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Extreme precipitation events are projected to increase both in frequency and intensity due to climate change. High-resolution climate projections are essential to effectively model the convective phenomena responsible for severe precipitation and to plan any adaptation and mitigation action. Existing numerical methods struggle with either insufficient accuracy in capturing the evolution of convective dynamical systems, due to the low resolution, or are limited by the excessive computational demands required to achieve kilometre-scale resolution. To fill this gap, we propose a novel deep learning regional climate model (RCM) emulator called graph neural networks for climate downscaling (GNN4CD) to estimate high-resolution precipitation. The emulator is innovative in architecture and training strategy, using graph neural networks (GNNs) to learn the downscaling function through a novel hybrid imperfect framework. GNN4CD is initially trained to perform reanalysis to observation downscaling and then used for RCM emulation during the inference phase. The emulator is able to estimate precipitation at very high resolution both in space ($ 3 $km) and time ($ 1 $h), starting from lower-resolution atmospheric data ($ \sim 25 $km). Leveraging the flexibility of GNNs, we tested its spatial transferability in regions unseen during training. The model trained on northern Italy effectively reproduces the precipitation distribution, seasonal diurnal cycles, and spatial patterns of extreme percentiles across all of Italy. When used as an RCM emulator for the historical, mid-century, and end-of-century time slices, GNN4CD shows the remarkable ability to capture the shifts in precipitation distribution, especially in the tail, where changes are most pronounced.
This study explores the development and scale-up of an emerging carbon capture technology using molten carbonate electrolysis, which converts CO2 into high-value graphene nanocarbons (GNCs) and oxygen in a single step, offering a scalable and economically incentivized pathway to address global greenhouse gas emissions. Paths to large-scale carbon capture using molten carbonate electrolysis that splits CO2 into GNCs and O2 are studied and advanced. GNCs include carbon nanotubes, carbon nano-onions and other zero-, one-, two- and three-dimensional graphene nanoallotropes. The CO2 to carbon nanotechnology (C2CNT) carbon capture utilization process directly removes the greenhouse gas CO2 over a wide range of concentrations (from 400 ppm to pure CO2), incentivizing the capture by providing a value-added product. Scale-up of the original lab-scale discovery of the transition metal nucleated electrolytic splitting of CO2 to an industrial process is documented. The scale-up includes a three-order-of-magnitude increase in the size of the electrolysis electrodes, an increase in the individual electrolysis modules to 100-tonne CO2 annually, and a new industrial-scale production extraction unit separating the molten electrolyte from the GNC product. The molten carbonate electrolyte has evolved from costly pure lithium carbonate to multicomponent carbonate electrolytes, predominantly based on 10-fold less expensive strontium carbonate. Other advances include the introduction of a new direct cathode press for separation and extraction of the GNC product, as well as specialized modifications of C2CNT for carbon capture, utilization and storage of industrial processes (Genesis CCUS), direct air capture (Genesis DAC) and the separate recovery of the oxygen product (Genesis O2).
Pelmatozoa is an informal grouping of filter-feeding echinoderms including crinoids, paracrinoids, rhombiferans, and eocrinoids that possess a theca, an erect stalk, and feeding appendages. Although crinoids were major constituents of marine communities with high diversity and abundance throughout the Paleozoic, most other pelmatozoans had relatively low species diversity and/or short temporal durations. It has been proposed that these different diversification trajectories could have resulted from crinoids outcompeting other filter-feeding pelmatozoans during the early Paleozoic, although this hypothesis involving niche overlap has never been formally tested. Here, we tested this hypothesis using the incredibly diverse pelmatozoan fauna of the Late Ordovician (Sandbian) Bromide Formation of Oklahoma, which preserves a rich, ecologically complex fauna that developed as a result of the Great Ordovician Biodiversification Event. We developed a framework to quantitatively characterize pelmatozoan feeding ecology using multivariate analysis of ecomorphological traits and explored niche space occupation and potential competition between crinoids, rhombiferans, paracrinoids, eocrinoids, and diploporans from the Bromide fauna. Results revealed key ecological factors controlling niche differentiation and showed that crinoids, paracrinoids, and rhombiferans occupy nonoverlapping regions of niche space, indicating competition between groups was unlikely. Although the competition hypothesis was not supported, narrow niche space occupation suggests that paracrinoids and rhombiferans were more ecologically limited than crinoids, which might have played a role in their differential diversification dynamics. These results elucidate both the nature of interactions between pelmatozoan taxa and the potential mechanisms driving their evolutionary trajectories, as well as the complexity of ecological communities that arose during the Ordovician radiation.
