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Threat sensitivity, an individual difference construct reflecting variation in responsiveness to threats of various types, predicts physiological reactivity to aversive stimuli and shares heritable variance with anxiety disorders in adults. However, no research has been conducted yet with youth to examine the heritability of threat sensitivity or evaluate the role of genetic versus environmental influences in its relations with mental health problems. The current study addressed this gap by evaluating the psychometric properties of a measure of this construct, the 20-item Trait Fear scale (TF-20), and examining its phenotypic and genotypic correlations with different forms of psychopathology in a sample of 346 twin pairs (121 monozygotic), aged 9–14 years. Analyses revealed high internal consistency and test-retest reliability for the TF-20. Evidence was also found for its convergent and discriminant validity in terms of phenotypic and genotypic correlations with measures of fear-related psychopathology. By contrast, the TF-20’s associations with depressive conditions were largely attributable to environmental influences. Extending prior work with adults, current study findings provide support for threat sensitivity as a genetically-influenced liability for phobic fear disorders in youth.
Limited access to multiple sclerosis (MS)-focused care in rural areas can decrease the quality of life in individuals living with MS while influencing both physical and mental health.
Methods:
The objectives of this research were to compare demographic and clinical outcomes in participants with MS who reside within urban, semi-urban and rural settings within Newfoundland and Labrador. All participants were assessed by an MS neurologist, and data collection included participants’ clinical history, date of diagnosis, disease-modifying therapy (DMT) use, measures of disability, fatigue, pain, heat sensitivity, depression, anxiety and disease activity.
Results:
Overall, no demographic differences were observed between rural and urban areas. Furthermore, the categorization of primary residence did not demonstrate any differences in physical disability or indicators of disease activity. A significantly higher percentage of participants were prescribed platform or high-efficacy DMTs in semi-urban areas; a higher percentage of participants in urban and rural areas were prescribed moderate-efficacy DMTs. Compared to depression, anxiety was more prevalent within the entire cohort. Comparable levels of anxiety were measured across all areas, yet individuals in rural settings experienced greater levels of depression. Individuals living with MS in either an urban or rural setting demonstrated clinical similarities, which were relatively equally managed by DMTs.
Conclusion:
Despite greater levels of depression in rural areas, the results of this study highlight that an overall comparable level and continuity of care is provided to individuals living with MS within rural and urban Newfoundland and Labrador.
Partial remission after major depressive disorder (MDD) is common and a robust predictor of relapse. However, it remains unclear to which extent preventive psychological interventions reduce depressive symptomatology and relapse risk after partial remission. We aimed to identify variables predicting relapse and to determine whether, and for whom, psychological interventions are effective in preventing relapse, reducing (residual) depressive symptoms, and increasing quality of life among individuals in partial remission. This preregistered (CRD42023463468) systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis (IPD-MA) pooled data from 16 randomized controlled trials (n = 705 partial remitters) comparing psychological interventions to control conditions, using 1- and 2-stage IPD-MA. Among partial remitters, baseline clinician-rated depressive symptoms (p = .005) and prior episodes (p = .012) predicted relapse. Psychological interventions were associated with reduced relapse risk over 12 months (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.60, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.43–0.84), and significantly lowered posttreatment depressive symptoms (Hedges’ g = 0.29, 95% CI 0.04–0.54), with sustained effects at 60 weeks (Hedges’ g = 0.33, 95% CI 0.06–0.59), compared to nonpsychological interventions. However, interventions did not significantly improve quality of life at 60 weeks (Hedges’ g = 0.26, 95% CI -0.06 to 0.58). No moderators of relapse prevention efficacy were found. Men, older individuals, and those with higher baseline symptom severity experienced greater reductions in symptomatology at 60 weeks. Psychological interventions for individuals with partially remitted depression reduce relapse risk and residual symptomatology, with efficacy generalizing across patient characteristics and treatment types. This suggests that psychological interventions are a recommended treatment option for this patient population.
