of music by French composers in the years after the Franco-Prussian War. By the 1890s, however, growing public interest in Wagner’s music and the popularity of music by an earlier generation of French composers let to decreased opportunities for younger French composers. Debussy proved to be a rare exception and, especially after the success of Pelléas et Mélisande in 1902, his music appeared frequently on the concerts of all the Parisian orchestral societies.
Tryptophan is an essential amino acid and precursor to several compounds of neurobiological significance, including serotonin, melatonin, and nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide. However, the tryptophan-kynurenine metabolic pathway exhibits “double-edged sword” effects on neurons with neuroprotective metabolites and neurotoxic intermediates. Given its involvement in neurodegenerative diseases and recent reports of alterations in the pathway in response to obesity, we set out to investigate the potential moderating effect of the kynurenine/tryptophan ratio (KTR) on the relationship between adiposity and verbal memory performance in midlife. Our study is important in providing insight into mechanisms underlying the association between adiposity and cognition through the life course and sheds light on the role of metabolic risk factors before senescence. With the current epidemic of obesity and the expected age-related increase in dementia incidence, even a small association between obesity and cognitive decline may have far-reaching public health implications.
Participants and Methods:
A total of 110 middle-aged adults aged 40-61 years participated in this cross-sectional study. Serum levels of kynurenine and tryptophan, body adiposity measured through bioimpedance, and non-contextual verbal memory performance on the California Verbal Learning Test, Second Edition (CVLT-II) were evaluated. Using factor analysis, the composite score of memory indices from Short Delay Free Recall, Long Delay Free Recall, and Long Delay Recognition tasks were calculated. We used linear regression models with the interaction between KTR and adiposity. Sex, age, years of education, and physical activity were included as covariates, as they predict cognitive performance.
Results:
Higher KTR was associated with greater adiposity (p < 0.01). Linear regression analyses for assessing interaction effects indicated that KTR moderated the relation between adiposity and composite memory score (F(7, 100) = 5.22, p < 0.001, R2 = 0.27). These results were robust across individual memory indices and composite memory scores. These findings remained significant even with adjusting for relevant covariates. Interestingly, the marginal effects of adiposity on composite memory score were estimated to be statistically significant and negative (higher adiposity = poorer memory) only when KTR was low (< 0.03).
Conclusions:
The present study indicates that KTR may influence the association between adiposity and verbal memory in midlife as KTR moderated the relationship between adiposity and composite memory score even after adjusting for relevant covariates. In contrast to the notion that high KTR is related to increases in neurotoxic metabolites such as quinolinic acid, individuals with high adiposity and low KTR exhibited the weakest memory performance. Unfortunately, our study did not include measurements of quinolinic acid or kynurenic acid, which may have neuroprotective and anti-inflammatory properties. Future studies expanding the number of measured KT metabolites could shed light on the interactions between obesity and KTR on memory function in midlife.
We are less optimistic than Madole & Harden that family-based genome-wide association studies (GWASs) will lead to significant second-generation causal knowledge. Despite bearing some similarities, family-based GWASs and randomised controlled trials (RCTs) are not identical. Most RCTs assess a relatively homogenous causal stimulus as a treatment, whereas GWASs assess highly heterogeneous causal stimuli. Thus, GWAS results will not translate so easily into second-generation causal knowledge.
Background: Prior to the pandemic, telemedicine use was limited and sparsely funded within Ontario. During the pandemic, a shift in clinical recommendations and government funding models promoted telemedicine. We aim to highlight both quantitative and qualitative aspects of the patient and provider experience over 2.5 years within a Canadian Pediatric Neurology clinic. Main objectives of the study are to assess the safety, efficiency and convenience of telemedicine. Methods: A REDCap survey was sent to all patients with a telemedicine appointment from March 2020 –September 2022 and all Pediatric Neurology providers. Survey included a 5-point Likert scale questions, open questions, and patient characteristics. Results: Responses received from 272 patients and 7 providers. 91% of patients and all providers were satisfied with telemedicine. 95% of patients and all providers felt they received or were able to provide safe/adequate care. 90% of patients and all providers reported that telemedicine was more convenient. 87% of patients and all providers were interested in future appointments via telemedicine. Conclusions: Our survey shows patients and providers had highly positive experiences with telemedicine – reporting care was adequate, safe, and more convenient. This data supports incorporating telemedicine into future care and advocates that Canadian regulations/billing codes to continue to support telemedicine.
This article examines the introduction of the medical mask in the late nineteenth century at the intersection of surgery, bacteriology and infection control. During this important episode in the longer history of the medical mask, respiratory protection became a tool of targeted germ control. In 1897, the surgeon Johannes Mikulicz at the University of Breslau (now Wroclaw, Poland), drawing on the bacteriological experiments of his colleague Carl Flügge, used a piece of gauze in front of his nose and mouth as a barrier against microorganisms moving from him to his patients. This article explores the social, cultural and medical contexts of this particular use of the mask, in connection with germ theory and surgeons’ struggle with wound infection. It explores the alignment of the new aseptic surgery with the emerging field of bacteriology in a local milieu that favoured interdisciplinary cooperation. The account also follows the uptake of the mask outside of surgery for other anti-infectious purposes and shows how the new type of anti-infectious mask spread simultaneously in operating rooms as well as in hospitals and sanatoria, and eventually in epidemic contexts.
