The zonoid of a d-dimensional random vector is used as a tool for measuring linear dependence among its components. A preorder of linear dependence is defined through inclusion of the zonoids. The zonoid of a random vector does not characterize its distribution, but it does characterize the size-biased distribution of its compositional variables. This fact will allow a characterization of our linear dependence order in terms of a linear-convex order for the size-biased compositional variables. In dimension 2 the linear dependence preorder will be shown to be weaker than the concordance order. Some examples related to the Marshall-Olkin distribution and to a copula model will be presented, and a class of measures of linear dependence will be proposed.

Sums of independent random variables concentrated on discrete, not necessarily lattice, set of points are approximated by infinitely divisible distributions and signed compound Poisson measures. A version of Kolmogorov's first uniform theorem is proved. Second-order asymptotic expansions are constructed for distributions with pseudo-lattice supports.

The sooner and later waiting time problems have been extensively studied and applied in various areas of statistics and applied probability. In this paper, we give a comprehensive study of ordered series and later waiting time distributions of a number of simple patterns with respect to nonoverlapping and overlapping counting schemes in a sequence of Markov dependent multistate trials. Exact distributions and probability generating functions are derived by using the finite Markov chain imbedding technique. Examples are given to illustrate our results.

We study the properties of sums of lower records from a distribution on [0,∞) which is either continuous, except possibly at the origin, or has support contained in the set of nonnegative integers. We find a necessary and sufficient condition for the partial sums of lower records to converge almost surely to a proper random variable. An explicit formula for the Laplace transform of the limit is derived. This limit is infinitely divisible and we show that all infinitely divisible random variables with continuous Lévy measure on [0,∞) originate as infinite sums of lower records.

Suppose that {X s , 0 ≤ s ≤ T} is an m-dimensional geometric Brownian motion with drift, μ is a bounded positive Borel measure on [0,T], and ϕ : ℝm → [0,∞) is a (weighted) l q (ℝm )-norm, 1 ≤ q ≤ ∞. The purpose of this paper is to study the distribution and the moments of the random variable Y given by the L p (μ)-norm, 1 ≤ p ≤ ∞, of the function s ↦ ϕ(X s ), 0 ≤ s ≤ T. By using various geometric inequalities in Wiener space, this paper gives upper and lower bounds for the distribution function of Y and proves that the distribution function is log-concave and absolutely continuous on every open subset of the distribution's support. Moreover, the paper derives tail probabilities, presents sharp moment inequalities, and shows that Y is indetermined by its moments. The paper will also discuss the so-called moment-matching method for the pricing of Asian-styled basket options.

A recent paper by Lin and Stoyanov is devoted to the moment problem for geometrically compounded sums. The aim of this note is to provide affirmative answers to their conjectures.

For finite, homogeneous, continuous-time Markov chains having a unique stationary distribution, we derive perturbation bounds which demonstrate the connection between the sensitivity to perturbations and the rate of exponential convergence to stationarity. Our perturbation bounds substantially improve upon the known results. We also discuss convergence bounds for chains with diagonalizable generators and investigate the relationship between the rate of convergence and the sensitivity of the eigenvalues of the generator; special attention is given to reversible chains.

It has been observed that in many practical situations randomly stopped products of random variables have power law distributions. In this note we show that, in order for such a product to have a power law distribution, the only random indices are the exponentially distributed ones. We also consider a more general problem, which is closely related to problems concerning transformation from the central limit theorem to heavy-tailed distributions.

In this paper we derive the distribution of the total downtime of a repairable system during a given time interval. We allow dependence of the failure time and the repair time. The results are presented in the form of Laplace transforms which can be inverted numerically. We also discuss asymptotic properties of the total downtime.

The formation of patterns from letters of a finite alphabet is considered. The strings of letters are generated by general discrete- and continuous-time models which embrace as particular cases all models considered in the literature. The letters of the alphabet are identified by the states of either discrete- or continuous-time semi-Markov processes. A new and unifying method is introduced for evaluation of the generating functions of both the intersite distance between occurrences of an arbitrary, but fixed, pattern and the waiting time until the first occurrence of that pattern. Our method also covers in a unified way relevant and important joint generating functions. Furthermore, our results lead to an easy and efficient implementation of the relevant evaluations.