Identifying persons with HIV (PWH) at increased risk for Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is complicated because memory deficits are common in HIV-associated neurocognitive disorders (HAND) and a defining feature of amnestic mild cognitive impairment (aMCI; a precursor to AD). Recognition memory deficits may be useful in differentiating these etiologies. Therefore, neuroimaging correlates of different memory deficits (i.e., recall, recognition) and their longitudinal trajectories in PWH were examined.
Design:
We examined 92 PWH from the CHARTER Program, ages 45–68, without severe comorbid conditions, who received baseline structural MRI and baseline and longitudinal neuropsychological testing. Linear and logistic regression examined neuroanatomical correlates (i.e., cortical thickness and volumes of regions associated with HAND and/or AD) of memory performance at baseline and multilevel modeling examined neuroanatomical correlates of memory decline (average follow-up = 6.5 years).
Results:
At baseline, thinner pars opercularis cortex was associated with impaired recognition (p = 0.012; p = 0.060 after correcting for multiple comparisons). Worse delayed recall was associated with thinner pars opercularis (p = 0.001) and thinner rostral middle frontal cortex (p = 0.006) cross sectionally even after correcting for multiple comparisons. Delayed recall and recognition were not associated with medial temporal lobe (MTL), basal ganglia, or other prefrontal structures. Recognition impairment was variable over time, and there was little decline in delayed recall. Baseline MTL and prefrontal structures were not associated with delayed recall.
Conclusions:
Episodic memory was associated with prefrontal structures, and MTL and prefrontal structures did not predict memory decline. There was relative stability in memory over time. Findings suggest that episodic memory is more related to frontal structures, rather than encroaching AD pathology, in middle-aged PWH. Additional research should clarify if recognition is useful clinically to differentiate aMCI and HAND.
Climatic and atmospheric conditions impact mental health, including increased incidents of depression associated with air pollution. A growing body of research considers time-bound ‘snap-shots’ of climatic drivers and mental health outcomes. Less is known about the likely effects of future climate change on mental health. Research is often inhibited by data scarcity, the challenge of synthesising data across multiple geospatial and temporal scales, and the under-representation of hard-to-reach groups. Thus, research methods are needed to integrate and analyse complex environmental and mental health multi-datasets while improving the visibility of under-represented groups. In this methods paper we present a novel approach for investigating the impact of climate change on mental health and addressing some challenges with, a) invisibility of vulnerable groups, and b) integrating complex environmental and mental health multi-datasets. The research aim is to pilot a web-based and smartphone application (Methane Early Warning Network (ME-NET)) for investigating the role of methane as a precursor of on-ground ozone, and the impact of ozone on mental health outcomes to improve civic knowledge and health-protection behaviour in the United Kingdom and Ghana. The methods include exploring the feasibility of using machine learning to develop an ozone early warning system and application co-design.
The transition from one leader to the next represents a critical moment in the life cycle of insurgencies: it is a period of heightened uncertainty and vulnerability when roles and relationships are in flux. However, remarkably little scholarly attention has been paid to understanding this process. Building our case around the insurgency in Russia’s North Caucasus, we address this gap by developing a typology of key tasks that new leaders must perform in order to navigate the transition period. We argue that, within insurgencies that are weakly institutionalised, leadership can most usefully be conceived of as a negotiated relationship in which both leaders and followers have agency. Successful performance of these tasks helps ensure the maintenance of this relationship and, through this, movement continuity. Therefore, this paper contributes to both the empirical literature on insurgency and our understanding of leadership and transition within rebel movements.
