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A version of the Rao–Blackwell theorem is shown to apply to most, but not all, stereological sampling designs. Estimators based on random test grids typically have larger variance than quadrat estimators; random s-dimensional samples are worse than random r-dimensional samples for s < r. Furthermore, the standard stereological ratio estimators of different dimensions are canonically related to each other by the Rao–Blackwell process. However, there are realistic cases where sampling with a lower-dimensional probe increases efficiency. For example, estimators based on (conditionally) non-randomised test point grids may have smaller variance than quadrat estimators. Relative efficiency is related to issues in geostatistics and the theory of wide-sense stationary random fields. A uniform minimum variance unbiased estimator typically does not exist in our context.
Continuous-time threshold autoregressive (CTAR) processes have been developed in the past few years for modelling non-linear time series observed at irregular intervals. Several approximating processes are given here which are useful for simulation and inference. Each of the approximating processes implicitly defines conditions on the thresholds, thus providing greater understanding of the way in which boundary conditions arise.
Learning from Matheron's representation (1973), and using the increment vector (PIV) methodology introduced by Cressie (1988) and developed by Chen and Anderson (1994), this paper presents a theory for the representation and decomposition of integrated stationary time series and gives some applications.
A generalization of the notion of a stationary Markov chain in more than one dimension is proposed, and is found to be a special class of homogeneous Markov random fields. Stationary Markov chains in many dimensions are shown to possess a maximum entropy property, analogous to the corresponding property for Markov chains in one dimension. In addition, a representation of Markov chains in many dimensions is provided, together with a method for their generation that converges to their stationary distribution.
In the paper, we discuss the properties of Cowan and Mecke's Markov chain P in general form. We give some criteria for determining whether the chain P is transient, recurrent null or recurrent non-null, and for the chain P to have invariant measures.
In the theory of autoregressive model fitting it is of interest to know the asymptotic behaviour, for large sample size, of the coefficients fitted. A significant role is played in this connection by the moments of the norms of the inverse sample covariance matrices. We establish uniform boundedness results for these, first under generally weak conditions and then for the special case of (infinite order) processes. These in turn imply corresponding ergodic theorems for the matrices in question.
This paper considers estimators of parameters of the Boolean model which are obtained by means of the method of intensities. For an estimator of the intensity of the point process of germ points the asymptotic normality is proved and the corresponding variance is given. The theory is based on a study of second-order characteristics of the point process of lower-positive tangent points of the Boolean model. An estimator of the distribution of a typical grain is also discussed.
The continuous autoregressive and minification stationary non-negative time series models discussed by Chernick et al. (1988) are generalized to model marginal distributions which have atoms of mass at zero. The reversibility theorem relating these processes with exponential marginal distributions is extended to the case where the marginal distribution has exponential tail.
Consider a spatial point pattern realized from an inhomogeneous Poisson process on a bounded Borel set , with intensity function λ (s; θ), where . In this article, we show that the maximum likelihood estimator and the Bayes estimator are consistent, asymptotically normal, and asymptotically efficient as the sample region . These results extend asymptotic results of Kutoyants (1984), proved for an inhomogeneous Poisson process on [0, T] , where T →∞. They also formalize (and extend to the multiparameter case) results announced by Krickeberg (1982), for the spatial domain . Furthermore, a Cramér–Rao lower bound is found for any estimator of θ. The asymptotic properties of and are considered for modulated (Cox (1972)), and linear Poisson processes.
The aim of this paper is to extend the existing theory of second-order self-similar processes as defined by Cox (1984) from the univariate case to higher dimensions. Multivariate self-similar processes defined in terms of second-order theory for stationary time series can be used as models for long-range dependent observations when the marginal observations are long-range dependent. An interesting question concerns the correlation structure within the processes when the marginal processes are correlated. We show that the self-similarity requirement, as defined in this article, implies a cross-correlation structure similar to that for the marginal processes. This occurs both in the time domain and in the frequency domain. This fact can be used to obtain generalized least squares estimates for the long-range dependence parameters. We discuss some difficulties concerning estimation based on simulations.