A wide variety of social innovations exist today that offer urgently needed pathways for transforming societal systems into more just, sustainable and regenerative ways of organising human existence on this planet. However, a more systematic and practically useful understanding is needed of how individuals and organisations can strengthen the transformative capacity of people working on connecting, spreading, maturing and structurally embedding these innovations. This study presents an updated conceptual framework of network leadership roles and practices, and describes how these can contribute to more widespread, systemic and lasting impact of social innovations.
Technical summary
This study tests and refines a conceptual framework, describing the roles and practices of network leadership that can support the development of transformative capacities, in the context of social innovation networks. Such capacities include spreading social innovations in wider society, embedding them in policy and public discourse, and generating continuity and further development of social innovation activities. We studied five cases of transnational social innovation networks involving community-led and student-led sustainability initiatives. Practitioners in these networks were asked to rate and comment on the perceived recognisability and importance of network leadership roles and practices, as well as challenges, which we articulated in a previous study and further developed in the current study through participant observation and document analyses. This resulted in a revision of the roles and practices, the identification of relations between roles and a better understanding of how they can contribute to transformative capacity development. The interviews also helped to clarify the practical usefulness of the framework, suggesting possible applications for evaluating, prioritising and aligning roles performed by various individuals and organisations. The findings are relevant for better understanding and guiding distributed agency in transformative social innovation networks.
Social media summary
Roles and practices for network leadership to enable more widespread, systemic and lasting impact of social innovation.
Comparing knowledge with belief can go wrong in two dimensions: If the authors employ a wider notion of knowledge, then they do not compare like with like because they assume a narrow notion of belief. If they employ only a narrow notion of knowledge, then their claim is not supported by the evidence. Finally, we sketch a superior teleological view.
The European (Melolontha melolontha L.) and Forest (M. hippocastani F.) cockchafer are widespread pests throughout Central Europe. Both species exhibit a 3–5-year life cycle and occur in temporally shifted populations, which have been monitored and documented for more than 100 years. Visual identification of adults and larvae belonging to these morphologically similar species requires expertise and, particularly in the case of larvae, is challenging and equivocal. The goal of the study was the development of an efficient and fast molecular genetic tool for the identification and discrimination of M. melolontha and M. hippocastani. We established a collection of both species from Switzerland, Austria and Northern Italy in 2016, 2017 and 2018. An approximately 1550 bp long fragment of the cytochrome c oxidase subunit 1 (CO1) mitochondrial gene was amplified and sequenced in 13 M. melolontha and 13 M. hippocastani beetles. Alignment of the new sequences with reference sequences (NCBI GenBank and BOLDSYSTEMS databases) and subsequent phylogenetic analysis revealed consistent clustering of the two species. After the identification of M. melolontha and M. hippocastani species-specific single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the CO1 alignment, we developed an effective SNP tool based on the ABI PRISM® SNaPshot™ Multiplex Kit for the rapid and accurate species discrimination of adults and larvae.
In 2013, a task force was developed to discuss the future of the Canadian pediatric neurology workforce. The consensus was that there was no indication to reduce the number of training positions, but that the issue required continued surveillance. The current study provides a 5-year update on Canadian pediatric neurology workforce data.
Methods:
Names, practice types, number of weekly outpatient clinics, and dates of certification of all physicians currently practicing pediatric neurology in Canada were obtained. International data were used to compute comparisons between countries. National data sets were used to provide information about the number of residency positions available and the number of Canadian graduates per year. Models for future projections were developed based on published projected population data and trends from the past decade.
Results:
The number of pediatric neurologists practicing in Canada has increased 165% since 1994. During this period, wait times have not significantly shortened. There are regional discrepancies in access to child neurologists. The Canadian pediatric neurology workforce available to see outpatient consultations is proportionally less than that of USA. After accounting for retirements and emigrations, the number of child neurologists being added to the workforce each year is 4.9. This will result in an expected 10-year increase in Canadian pediatric neurologists from 151 to 200.
Conclusions:
Despite an increase in the number of Canadian child neurologists over the last two decades, we do not predict that there will be problems with underemployment over the next decade.
We examine stock index futures and Treasury futures around the release time of 30 U.S. macroeconomic announcements. Nine of the 20 announcements that move markets show evidence of substantial informed trading before the official release time. Prices begin to move in the “correct” direction approximately 30 minutes before the release time. The preannouncement price drift accounts on average for approximately 40% of the total price adjustment. This implies that some traders have private information about macroeconomic fundamentals. Preannouncement drift might originate from a combination of information leakage and superior forecasting that incorporates proprietary data.