Older people with HIV (PWH) are at-risk for Alzheimer’s disease (AD) and its precursor, amnestic mild cognitive impairment (aMCI). Identifying aMCI among PWH is challenging because memory impairment is also common in HIV-associated neurocognitive disorders (HAND). The neuropathological hallmarks of aMCI/AD are amyloid-ß42 (Aß42) plaque and phosphorylated tau (p-tau) accumulation. Neurofilament light chain protein (NfL) is a marker of neuronal injury in AD and other neurodegenerative diseases. In this study, we assessed the prognostic value of the CSF AD pathology markers of lower Aß42, and higher p-tau, p-tau/Aß42 ratio, and NfL levels to identify an aMCI-like profile among older PWH and differentiating it from HAND. We assessed the relationship between aMCI and HAND diagnosis and AD biomarker levels
Participants and Methods:
Participants included 74 PWH (Mean age=48 [SD=8.5]; 87.4% male, 56.5% White) from the National NeuroAIDS Tissue Consortium (NNTC). CSF Aß42, Aß40, p-tau and NfL were measured by commercial immunoassay. Participants completed a neurocognitive evaluation assessing the domains of learning, recall, executive function, speed of information processing, working memory, verbal fluency, and motor. Memory domains were assessed with the Hopkins Verbal Learning Test-Revised and the Brief Visuospatial Memory Test-Revised, and aMCI was defined as impairment (<1.0 SD below normative mean) on two or more memory outcomes among HVLT-R and BVMT-R learning, delayed recall and recognition with at-least one recognition impairment required. HAND was defined as impairment (<1.0 SD below normative mean) in 2 or more cognitive domains. A series of separate linear regression models were used to examine how the levels of CSF p-tau, Aß42, p-tau/Aß42 ratio, and NfL relate to aMCI and HAND status while controlling for demographic variables (age, gender, race and education). Covariates were excluded from the model if they did not reach statistical significance.
Results:
58% percent of participants were diagnosed with HAND, 50.5% were diagnosed with aMCI. PWH with aMCI had higher levels of CSF p-tau/Aß42 ratio compared to PWH without aMCI (ß=.222, SE=.001, p=.043) while controlling for age (ß=.363, p=.001). No other AD biomarker significantly differed by aMCI or HAND status.
Conclusions:
Our results indicate that the CSF p-tau/Aß42 ratio relates specifically to an aMCI-like profile among PWH with high rates of cognitive impairment across multiple domains in this advanced HIV disease cohort. Thus, the p-tau/Aß42 ratio may have utility in disentangling aMCI from HAND and informing the need for further diagnostic procedures and intervention. Further research is needed to fully identify, among a broader group of PWH, who is at greatest risk for aMCI/AD and whether there is increased risk for aMCI/AD among PWH as compared to those without HIV.
Among people with HIV (PWH), the apolipoprotein e4 (APOE-e4) allele, a genetic marker associated with Alzheimer’s disease (AD), and self-reported family history of dementia (FHD), considered a proxy for higher AD genetic risk, are independently associated with worse neurocognition. However, research has not addressed the potential additive effect of FHD and APOE-e4 on global and domain-specific neurocognition among PWH. Thus, the aim of the current investigation is to examine the associations between FHD, APOE-e4, and neurocognition among PWH.
Participants and Methods:
283 PWH (Mage=50.9; SDage=5.6) from the CNS HIV Anti-Retroviral Therapy Effects Research (CHARTER) study completed comprehensive neuropsychological and neuromedical evaluations and underwent APOE genotyping. APOE status was dichotomized into APOE-e4+ and APOE-e4-. APOE-e4+ status included heterozygous and homozygous carriers. Participants completed a free-response question capturing FHD of a first- or second-degree relative (i.e., biologic parent, sibling, children, grandparent, grandchild, uncle, aunt, nephew, niece, half-sibling). A dichotomized (yes/no), FHD variable was used in analyses. Neurocognition was measured using global and domain-specific demographically corrected (i.e., age, education, sex, race/ethnicity) T-scores. t-tests were used to compare global and domain-specific demographically-corrected T-scores by FHD status and APOE-e4 status. A 2x2 factorial analysis of variance (ANOVA) was used to model the interactive effects of FHD and APOE-e4 status. Tukey’s HSD test was used to follow-up on significant ANOVAs.
