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The global energy transition carries significant geopolitical implications. This study examines how Chinese exports of critical electrical goods and geopolitical risk influence national energy transitions, focusing on lithium and rare earth production, pricing and oil markets. Using a Global Vector Autoregressive model across 12 major economies (2012–2019), with emphasis on Australia, China and the United States, the analysis shows that Chinese geopolitical risk affects the consumption of electrical goods, renewable energy deployment and critical mineral production. Empirical findings reveal that reliance on Chinese electrical goods creates strategic dependencies, making other countries vulnerable to shifts in China’s energy strategy. While oil prices are less relevant for most economies’ transitions, they remain central to the United States. The results highlight both the geopolitical risks and cooperative potential embedded in the global shift to clean energy.
Ice shelves regulate ice sheet dynamics, with their stability influenced by horizontal flow and vertical flexure. MacAyeal and others (2021) developed the theoretical foundation for a coupled flow-flexure model (the “M21 model”), combining the Shallow Shelf Approximation with thin-beam flexure, providing a computationally efficient tool for studying phenomena like ice shelf rumpling and lake drainage. However, the M21 model relies on proprietary software, is unstable under compressive flow conditions, and does not incorporate fracture processes critical for capturing ice-shelf damage evolution. We present an open-source version of the M21 model addressing these limitations. Using the free Python libraries Firedrake and icepack, we introduce a plastic failure mechanism, effectively limiting bending stresses and thereby stabilizing the model. This enhancement expands the viscous M21 model into a viscoplastic flow-flexure-fracture (3F) framework. We validate the 3F model through test cases replicating key ice shelf phenomena, including marginal rumpling and periodic surface meltwater drainage. By offering this tool as open-source software, we aim to enable broader adoption, with the ultimate aim of representing surface meltwater induced flow-flexure-fracture processes in large-scale ice sheet models.
Protecting animals from anthropogenic influences is important in vulnerable ecosystems such as Antarctica. A potential recent activity affecting Antarctic wildlife is the use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). Previous studies in this area have mainly focused on animal behavioural observations and have reported reactions to UAVs in many cases. To gain insights into the influence of UAVs on physiology (stress hormones) in addition to behavioural reactions, we conducted an experiment on chinstrap penguin chicks (Pygoscelis antarcticus) on the South Shetland Islands (Antarctica) during the breeding season of 2017–2018. Using a small quadcopter UAV, we performed flights over groups of penguin chicks in the early crèche phase using ‘Hard’ and ‘Soft’ treatment setups (15 and 50 m above the penguins, respectively). The behavioural observations revealed clear reactions to the UAV during the Hard treatment, but we could not find an association between such UAV activity and stress hormone levels. As we cannot clearly disentangle the effects of handling during blood sampling and the direct influence of the UAV, we conclude that the physiological impact of overflights at 15 m ranges from no impact to a maximum impact equal to the impact associated with animal handling. During the Soft treatment (UAV overflights at 50 m), no behavioural or physiological effects were detected.
Understanding the interplay between buoyancy and fluid motions within stably stratified shear layers is crucial for unravelling the contribution of flow structures to turbulent mixing. In this study, we examine statistically the local relationship between stratification and fluid deformation rate in wave and turbulent regimes, using experimental datasets obtained from a stratified inclined duct (SID) containing fluids of different densities that form an exchange flow. We introduce rotational and shear components of varying strength within the vorticity and a family of coherent gradient Richardson numbers ($Ri_C$), ratios related to the buoyancy frequency and the strength of either the rotational or shearing motion. Conditional statistical analysis reveals that both shear and stratification intensity affect the probability distribution of the $Ri_C$, with extreme events occurring more frequently in areas of weak stratification. In the wave regime, we identify the persistence of fast-spin vortices within the strongly stratified density interface. However, scouring of the density interface is primarily driven by shearing motions, with baroclinic torque making a notable contribution to enstrophy transport. In the turbulent regime, rigid-body rotations occur at significantly shorter time scales than that associated with the local buoyancy frequency, making them more disruptive to stratification than shear. Additionally, correlation analysis reveals that irrotational strain distorts stable stratification similarly to shearing motions, but is weaker than both shearing and rotational motions and less likely to have a time scale longer than that related to the buoyancy frequency. Moreover, we observed that the interplay between rotational and shearing motions intensifies as stratification increases. Finally, a comparison of length scales along the shear layers highlights the $Ri_C$ as a valuable measure of the relative sizes of different motions compared with the Ozmidov scale and shows that stratification can influence sub-Ozmidov scales through baroclinic torque. This study highlights the critical impact of the type, strength and location of fluid deformations on localised mixing, providing new insights into the role of rotational motions in shear-driven stratified flows.