We show how good multivariate Poisson mixtures can be approximated by multivariate Poisson distributions and related finite signed measures. Upper bounds for the total variation distance with applications to risk theory and generalized negative multinomial distributions are given. Furthermore, it turns out that the ideas used in this paper also lead to improvements in the Poisson approximation of generalized multinomial distributions.

Let T = (T 1, T 2,…)be a sequence of real random variables with∑j=1 ∞ 1 |T j|>0 <∞ almost surely. We consider the following equation for distributions μ: W ≅ ∑j=1 ∞T j W j , where W, W 1, W 2,… have distribution μ and T, W 1, W 2,… are independent. We show that the representation of general solutions is a mixture of certain infinitely divisible distributions. This result can be applied to investigate the existence of symmetric solutions for T j ≥ 0: essentially under the condition that E ∑j=1 ∞T j 2 log+T j 2 < ∞, the existence of nontrivial symmetric solutions is exactly determined, revealing a connection with the existence of positive solutions of a related fixed-point equation. Furthermore, we derive results about a special class of canonical symmetric solutions including statements about Lebesgue density and moments.

We consider the following ordering for stochastic processes as introduced by Irle and Gani (2001). A process (Y t )t is said to be slower in level crossing than a process (Z t )t if it takes (Y t )t stochastically longer than (Z t )t to exceed any given level. In Irle and Gani (2001), this ordering was investigated for Markov chains in discrete time. Here these results are carried over to semi-Markov processes with particular attention to birth-and-death processes and also to Wiener processes.

Consider a sequence of outcomes from Markov dependent two-state (success-failure) trials. In this paper, the exact distributions are derived for three longest-run statistics: the longest failure run, longest success run, and the maximum of the two. The method of finite Markov chain imbedding is used to obtain these exact distributions, and their bounds and large deviation approximation are also studied. Numerical comparisons among the exact distributions, bounds, and approximations are provided to illustrate the theoretical results. With some modifications, we show that the results can be easily extended to Markov dependent multistate trials.

We introduce a new class of lifetime distributions exhibiting a notion of positive ageing, called the ℳ-class, which is strongly related to the well-known ℒ-class. It is shown that distributions in the ℳ-class cannot have an undesirable property recently observed in an example of an ℒ-class distribution by Klar (2002). Moreover, it is shown how these and related classes of life distributions can be characterized by expected remaining lifetimes after a family of random times, thus extending the notion of NBUE. We give examples of ℳ-class distributions by using simple sufficient conditions, and we derive reliability bounds for distributions in this class.

Sums of independent random variables concentrated on the same finite discrete, not necessarily lattice, set of points are approximated by compound Poisson distributions and signed compound Poisson measures. Such approximations can be more accurate than the normal distribution. Short asymptotic expansions are constructed.

In this paper, we consider the total variation distance between the distributions of two random sums S M and S N with different random summation indices M and N. We derive upper bounds, some of which are sharp. Further, bounds with so-called magic factors are possible. Better results are possible when M and N are stochastically or stop-loss ordered. It turns out that the solution of this approximation problem strongly depends on how many of the first moments of M and N coincide. As approximations, we therefore choose suitable finite signed measures, which coincide with the distribution of the approximating random sum S N if M and N have the same first moments.

In this paper, we investigate sooner and later waiting time problems for patterns S 0 and S 1 in multistate Markov dependent trials. The probability functions and the probability generating functions of the sooner and later waiting time random variables are studied. Further, the probability generating functions of the distributions of distances between successive occurrences of S 0 and between successive occurrences of S 0 and S 1 and of the waiting time until the rth occurrence of S 0 are also given.

For nonnegative random variables X and Y we write X ≤TTTY if∫0 F-1(p)(1-F(x))dx ≤∫0 G-1(p)(1-G(x))dx all p ∈ (0,1), where F and G denote the distribution functions of X and Y respectively.The purpose of this article is to study some properties of this new stochastic order. New properties of the excess wealth (or right-spread) order, and of other related stochastic orders, are also obtained. Applications in the statistical theory of reliability and in economics are included.

Distributional fixed points of a Poisson shot noise transform (for nonnegative and nonincreasing response functions bounded by 1) are characterized. The tail behavior of fixed points is described. Typically they have either exponential moments or their tails are proportional to a power function, with exponent greater than −1. The uniqueness of fixed points is also discussed.Finally, it is proved that in most cases fixed points are absolutely continuous, apart from the possible atom at zero.