Results:
Results revealed significant differences by FHD status in executive functioning (t(281)=-2.3, p=0.03) and motor skills (t(278)=-2.0, p=0.03) such that FHD+ performed worse compared to FHD-. Differences in global neurocognition by FHD status approached significance (t(281)=-1.8, p=.069). Global and domain-specific neurocognitive performance were comparable among APOE-e4 carriers and noncarriers (ps>0.05). Results evaluating the interactive effects of FHD and APOE-e4 showed significant differences in motor skills (F(3)=2.7, p=0.04) between the FHD-/APOE-e4+ and FHD+/APOE-e4- groups such that the FHD+/APOE-e4- performed worse than the FHD-/APOE-e4+ group (p=0.02).
Conclusions:
PWH with FHD exhibited worse neurocognitive performance within the domains of executive functioning and motor skills, however, there were no significant differences in neurocognition between APOE-e4 carriers and noncarriers. Furthermore, global neurocognitive performance was comparable across FHD/APOE-e4 groups. Differences between the FHD-/APOE-e4+ and FHD+/APOE-e4- groups in motor skills were likely driven by FHD status, considering there were no independent effects of APOE-e4 status. This suggests that FHD may be a predispositional risk factor for poor neurocognitive performance among PWH. Considering FHD is easily captured through self-report, compared to blood based APOE-e4 status, PWH with FHD should be more closely monitored. Future research is warranted to address the potential additive effect of FHD and APOE-e4 on rates of global and domain-specific neurocognitive decline and impairment over time among in an older cohort of PWH, where APOE-e4 status may have stronger effects.
Many people with HIV (PWH) are at risk for age-related neurodegenerative disorders such as Alzheimer’s disease (AD). Studies on the association between cognition, neuroimaging outcomes, and the Apolipoprotein E4 (APOE4) genotype, which is associated with greater risk of AD, have yielded mixed results in PWH; however, many of these studies have examined a wide age range of PWH and have not examined APOE by race interactions that are observed in HIV-negative older adults. Thus, we examined how APOE status relates to cognition and medial temporal lobe (MTL) structures (implicated in AD pathogenesis) in mid- to older-aged PWH. In exploratory analyses, we also examined race (African American (AA)/Black and non-Hispanic (NH) White) by APOE status interactions on cognition and MTL structures.
Participants and Methods:
The analysis included 88 PWH between the ages of 45 and 68 (mean age=51±5.9 years; 86% male; 51% AA/Black, 38% NH-White, 9% Hispanic/Latinx, 2% other) from the CNS HIV Antiretroviral Therapy Effects Research multi-site study. Participants underwent APOE genotyping, neuropsychological testing, and structural MRI; APOE groups were defined as APOE4+ (at least one APOE4 allele) and APOE4- (no APOE4 alleles). Eighty-nine percent of participants were on antiretroviral therapy, 74% had undetectable plasma HIV RNA (<50 copies/ml), and 25% were APOE4+ (32% AA/Black/15% NH-White). Neuropsychological testing assessed seven domains, and demographically-corrected T-scores were calculated. FreeSurfer 7.1.1 was used to measure MTL structures (hippocampal volume, entorhinal cortex thickness, and parahippocampal thickness) and the effect of scanner was regressed out prior to analyses. Multivariable linear regressions tested the association between APOE status and cognitive and imaging outcomes. Models examining cognition covaried for comorbid conditions and HIV disease characteristics related to global cognition (i.e., AIDS status, lifetime methamphetamine use disorder). Models examining the MTL covaried for age, sex, and
relevant imaging covariates (i.e., intracranial volume or mean cortical thickness).