Water resources from the Indus Basin sustain over 270 million people. However, water security in this region is threatened by climate change. This is especially the case for the upper Indus Basin, where most frozen water reserves are expected to decrease significantly by the end of the century, leaving rainfall as the main driver of river flow. However, future precipitation estimates from global climate models differ greatly for this region. To address this uncertainty, this paper explores the feasibility of using probabilistic machine learning to map large-scale circulation fields, better represented by global climate models, to local precipitation over the upper Indus Basin. More specifically, Gaussian processes are trained to predict monthly ERA5 precipitation data over a 15-year horizon. This paper also explores different Gaussian process model designs, including a non-stationary covariance function to learn complex spatial relationships in the data. Going forward, this approach could be used to make more accurate predictions from global climate model outputs and better assess the probability of future precipitation extremes.
This study from the Accelerator Mass Spectrometry Laboratory at the Center for Physical Sciences and Technology (FTMC), Vilnius, Lithuania, presents a detailed description of the sample preparation methods employed in the laboratory, with a focus on two AMS systems: a single-stage accelerator mass spectrometer (SSAMS) and a low energy accelerator (LEA). A pivotal aspect of this article is our participation in the GIRI intercomparison test, demonstrating our commitment to precision and accuracy in radiocarbon dating, with the average z-score values of the GIRI test being 0.16 ± 1.66 for SSAMS and –0.04 ± 1.52 for LEA. The outcomes from this participation validate the meticulous sample preparation procedures at Vilnius Accelerator Mass Spectrometry Laboratory and offer significant insights into the efficiency and reliability of SSAMS and LEA systems, contributing to a better understanding of their capabilities in radiocarbon analysis.
Steady flow at low Reynolds (Re) number through a planar channel with converging or diverging width is investigated in this study. Along the primary direction of flow, the small dimension of the channel cross-section remains constant while the sidewalls bounding the larger dimension are oriented at a constant angle. Due in part to ease of manufacturing, parallel-plate geometries such as this have found widespread use in microfluidic devices for mixing, heat exchange, flow control and flow patterning at small length scales. Previous analytical solutions for flows of this nature have required the converging or diverging aspect of the channel to be gradual. In this work, we derive a matched asymptotic solution, validated against numerical modelling results, that is valid for any sidewall angle, without requiring the channel width to vary gradually. To accomplish this, a cylindrical coordinate system defined by the angle of convergence between the channel sidewalls is considered. From the mathematical form of the composite expansion, a delineation between two secondary flow components emerges naturally. The results of this work show how one of these two components, originating from viscous shear near the channel sidewalls, corresponds to convective mixing, whereas the other component impresses the sidewall geometry on streamlines in the outer flow.
The Lamb–Oseen vortex is a model for practical vortical flows with a finite vortex core. Vortices with a Lamb–Oseen vortex velocity profile are stable according to the Rayleigh criterion in an infinite domain. Practical situations introduce boundary conditions over finite domains. Direct numerical simulations are performed on the evolution of perturbations to a viscous Lamb–Oseen vortex with uniform inlet axial velocity in a pipe of finite length. Linear stability boundaries are determined in the $(\textit{Re},\omega )$ plane. For a given swirl ratio $\omega$, the flow is found to become linearly unstable when the Reynolds number $\textit{Re}$ is above a critical value. The complete evolution history of the flow is followed until it reaches its final state. For small swirl ratios, the axisymmetric mode is linearly unstable and evolves to a final steady axisymmetric but non-columnar accelerated flow state after nonlinear saturation. For large swirl ratios, the spiral mode is linearly unstable. The spiral mode is found to force growth of an axisymmetric component due to nonlinear interaction. The flow evolves to a final unsteady spiral vortex breakdown state after it undergoes nonlinear saturation. The energy transfer between the mean flow and perturbations is studied by the Reynolds–Orr equation. The pressure work at the exit of the finite pipe is a major source of energy production. Finite-domain boundary conditions also modify the perturbation mode shapes, which can render the vortex core from absorbing energy to producing energy, and thus lead to instabilities. As the pipe length increases, the stability behaviour of the flow is found to approach that predicted by the classical Rayleigh criterion.
We consider the vortex–wedge interaction problem, taking as a departure point Howe’s model of a point vortex interacting with a semi-infinite half-plane, where the vortex path is influenced by its image and a closed-form analytical solution is obtained for the sound field. We generalise Howe’s model to consider wedges of arbitrary angles and explore the influence of vortex circulation, distance from the edge and the wedge half-angle. The effect of wedge angle on sound emission involves a reduced amplitude of the latter as the former is increased. An extension of the model is proposed to account for convection effects by a non-zero ambient flow. We identify a non-dimensional parameter that characterises the vortex kinematics close to the edge and the associated acoustic effect: high and low values of the parameter correspond, respectively, to high- and low-amplitude sound emission of high and low frequency.