We investigate the angular dynamics of a single spheroidal particle with large particle-to-fluid density ratio in simple shear flows, focusing on the influence of the fluid-inertial torque induced by slip velocity. A linear stability analysis is performed to examine how the fluid-inertial torque, viscous shear torque and particle inertia affect the various stable rotation modes, including logrolling, tumbling and aligning modes. As particle inertia increases, bistable or tristable rotation modes emerge depending on initial conditions. For prolate spheroids, three distinct stable-mode regimes are identified, i.e. logrolling, tumbling and tumbling–logrolling (TL). The presence of these modes depends on particle shape and inertia. For oblate spheroids, when the Stokes number is small, we observe monostable modes (logrolling, tumbling and aligning) and bistable modes (TL, aligning–logrolling) varying with different factors. As Stokes number increases, the tristable mode (aligning–tumbling–logrolling) of oblate spheroids appears. These results of the stability analysis further highlight the intricate and significant effect of fluid-inertial torque compared with the results in the absence of fluid-inertial torque. When we apply fluid-inertial torque to the point-particle model, we reproduce the stable rotation modes observed in particle-resolved simulations, which validates the present stability analysis.
The global use of antimicrobial chemicals drastically increased during and after the COVID-19 pandemic owing to heightened awareness of personal and surface hygiene needs. Disinfectants, especially chlorine-based disinfectants (CBDs), were extensively used for surface and equipment decontamination in the domestic, industrial, veterinary and healthcare sectors during the heights of the pandemic. The increased use of disinfectants has resulted in their increased discharge into municipal wastewater systems and surface waters. Our Perspective article considers the One Health challenges associated with the increased discharge of disinfectants into wastewater. One Health is a collaborative approach that ensures the well-being of people, animals and the environment. Wastewater is a common endpoint to the many interactions between people, animals and their environment. The potential One Health challenges and knowledge gaps associated with the constant discharge of low but sublethal concentrations of CBDs into wastewater are discussed. The data gaps point to the risks associated with the unregulated use of CBDs and need for their judicial use.
An experimental investigation is conducted to examine the tonal noise generation and flow structures of under-expanded jets interacting with a flat plate. The study combines surface pressure, far-field noise and time-resolved Schlieren visualisations to analyse jet dynamics across a range of isentropic Mach numbers (1.1–1.44) and jet-to-plate distances ($H/D$ = 1, 1.5 and 2.5). The results reveal a distinctly non-monotonic relationship between plate height and the amplitude of screech and plate-induced tones. This behaviour is governed by the constructive and destructive interference between the direct acoustic feedback waves of the jet and those reflected from the plate surface. This interference dictates whether the inherent screech mechanism is suppressed or a new plate-induced tone is amplified. Dynamic mode decomposition and wavenumber-spectral analysis reveal that the plate interaction disrupts the balance between downstream-propagating Kelvin–Helmholtz instabilities and upstream-travelling acoustic waves, fundamentally altering the jet’s resonant feedback loops. A key contribution of this work is the establishment of a direct link between flow dynamics and acoustics through advanced statistical analysis. It is shown that the plate installation asymmetrically amplifies the energy of coherent structures within the jet’s lower shear layer. Crucially, the energy content of these dominant shear-layer structures is found to be the primary driver of the far-field tonal noise magnitude. These findings provide a deeper understanding of the complex coupling between flow and acoustics in installed supersonic jets and offer refined guidance for the development of noise mitigation strategies.
The present experiments investigated the combustion dynamics of single and coaxial laminar diffusion flames within a closed cylindrical acoustic waveguide, focusing on their response to acoustic forcing at a pressure antinode. Nine alternative fuel injectors were used to examine the effect of injector jet diameter and configuration, tube wall thickness, annular-to-inner area and velocity ratio, and jet Reynolds number (below 100) on flame behaviour under different applied frequencies and pressure perturbation amplitudes. Fundamental flame–acoustic coupling phenomena were identified, all of which involved symmetric flame perturbations. These included sustained oscillatory combustion (SOC), multi-frequency periodic liftoff and reattachment (PLOR), permanent flame lift-off (PFLO) with low-level oscillations, and flame blowoff (BO). The phase lag between acoustic forcing and flame response was quantified, providing valuable insights into the coupling dynamics and transition behaviours. Findings revealed how various geometrical and flow characteristics could affect flame stability and resistance to blowoff, even under similar acoustic forcing conditions. Analysis of high-speed spatiotemporal visible imaging using proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) uncovered additional distinct phase portraits and spectral signatures associated with instability transitions, which, coupled with specific dynamical characteristics, enabled new insights into the relevance of injector geometrical characteristics and flow conditions in addressing acoustically coupled combustion instabilities.