Results:
APOE4+ carriers had worse learning (ß=-0.27, p=.01) and delayed recall (ß=-0.25, p=.02) compared to the APOE4- group, but APOE status was not significantly associated with any other domain (ps>0.24). APOE4+ status was also associated with thinner entorhinal cortex (ß=-0.24, p=.02). APOE status was not significantly associated with hippocampal volume (ß=-0.08, p=0.32) or parahippocampal thickness (ß=-0.18, p=.08). Lastly, race interacted with APOE status such that the negative association between APOE4+ status and cognition was stronger in NH-White PWH as compared to AA/Black PWH in learning, delayed recall, and verbal fluency (ps<0.05). There were no APOE by race interactions for any MTL structures (ps>0.10).
Conclusions:
Findings suggest that APOE4 carrier status is associated with worse episodic memory and thinner entorhinal cortex in mid- to older-aged PWH. While APOE4+ groups were small, we found that APOE4 carrier status had a larger association with cognition in NH-White PWH as compared to AA/Black PWH, consistent with studies demonstrating an attenuated effect of APOE4 in older AA/Black HIV-negative older adults. These findings further highlight the importance of recruiting diverse samples and suggest exploring other genetic markers (e.g., ABCA7) that may be more predictive of AD in some races to better understand AD risk in diverse groups of PWH.
Mark Ain comes from a distinguished line of pioneers and entrepreneurs. His mother, Pearl, was one of the first women to graduate from Columbia Law School—several years before the late Chief Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg. Earlier, Pearl's mother, Dora Ponemon, at the age of 16, told Mark's maternal grandfather, Harry, that their betrothal hinged on his willingness to control his own destiny by becoming his own boss. In words Dora relayed to young Mark time and again as she mentored her bright young grandson, she told Harry she wanted to be married to a horse and not a mule. Harry heeded Dora’s mandate, they married, and together became entrepreneurs, starting and running several successful business ventures rather than have others boss them around.
This engaging book relays how Mark Ain followed his grandmother’s advice and forsook a plodding, mulish existence in the corporate world for the riskier and ultimately much more rewarding life of an entrepreneurial thoroughbred. Mark's role in the creation and growth of Kronos, a human capital management firm that now generates over $3 billion in annual revenue and, as the Ultimate Kronos Group (UKG), has over 12,000 employees, provides many valuable lessons. For those seeking to either follow in Mark's entrepreneurial footsteps or foster an entrepreneurial culture within more established organizations, the principles behind his success are instructive.
What gets less attention in the book is Mark's commitment to giving back and paying forward to others via the prosperity he has realized through his entrepreneurial leadership of Kronos. As the Vice Provost of Entrepreneurship at the University of Rochester and as the former dean of Mark's alma mater the Simon Business School, respectively, the two of us can attest to the profound difference that Mark has made in developing a next generation of entrepreneurial thoroughbreds— through his involvement, insight, investment, and inspiration.
We were there in the Eastman Theater audience in 2005 when Mark gave his thoughtful and uplifting speech (reprinted in Chapter 22) to several hundred Simon students about to officially receive their MBA degrees. Over the years that followed, we had the honor and pleasure of working with Mark as he joined relevant advisory boards (Simon's Executive Advisory Committee and the University of Rochester's Board of Trustees);
To quantify the extent of food and beverage advertising on bus shelters in a deprived area of the UK, to identify the healthfulness of advertised products, and any differences by level of deprivation. The study also sought to assess the creative strategies used and extent of appeal to young people.
Design:
Images of bus shelter advertisements were collected via in person photography (in 2019) and Google Street View (photos recorded in 2018). Food and beverage advertisements were grouped into one of seventeen food categories and classified as healthy/less healthy using the UK Nutrient Profile Model. The deprivation level of the advertisement location was identified using the UK Index of Multiple Deprivation.
Setting:
Middlesbrough and Redcar and Cleveland in South Teesside.
Participants:
N/A
Results:
Eight hundred and thirty-two advertisements were identified, almost half (48·9 %) of which were for foods or beverages. Of food and non-alcoholic beverage adverts, 35·1 % were less healthy. Most food advertisements (98·9 %) used at least one of the persuasive creative strategies. Food advertisements were found to be of appeal to children under 18 years of age (71·9 %). No differences in healthiness of advertised foods were found by level of deprivation.