We report our finding from direct numerical simulations that polygonal cell structures are formed by inertial particles in turbulent Rayleigh–Bénard convection in a large aspect ratio channel at Rayleigh numbers of $10^6, 10^7$ and $10^8$, and Prandtl number of 0.7. The settling of small particles modified the flow structures only through momentum interactions. From the simulations performed for various sizes and mass loadings of particles, we discovered that for small- and intermediate-sized particles, cell structures such as square, pentagonal or hexagonal cells were observed, whereas a roll structure was formed by large particles. As the mass loading increased, the sizes of the cells or rolls decreased for all particle sizes. The Nusselt number increased with the mass loading of intermediate and large particles, whereas it decreased with the mass loading of small particles compared with the value for particle-free convection. A detailed investigation of the effective feedback forces of the settling particles inside the hot and cold plumes near the walls revealed that the feedback forces break the up–down symmetry between the hot and cold plumes near the surfaces. This enhances the hot plume ascent while not affecting the cold plume, which leads to the preferred formation of cellular structures. The energy budget analysis provides a detailed interaction between particles and fluid, revealing that the net energy is transferred from the fluid to particles when the particles are small, while settling intermediate and large particles drag the fluid so strongly that energy is transferred from particles to fluid.
This study suggests that partial changes in adverse pressure gradient (APG) turbulent boundary layers (TBLs) relative to zero pressure gradient (ZPG) conditions can be obtained quantitatively by the wall-normal integral, while clarifying the partial influence of non-equilibrium effects. Specifically, the term $u_{\tau }^{2}/ ( {U_{e}V_{e}} )$, which is found to describe the degree of scale separation under non-equilibrium conditions, is decomposed into three terms. Here, $u_{\tau }$ is the frictional velocity, $U_{e}$ is the streamwise velocity at the boundary layer edge, and $V_{e}$ is the normal velocity at the boundary layer edge. This equation includes a ZPG term, a pressure gradient term and a streamwise variation term, indicating that the pressure gradient promotes scale separation. The equation can be applied to ZPG TBLs and equilibrium APG TBLs by separately ignoring the pressure gradient term and the streamwise variation term. By using this equation to simplify the integral of the inertia term of the mean momentum equation, an expression for the Reynolds shear stress in the outer region can be obtained, which indicates how APG affects the Reynolds shear stress through the mean velocity. The above quantitative results support further study of non-equilibrium APG TBLs.
We present a new 1:500 000 geological map of Alexander Island of West Antarctica. The map, combined with recent detrital zircon analysis, defines an updated chronostratigraphy for the Fossil Bluff Group, a Late Jurassic–Cretaceous forearc succession > 8 km in thickness that represents one of the most complete forearc successions globally. The forearc succession overlies and is in faulted contact with the LeMay Group, a late Permian basement accretionary complex that forms part of an extensive array of late Permian accretionary complexes in West Gondwana. The LeMay Group is intruded and overlain by a succession of Late Cretaceous–Palaeogene intermediate to silicic volcanic rocks and granitoid plutons. The uppermost unit on Alexander Island is an episode of Neogene to Quaternary basaltic volcanism associated with ridge-trench collisions and slab window development.
The genus Echinaster in Japanese waters was revised, resulting in the discovery of two new species, E. crystallus n. sp. and E. toyoshiomaruae n. sp., and one newly recorded species, E. stereosomus, from Japan. Molecular phylogenetic analyses including 22 echinasterid species indicate that another newly recorded species, Metrodira subulata, is grouped with the other Echinaster species. Since the revised diagnostic characteristics of the genus Echinaster are consistent with the morphology of Metrodira, we newly synonymize this genus with Echinaster. Consequently, the genus Echinaster includes six species in Japanese waters. Morphological descriptions of all Japanese Echinaster species were provided.
The interaction between the flow in a channel with multiple obstructions on the bottom and an elastic ice sheet covering the liquid is studied for the case of steady flow. The mathematical model employs velocity potential theory and fully accounts for the nonlinear boundary conditions at the ice/liquid interface and on the channel bottom. The integral hodograph method is used to derive the complex velocity potential of the flow, explicitly containing the velocity magnitude at the interface. This allows the boundary-value problem to be reduced to a system of nonlinear equations for the unknown velocity magnitude at the ice/liquid interface, which is solved using the collocation method. Case studies are carried out for a widened rectangular obstruction, whose width exceeds the wavelength of the interface, and for arrays of triangular ripples forming the undulating bottom shape. The influence of the bottom shape on the interface is investigated for three flow regimes: the subcritical regime, $F \lt F_{{cr}}$, for which the depth-based Froude number is less than the critical Froude number, and the interface perturbation decays upstream and downstream of the obstruction; the ice-supercritical and channel-subcritical regime, $F_{cr} \lt F \lt 1$, for which two waves of different wavelengths extend upstream and downstream to infinity; and the channel-supercritical regime, $F \gt 1$, for which the hydroelastic wave extends downstream to infinity. The results revealed a trapped interface wave above the rectangular obstruction and the ripple patch. The resonance behaviour of the interface over the undulating bottom occurs when the period of ripples approaches the wavelength of the ice/liquid interface.