Particle suspensions at the interface of turbulent liquids are governed by the balance of capillary attraction, strain-induced drag and lubrication. Here, we extend previous findings, obtained for small particles whose capillary interactions are dominated by quadrupolar-mode deformation of the interface, to larger spherical and disc-shaped particles experiencing monopole-dominant capillarity. By combining pair-approach experiments, two-dimensional turbulent flow realizations and particle imaging, we demonstrate that particles experiencing monopole-dominant attraction exhibit enhanced clustering compared with their quadrupole-dominant counterparts. We introduce an interaction scale defined by balancing viscous drag and capillary attraction, which is compared with the particle size and interparticle distance. This allows us to map the clustering behaviour onto a parameter space solely defined by those characteristic length scales. This yields a unified framework able to predict the tendency to cluster (and the concentration threshold for those clusters to percolate) in a vast array of fluid–particle systems.
Many authors have studied the biogeography of the Southern Ocean (SO), defined its limits and proposed their division into biogeographical zones and provinces. In this work we analyse the biogeography of sea slugs in a broad sense (Mollusca, Gastropoda, Heterobranchia) in the different areas and zones of the SO below 41°S. Most of the published scientific publications, databases and technical reports where records of benthic sea slugs appear in the SO have been analysed in addition to our own records, cataloguing a total of 355 different benthic species. The following areas and zones of the SO have been considered: Antarctica (Weddell Sea, West Antarctica, Ross Sea, East Antarctica), the sub-Antarctic zone (Falkland Islands, South Georgia Island, South Orkney Islands, South Sandwich Islands, Bouvet Island, Crozet and Prince Edward islands, Kerguelen Islands, Macquarie Island), southern South America (Patagonia/Magellan), Tasmania and New Zealand (South Island). A presence/absence table for all recorded species in the different zones has been compiled, and the differences and similarities between them have been calculated using the Sorensen index. The best representation has been obtained by classifying the zones into five groups: G1 (the four Antarctic zones, South Georgia Island, South Sandwich Islands, South Orkney Islands), G2 (Kerguelen Islands, Crozet and Prince Edward islands and Macquarie Island), G3 (Falkland Islands and Patagonia/Magellan), G4 (Tasmania and New Zealand’s South Island) and G5 (Bouvet Island). In addition, the concordance between the non-hierarchical classification (K-mean) and the hierarchical classification obtained using the WARD and UPGMA cluster analysis methods has been verified. The representative and distinctive species of each of these groups are indicated. In this work, as regards benthic sea slugs, the biogeographical affinities between the Antarctic zones and some of the sub-Antarctic zones are confirmed, as well as between the fauna of these molluscs in the Patagonian/Magallan zone and the Falkland Islands, while the affinities between the other zones need further confirmation when more species records become available.
Low-lying atoll islands are among the world’s most vulnerable coastal environments to sea-level rise (SLR). Global application of coastal flooding models suggests that centennial flood events may become annual events by 2050 in tropical regions. This article addresses this claim by modelling an island flooding event that occurred in the Maldives on 1 July 2022 as a result of a distant-swell event coinciding with an extra high spring tide. Hydrodynamic data collected after the event on one of the affected islands were used to calibrate and validate a one-dimensional non-hydrostatic XBeach model. The model overpredicted wave setup and underpredicted the water motion at frequencies <0.05 Hz, but the wave run-up elevation was predicted reasonably well. The 1 July flood event was considered in a decadal context using modelled wave data and measured tide data. It was concluded that the 1 July event represents a c. 1:25-year flooding event, but, due to SLR, such flooding could occur every few years by 2050. This prediction ignores natural or anthropogenic adjustments to the island morphology. The expected increase in frequency of coastal flooding in the Maldives requires atoll and island authorities in the Maldives to act swiftly in adapting to future flood risk.
The Cambrian Explosion saw the widespread development of mineralized skeletons. At this time, nearly every major animal phylum independently evolved strategies to build skeletons through either agglutination or biomineralization. Although most organisms settled on a single strategy, Salterella Billings, 1865 employed both strategies by secreting a biocalcitic exterior shell that is lined with layers of agglutinated sediments surrounding a central hollow tube. The slightly older fossil, Volborthella Schmidt, 1888, shares a similar construction with agglutinated grains encompassing a central tube but lacks a biomineralized exterior shell. Together these fossils have been grouped in the phylum Agmata Yochelson, 1977, although no phylogenetic relationship has been suggested to link them with the broader metazoan tree, which limits their contribution to our understanding of the evolution of shells in early animals.