Conclusions:
Food advertising is extensive on bus shelters in parts of the UK, and a substantial proportion of this advertising is classified as less healthy and would not be permitted to be advertised around television programming for children. Bus shelter advertising should be considered part of the UK policy deliberations around restricting less healthy food marketing exposure.
The paper presents the error characteristics of a vehicle dynamic model (VDM)-based integration architecture for fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles. Global navigation satellite system (GNSS) and inertial measurement unit measurements are fused in an extended Kalman filter (EKF) which uses the VDM as the main process model. Control inputs from the autopilot system are used to drive the navigation solution. Using a predefined trajectory with segments of both high and low dynamics and a variable wind profile, Monte Carlo simulations reveal a degrading performance in varying periods of GNSS outage lasting 10 s, 20 s, 30 s, 60 s and 90 s, respectively. These are followed by periods of re-acquisition where the navigation solution recovers. With a GNSS outage lasting less than 60 s, the position error gradually grows to a maximum of 8⋅4 m while attitude errors in roll and pitch remain bounded, as opposed to an inertial navigation system (INS)/GNSS approach in which the navigation solution degrades rapidly. The model-based approach shows improved navigation performance even with parameter uncertainties over a conventional INS/GNSS integration approach.
The most immediate response of the research community to COVID-19 has been a focus on understanding the effects, treatment and prevention of infection. Of equal and ongoing importance is elucidating the impact of mitigation measures, such as lockdown, on the well-being of societies. Research about mental health and lockdown in the UK has predominately involved large surveys that are likely to encounter self-selection bias. Further, self-reporting does not constitute a clinical judgement.
Aims
To (a) compare the age, gender and ethnicity of patients experiencing mental health emergencies prior compared with during lockdown, (b) determine whether the nature of mental health emergencies has changed during compared with before lockdown, (c) explore the utility of emergency medical service data for identifying vulnerability to mental health emergencies in real time during a pandemic.
Method
A total of 32 401 clinical records of ambulance paramedics attending mental health emergencies in the East Midlands of the UK between 23 March and 31 July 2020 and the same period in 2019 were analysed using binary logistic regression.
Results
People of younger age, male gender and South Asian and Black ethnicity are particularly vulnerable to acute mental health conditions during lockdown. Patients with acute cases of anxiety have increased during lockdown whereas suicide and intentional drug overdose have decreased.
Conclusions
Self-reported data may underrepresent the true impact of lockdown on male mental health and ethnic minority groups. Emergency medical data can be used to identify vulnerable communities in the context of the extraordinary circumstances surrounding the current pandemic, as well as under more ordinary circumstances.
The first demonstration of laser action in ruby was made in 1960 by T. H. Maiman of Hughes Research Laboratories, USA. Many laboratories worldwide began the search for lasers using different materials, operating at different wavelengths. In the UK, academia, industry and the central laboratories took up the challenge from the earliest days to develop these systems for a broad range of applications. This historical review looks at the contribution the UK has made to the advancement of the technology, the development of systems and components and their exploitation over the last 60 years.
To determine (i) whether distinct groups of infants under 6 months old (U6M) were identifiable as malnourished based on anthropometric measures and if so to determine the probability of admittance to GOAL Ethiopia’s Management of At Risk Mothers and Infants (MAMI) programme based on group membership; (ii) whether there were discrepancies in admission using recognised anthropometric criteria, compared with group membership and (iii) the barriers and potential solutions to identifying malnutrition within U6M.
Design:
Mixed-methods approaches were used, whereby data collected by GOAL Ethiopia underwent: factor mixture modelling, χ2 analysis and logistic regression analysis. Qualitative analysis was performed through coding of key informant interviews.
Setting:
Data were collected in two refugee camps in Ethiopia. Key informant interviews were conducted remotely with international MAMI programmers and nutrition experts.
Participants:
Participants were 3444 South-Sudanese U6M and eleven key informants experienced in MAMI programming.