Mecochirid lobsters (Glypheidea, Mecochiridae) are iconic decapod crustaceans from the Jurassic and Cretaceous. The composition of the family in terms of included genera strongly fluctuated during the twentieth century because of the lack of study of the type specimens, which are herein illustrated. On the basis of the type material of different species housed in German, French, British, and Romanian museums and universities, Eumorphia von Meyer, 1847 (type species Carcinium sociale von Meyer, 1841) is re-established as a valid mecochirid genus. Six species are considered, including the new species Eumorphia fabianmuelleri (Callovian, Germany), and the synonymization of Romaniacheiros Franţescu et al., 2018 with Eumorphia is proposed. The composition of the revised family Mecochiridae is discussed.
Riparian vegetation along riverbanks and seagrass along coastlines interact with water currents, significantly altering their flow. To characterise the turbulent fluid motion along the streamwise-edge of a region covered by submerged vegetation (canopy), we perform direct numerical simulations of a half-channel partially obstructed by flexible stems, vertically clamped to the bottom wall. An intense streamwise vortex forms along the canopy edge, drawing high-momentum fluid into the side of the canopy and ejecting low-momentum fluid from the canopy tip, in an upwelling close to the canopy edge. This mechanism has a profound impact on the mean flow and on the exchange of momentum between the fluid and the structure, which we thoroughly characterise. The signature of the canopy-edge vortex is also found in the dynamical response of the stems, assessed for two different values of their flexibility. Varying the flexibility of the stems, we observe how different turbulent structures over the canopy are affected, while the canopy-edge vortex does not exhibit major modifications. Our results provide a better understanding of the flow in fluvial and coastal environments, informing engineering solutions aimed at containing the water flow and protecting banks and coasts from erosion.
The cyclopoid family Bomolochidae Claus, 1875 is one of the most common groups of parasitic copepods infesting fishes worldwide. During a survey of marine fishes from northeast Brazil, a new species of Naricolax Ho, Do & Kasahara, 1983 was found in the nasal cavities of the littlescale threadfin Polydactylus oligodon (Günther, 1860) (Polynemidae) in the Maranhão Gulf, Brazil. Naricolax zafirae sp. nov. can be distinguished from all congeners because it has a pair of acutely pointed tines in the rostral area and an elongated last endopodal segment of leg 4, features that have never been reported in the genus. In addition, the new species differs from the closely related congeners by having a T-shaped rostral area, an outer spine on the second endopodal segment of leg 3 shorter than the segment, and by the apical seta on the last endopodal segment of leg 4 shorter than the rami. The present study provides the first report of a bomolochid parasitizing a fish of the family Polynemidae Rafinesque, 1815 as well as the first report of the genus Naricolax in the Atlantic Ocean. A dichotomous key for species of Naricolax is provided.
This paper provides direct experimental evidence for the coexistence of both a laminar separation bubble and a secondary vortex on the advancing side of a rotating sphere when subjected to the inverse Magnus effect. Detailed experiments were conducted in a wind tunnel on two spheres of varying surface roughness to investigate both ordinary and inverse Magnus effects. Experiments took place for $0.5\times 10^{5}\leqslant {\textit{Re}}\leqslant 3\times 10^{5}$ and rotation rates $0\leqslant \alpha \leqslant 0.45$, where the spheres were rotated via a shaft that was oriented perpendicularly to the free stream flow. Static pressure measurements were made on the non-shaft hemisphere using a spline of taps spanning from the equator to the pole. The ordinary Magnus effect was generally observed at the lowest ${\textit{Re}}$ tested, with a transition to the inverse Magnus effect occurring as ${\textit{Re}}$ increased. Time-averaged pressure coefficient distributions across the equatorial plane were obtained for the smooth and rough spheres. Cross-flow particle image velocimetry was used to visualise the downstream wake velocity field. A pair of counter-rotating wing-tip-like vortices were detected when the sphere experienced the ordinary Magnus effect, generated by flow leakage from the advancing to the retreating side. When the sphere experienced the inverse Magnus effect, the polarity of the counter-rotating vortex pair reversed. This is the first experimental observation of the vortex polarity reversal associated with the inverse Magnus effect in the wake of a rotating sphere. The results provide qualitative visualisation of the complex fluid dynamics and inform future applications of the Magnus effect.