To understand their ecology and place them in a phylogenetic context, we investigated Salterella and Volborthella fossils from the Wood Canyon and Harkless formations of Nevada, USA, the Illtyd Formation of Yukon, Canada, and the Shady Formation of Virginia, USA. Thin-section petrography, acid maceration, scanning electron microscopy, energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy, X-ray diffraction, and X-ray tomographic microscopy were used to provide new insights into these enigmatic faunas. First, morphological similarities in the aperture divergence angle and ratio of central tube diameter to agglutinated layer thickness suggest Salterella and Volborthella are related. Second, both fossils exhibit agglutinated grain compositions that are distinctive from their surrounding environments and demonstrate selectivity on the part of their producers. Finally, the calcitic shell composition and simple layers of blocky prismatic shell microstructure in Salterella suggest a possible cnidarian affinity. Together these data point to these organisms being sessile, semi-infaunal filter or deposit feeders and an early experimentation in cnidarian biomineralization chronicling a hypothesized transition from an organic sheath in Volborthella to a biomineralized shell in Salterella.
As the federal government failed to take ambitious action to limit climate change in the early 21st century, many cities in the US pledged to step into the void. Networks of city governments and philanthropists offered support and cities invested their own resources in sustainability offices. However, cities made limited progress in reducing their greenhouse gas emissions in the first two decades of this century. Local Greens provides a clear-eyed analysis of the potential for big city governments to address society's most pressing environmental problems in the near term. Through original case studies of New York's environmental policy efforts in the early 21st century, the book examines the promise and perils of turning to cities to tackle climate change. Drawing on an analysis of cities' strengths and weaknesses, the book outlines a high-level agenda for urban environmental policy for a sustainable future.
This textbook reflects the changing landscape of water management by combining the fields of satellite remote sensing and water management. Divided into three major sections, it begins by discussing the information that satellite remote sensing can provide about water, and then moves on to examine how it can address real-world management challenges, focusing on precipitation, surface water, irrigation management, reservoir monitoring, and water temperature tracking. The final part analyses governance and social issues that have recently been given more attention as the world reckons with social justice and equity aspects of engineering solutions. This book uses case studies from around the globe to demonstrate how satellite remote sensing can improve traditional water practices and includes end-of-chapter exercises to facilitate student learning. It is intended for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in water resource management, and as reference textbook for researchers and professionals.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has emerged as a key player in climate policy. The organization introduced its Climate Strategy in 2021 and established the Resilience and Sustainability Facility in 2022 to provide financial support to countries facing adaptation and mitigation challenges. The IMF's closer engagement with the economic dimensions of climate change holds the promise of helping countries pre-empt large-scale economic dislocations from climate risks. But how much progress has the IMF made in supporting the green transition? What is the policy track record of the IMF's climate loans? How do regular IMF loans and mandated reforms encompass climate considerations? How have the IMF's economic surveillance activities considered climate risks? Based on new evidence, the findings in this Element point to the multifaceted, and at times contradictory, ways green transition objectives have become embedded within IMF activities. This title is also available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.
Mass dispersion in oscillatory flows is closely tied to various environmental and biological processes, differing markedly from dispersion in steady flows due to the periodic expansion and contraction of particle patches. In this study, we investigate the Taylor–Aris dispersion of active particles in laminar oscillatory flows between parallel plates. Two complementary approaches are employed: a two-time-variable expansion of the Smoluchowski equation is used to facilitate Aris’ method of moments for the pre-asymptotic dispersion, while the generalised Taylor dispersion theory is extended to capture phase-dependent periodic drift and dispersivity in the long-time asymptotic limit. Applying both frameworks, we find that spherical non-gyrotactic swimmers can exhibit greater or lesser diffusivity than passive solutes in purely oscillatory flows, depending on the oscillation frequency. This behaviour arises primarily from the disruption of cross-streamline migration governed by Jeffery orbits. When a steady component is superimposed, oscillation induces a non-monotonic dual effect on diffusivity. We further examine two well-studied shear-related accumulation mechanisms, arising from gyrotaxis and elongation. Although these accumulation effects are less pronounced than in steady flows due to flow unsteadiness, gyrotactic swimmers respond more strongly to the unsteady shear profile, significantly modifying their drift and dispersivity. This work offers new insights into the dispersion of active particles in oscillatory flows, and also provides a foundation for studying periodic active dispersion beyond the oscillatory flow, such as periodic variations in shape and swimming speed.
Morphological characters are central to phylogenetic inference, especially for fossil taxa for which genomic data are unavailable. While Bayesian methods have gained popularity in recent years, they typically assume characters evolve independently, despite known correlations among characters. Here, we assess the impact of character correlation and evolutionary rate heterogeneity on Bayesian phylogenetic inference using extensive simulations of binary characters evolving under independent and correlated models. We find that Bayesian inference assuming character independence accurately recovers tree topologies even when characters are strongly correlated or evolve under heterogeneous rates. However, branch lengths or clock rates tend to be underestimated, particularly under extreme rate heterogeneity. These biases are partially corrected using models that integrate over character-state heterogeneity. Our results demonstrate that Bayesian methods are robust to violations of character independence in topological inference, supporting their continued use in morphological phylogenetics.