The clay-mineralogical assemblages of Purbeckian carbonate sediments of the Swiss and French Jura Mountains are often composed of illite and interstratified illite-smectite. These illitic minerals occur mainly in thin layers of green marls which show evidence of subaerial exposure and mark the top of shallowing-upward sequences. X-ray diffraction, chemical and thermal analyses coupled with transmission electron microscopy suggest that the Purbeckian illitic minerals replaced smectite in intermediate continental-marine environments. The transition from smectite to illite and interstratified illite-smectite probably resulted from repeated cycles of wetting by marine waters and subsequent drying in hypersaline environments, under a hot Purbeckian climate.
Introduction: Each year about two thirds of U.S. smokers make a quit attempt. Yet, less than 5% remain abstinent three months post-quit date. One factor that may affect abstinence is negative feelings about the self-associated with being a smoker (disequilibrium), particularly if smoking is important to the sense of self and one is trying to quit.
Aims: We evaluated a multivariate structural equation model proposing that smoking's subjective importance to a smoker would influence carbon monoxide verified smoking abstinence at 24 weeks (post-quit date). Further, we assessed whether the relation would be moderated by the smoker's experience of disequilibrium.
Methods: Participants were 440 regular smokers taking part in a clinical trial assessing the effectiveness of different durations of nicotine replacement therapy use. Participants completed the subjective importance of smoking survey at baseline and were assessed for carbon monoxide verified seven-day point prevalence abstinence at 24 weeks
Results: Using exploratory structural equation modelling, the subjective importance of smoking was associated with point prevalence abstinence at 24 weeks, but only for smokers with high disequilibrium.
Conclusions: The results of this study suggest that experiencing negative feelings about being a smoker could motivate smokers to remain abstinent, despite the importance of smoking to the smoker's sense of self.
Several different types of laterally extensive debris bands occur along the western terminus region of the Matanuska Glacier, Alaska, U.S.A. An ice-bed process, which to our knowledge has not previously been recognized and described, forms the most common and most prominent type of debris band at Matanuska Glacier’s terminus. The debris bands are composed of one or several millimeter-thick laminations of silt-rich ice having much higher sediment content than that of the surrounding ice. Samples of these bands and their surrounding englacial ice have been analyzed for anthropogenic tritium (3H), oxygen-18 (δ18O), and deuterium (δD).We interpreted the laminated, silt-rich debris bands as basal fractures, along which silt-laden, glaciohydraulically supercooled and pressurized waters flowed, healing the fractures by ice growth. This process is analogous to the inward growth of hydrothermal quartz from the sides of an open fracture.
Two rain events at Matanuska Glacier illustrate how subglacial drainage system development and snowpack conditions affect hydrologic response at the terminus. On 21 and 22 September 1995, over 56 mm of rain fell in the basin during a period usually characterized by much drier conditions. This event caused an 8-fold increase in discharge and a 47-fold increase in suspended-sediment concentration. Peak suspended-sediment concentration exceeded 20 kg m —3, suggesting rapid evacuation of stored sediment. While water discharge returned to its pre-storm level nine days after the rain ceased, suspended- sediment concentrations took about 20 days to return to pre-storm levels. These observations suggest that the storm influx late in the melt season probably forced subglacial water into a more distributed system. In addition, subglacially transported sediments were supplemented to an unknown degree by the influx of storm-eroded sediments off hillslopes and from tributary drainage basins.
A storm on 6 and 7 June 1997, dropped 28 mm of rain on the basin demonstrating the effects of meltwater retention in the snowpack and englacial and subglacial storage early in the melt season. Streamflow before the storm event was increasing gradually owing to warming temperatures; however, discharge during the storm and the following week increased only slightly. Suspended-sediment concentrations increased only a small amount, suggesting the drainage system was not yet well developed, and much of the run off occurred across the relatively clean surface of the glacier or through englacial channels.
Many snow models have been developed for various applications such as hydrology, global atmospheric circulation models and avalanche forecasting. The degree of complexity of these models is highly variable, ranging from simple index methods to multi-layer models that simulate snow-cover stratigraphy and texture. In the framework of the Snow Model Intercomparison Project (SnowMIP), 23 models were compared using observed meteorological parameters from two mountainous alpine sites. The analysis here focuses on validation of snow energy-budget simulations. Albedo and snow surface temperature observations allow identification of the more realistic simulations and quantification of errors for two components of the energy budget: the net short- and longwave radiation. In particular, the different albedo parameterizations are evaluated for different snowpack states (in winter and spring). Analysis of results during the melting period allows an investigation of the different ways of partitioning the energy fluxes and reveals the complex feedbacks which occur when simulating the snow energy budget. Particular attention is paid to the impact of model complexity on the energy-budget components. The model complexity has a major role for the net longwave radiation calculation, whereas the albedo parameterization is the most significant factor explaining the accuracy of the net shortwave radiation simulation.