Results:
Well-nourished and malnourished groups were identified, with notable discrepancies between group membership and MAMI programme admittance. Despite weight for age z-scores (WAZ) emerging as the most discriminant measure to identify malnutrition, admittance was most strongly associated with mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC). Misconceptions surrounding malnutrition, a dearth of evidence and issues with the current identification protocol emerged as barriers to identifying malnutrition among U6M.
Conclusions:
Our model suggests that WAZ is the most discriminating anthropometric measure for malnutrition in this population. However, the challenges of using WAZ should be weighed up against the more scalable, but potentially overly sensitive and less accurate use of MUAC among U6M.
Backround: In American hospitals alone, the CDC estimates that hospital acquired infections (HAIs) account for an estimated 1.7 million infections and 99,000 associated deaths each year.1 Although the United states and most industrialized nations have made strides in lowering the overall HAI rate by taking critical steps to reduce HAIs, an overall formula that combines a global risk assessment per patient for HAI acquisition has yet to be established. To address this issue, we developed the ICEL equation. This equation uses a probabilistic argument to estimate the likelihood of HAI acquisition and to promote infection control dialogue among healthcare practitioners from diverse healthcare disciplines. Methods: We defined HAI risk using the ICEL acronym as follows: HAI risk = (I + C + E + L), where I is invasive devices present; C is patient-specific characteristics; E is the average number of pathogenic organisms in the patient environment; and L is the length of stay. A simple scale of 1–10 points is subjectively assigned for each of the following categories:
I = (number of invasive devices / surgeries / % body surface areas open)
C = Patient specific characteristics (immune system integrity / immunomodulators / radiation exposure / chemotherapy, etc)
E = Environmental conditions / cleaning (average number of pathogenic bacteria in room, 100% hand hygiene compliance, patient / staff colonization, etc)
L = Length of stay days risk, where 0–3 days is low risk, 4–7 is moderate risk, and 8–10+ is high risk
Summing the points for each of the 4 categories, the greatest possible total is 40. A total score of 0–10 indicates low risk of HAI; 11–20 indicates low-to-medium risk of HAI; 20–30 indicates a high risk of HAI; and 30–40 indicates a very high risk of HAI. Results:This equation was designed to stimulate thought and encourage multidisciplinary cooperation among providers, nursing, environmental services, and facilities departments rather than provide an exact number for HAI risk. All of these categories are key players in the determining patient risk of acquiring an HAI. If any of the 4 hospital departments mentioned fails in their duties, the patient is at higher risk of HAI. Conclusions: This categorical HAI risk assessment relies on the subjective medical and environmental knowledge of the assessor to assign risk across the continuum of the healthcare environment. Although it is nearly impossible to provide exact numbers regarding total risk in these risk categories, the goal of the scoring system is to encourage clinical dialogue among hospital staff so that they communicate and collaborate within their specialties and with their peers to assure that each category poses as low a risk as possible, thus driving the total risk for HAI lower.
The philosopher Daniel Dennett argues that complex structures in the natural and cultural worlds emerge from two types of design. Bottom-up design involves the rote action of a simple algorithm in an environment constrained by physical laws. Top-down design involves deliberation and planning, and is unique to modern humans. Identifying the emergence of top-down design in the hominin lineage is an important research challenge, and the archaeological record of stone technology is our best evidence for it. A current view is that artefact types and flaking methods increased in complexity from 3.3 to c. 0.3 million years ago, reflecting improving capacities at spatial cognition and working memory, culminating in top-down design perhaps as early as 1.75 million years ago. Recent experimental work, however, has shown that a simple ‘remove flake’ algorithm constrained by the laws of fracture mechanics—a form of bottom-up design—can produce stone tool attributes thought to be evidence of top-down design. Here, these models are reviewed and critiqued in light of the new experimental evidence. A revised working memory-based model, focusing on the recursive aspects of stone flaking, is proposed.