Distributed ledgers, including blockchain and other decentralized databases, are designed to store information online where all trusted network members can update the data with transparency. The dynamics of a ledger’s development can be mathematically represented by a directed acyclic graph (DAG). In this paper, we study a DAG model that considers batch arrivals and random delay of attachment. We analyze the asymptotic behavior of this model by letting the arrival rate go to infinity and the inter-arrival time go to zero. We establish that the number of leaves in the DAG, as well as various random variables characterizing the vertices in the DAG, can be approximated by its fluid limit, represented as the solution to a set of delayed partial differential equations. Furthermore, we establish the stable state of this fluid limit and validate our findings through simulations.

We consider shock models governed by the bivariate geometric counting process. By assuming the competing risks framework, failures are due to one of two mutually exclusive causes (shocks). We obtain and study some relevant functions, such as failure densities, survival functions, probability of the cause of failure, and moments of the failure time conditioned on a specific cause. Such functions are specified by assuming that systems or living organisms fail at the first instant in which a random threshold is reached by the sum of received shocks. Under this failure scheme, various cases arising for suitable choices of the random threshold are provided too.

The relevation model is a fundamental tool in reliability engineering for assessing the effectiveness of redundancy allocation in coherent systems. In this study, we address the problem of allocation of relevations for one or two nodes in a coherent system with independent components to enhance system reliability. We establish results concerning the usual stochastic and hazard rate orders for coherent systems. Moreover, we illustrate our findings with a range of examples and counterexamples. In addition, we conduct a simulation-based study and a real data analysis to further illustrate the application of our results. Lastly, we study the case of the minimal repair policy in detail.

This article proposes and studies two Huber-type estimation approaches, namely, the Huber instrumental variable (IV) estimation and the Huber generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation, for a spatial autoregressive model. We establish the consistency, asymptotic distributions, finite sample breakdown points, and influence functions of these estimators. Simulation studies show that compared to the corresponding traditional estimators (the two-stage least squares estimator, the best IV estimator, and the GMM estimator), our estimators are more robust when the unknown disturbances are long-tailed, and our estimators only lose a little efficiency when the disturbances are short-tailed. Moreover, the Huber GMM estimator also outperforms several robust estimators in the literature. Finally, we apply our estimation method to investigate the impact of the urban heat island effect on housing prices. A package is published on GitHub for practitioners to use in their empirical studies.

A general asymptotic theory is established for sample cross moments of nonstationary time series, allowing for long-range dependence and local unit roots. The theory provides a substantial extension of earlier results on nonparametric regression that include near-cointegrated nonparametric regression as well as spurious nonparametric regression. Many new models are covered by the limit theory, among which are functional coefficient regressions in which both regressors and the functional covariate are nonstationary. Simulations show finite sample performance matching well with the asymptotic theory and having broad relevance to applications, while revealing how dual nonstationarity in regressors and covariates raises sensitivity to bandwidth choice and the impact of dimensionality in nonparametric regression. An empirical example is provided involving climate data regression to assess Earth’s climate sensitivity to CO$_2$, where nonstationarity is a prominent feature of both the regressors and covariates in the model. To our knowledge, this application is the first nonparametric empirical analysis to assess potential nonlinear impacts of CO$_2$ on Earth’s climate while allowing for nonstationarity in both the regressors and covariates.

In recent works on the theory of machine learning, it has been observed that heavy tail properties of stochastic gradient descent (SGD) can be studied in the probabilistic framework of stochastic recursions. In particular, Gürbüzbalaban et al. (2021) considered a setup corresponding to linear regression for which iterations of SGD can be modelled by a multivariate affine stochastic recursion $X_n=A_nX_{n-1}+B_n$ for independent and identically distributed pairs $(A_n,B_n)$, where $A_n$ is a random symmetric matrix and $B_n$ is a random vector. However, their approach is not completely correct and, in the present paper, the problem is put into the right framework by applying the theory of irreducible-proximal matrices.

Following Entman’s observation that policy frames define social problems, diagnose causes and suggest remedies, we examined the strategies that 12 U.S. governors (from states matched according to population size and density, demographic composition, per capita incomes, geographic proximity, and COVID-19 incidence) used to frame COVID-19 policy agendas. After scraping the governors’ statements about COVID-19 from press releases issued from January 2020 to May 2023 (N = 14,629), we leveraged ChatGPT (GPT) to identify and assess the intensity of public health, economic stability, and civic vitality frames. Subsequent analysis explored differences in the framing strategies according to the governors’ political party and gender. In the process, this study underscores the importance of AI prompt engineering to realize GPT’s transformative potential to facilitate communication research by efficiently identifying and assessing the content of policy frames.