The Cauchy problem in the form of (1.11) with linear and constant coefficients is discussed. The solution (1.10) can be given in explicit form when the stochastic process is a multidimensional autoregression (AR) type, or Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. Functionals of (1.10) form were studied by Kac in the Brownian motion case. The solutions are obtained with the help of the Radon–Nikodym transformation, proposed by Novikov [12].
This paper is concerned with the problem of estimation for the diffusion coefficient of a diffusion process on R, in a non-parametric situation. The drift function can be unknown and considered as a nuisance parameter. We propose an estimator of σ based on discrete observation of the diffusion X throughout a given finite time interval. We describe the asymptotic behaviour of this estimator when the step of discretization tends to zero. We prove consistency and asymptotic normality, the rate of convergence to the normal law being a random variable linked to the local time of the diffusion or to its suitable discrete approximation. This can also be interpreted as a convergence to a mixture of normal law.
This paper considers the joint limiting behavior of sums and maxima of stationary discrete-valued processes. The asymptotic behavior is a cross between a central limit theorem and asymptotic bounds for the distribution of the maxima. Some applications and simulations are also included.
For two-dimensional spatial data, a spatial unilateral autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model of first order is defined and its properties studied. The spatial correlation properties for these models are explicitly obtained, as well as simple conditions for stationarity and conditional expectation (interpolation) properties of the model. The multiplicative or linear-by-linear first-order spatial models are seen to be a special case which have proved to be of practical use in modeling of two-dimensional spatial lattice data, and hence the more general models should prove to be useful in applications. These unilateral models possess a convenient computational form for the exact likelihood function, which gives proper treatment to the border cell values in the lattice that have a substantial effect in estimation of parameters. Some simulation results to examine properties of the maximum likelihood estimator and a numerical example to illustrate the methods are briefly presented.
We propose an AR(1) model that can be used to generate logistic processes. The proposed model has simple probability and correlation structure that can accommodate the full range of attainable correlation. The correlation structure and the joint distribution of the proposed model are given, as well as their conditional mean and variance.
The first-order autoregressive semi-Mittag-Leffler (SMLAR(1)) process is introduced and its properties are studied. As an illustration, we discuss the special case of the first-order autoregressive Mittag-Leffler (MLAR(1)) process.
Using a simple characterization of the Linnik distribution, discrete-time processes having a stationary Linnik distribution are constructed. The processes are structurally related to exponential processes introduced by Arnold (1989), Lawrance and Lewis (1981) and Gaver and Lewis (1980). Multivariate versions of the processes are also described. These Linnik models appear to be viable alternatives to stable processes as models for temporal changes in stock prices.
We examine the main properties of the Markov chain Xt = T(Xt– 1) + σ(Xt– 1)ε t. Under general and tractable assumptions, we derive bounds for the tails of the stationary density of the process {Xt} in terms of the common density of the ε t's.
By using the alternating projection theorem of J. von Neumann, we obtain explicit formulae for the best linear interpolator and interpolation error of missing values of a stationary process. These are expressed in terms of multistep predictors and autoregressive parameters of the process. The key idea is to approximate the future by a finite-dimensional space.
The work is concerned with the first-order linear autoregressive process which has a rectangular stationary marginal distribution. A derivation is given of the result that the time-reversed version is deterministic, with a first-order recursion function of the type used in multiplicative congruential random number generators, scaled to the unit interval. The uniformly distributed sequence generated is chaotic, giving an instance of a chaotic process which when reversed has a linear causal and non-chaotic structure. An mk-valued discrete process is then introduced which resembles a first-order linear autoregressive model and uses k-adic arithmetic. It is a particular form of moving-average process, and when reversed approximates in m a non-linear discrete-valued process which has the congruential generator function as its deterministic part, plus a discrete-valued noise component. The process is illustrated by scatter plots of adjacent values, time series plots and directed scatter plots (phase diagrams). The behaviour very much depends on the adic number, with k = 2 being very distinctly non-linear and k = 10 being virtually indistinguishable from independence.