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The notion of a recursive causal graph is introduced, hopefully capturing the essential aspects of the path diagrams usually associated with recursive causal models. We describe the conditional independence constraints which such graphs are meant to embody and prove a theorem relating the fulfilment of these constraints by a probability distribution to a particular sort of factorisation. The relation of our results to the usual linear structural equations on the one hand, and to log-linear models, on the other, is also explained

By amalgamating the approaches of Tweedie (1974) and Nummelin (1977), an α-theory is developed for general semi-Markov processes. It is shown that α-transient, α-recurrent and α-positive recurrent processes can be defined, with properties analogous to those for transient, recurrent and positive recurrent processes. Limit theorems for α-positive recurrent processes follow by transforming to the probabilistic case, as in the above references: these then give results on the existence and form of quasistationary distributions, extending those of Tweedie (1975) and Nummelin (1976).

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Recursive causal models

Semi-Markov processes on a general state space: α-theory and quasi-stationarity

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Recursive causal models

Semi-Markov processes on a general state space: α-theory and quasi-stationarity