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We construct a model for the (non-unital) S1-framed little 2d-dimensional disks operad for any positive integer d using logarithmic geometry. We also show that the unframed little 2d-dimensional disks operad has a model which can be constructed using log schemes with virtual morphisms.
There is limited analysis of the adoption of luxury tourism strategies in Africa. Such strategies promise lower ecological impact and higher tourism revenues. Through an analysis of economic data and secondary literature, as well as interviews conducted in Mauritius, Botswana, and Rwanda, this article examines why once luxury tourism strategies are adopted and do not deliver expected results, some countries reverse these strategies while others do not. Contrary to recent African political economy literature, this paper shows that “democratic” governments (Mauritius, Botswana) with shorter-term horizons have more flexibility in adapting their strategies compared to “authoritarian” governments with longer-term horizons (Rwanda).
India, as the world’s most populous country, and with a substantial urban population, requires strategic development to mitigate the risks of urban pluvial flooding in the context of a changing climate. Rapid urbanization increases the presence of impervious surfaces, and climate change effects bring intense, frequent and long-duration rainfall events in India, which magnify urban flooding. Implementing sustainable urban drainage solutions (SUDSs) would mitigate stormwater flood risks, but India has yet to adopt this approach; instead, it relies on traditional drainage infrastructure, despite increasing population indices and an extended yearly rainfall season. Here, we highlight the existing scenario, the challenges and the way forward towards implementing SUDSs in India. To attain SUDSs, city-specific drainage-related challenges need to be identified through problem tree analysis, co-creation with stakeholders of a shared vision for sustainable urban drainage and the design of actionable pathways and experimental approaches for implementing interventions and refining practical indicators. These actions could collectively provide a roadmap for achieving resilient SUDSs.
The growth of small perturbations in isotropic turbulence is studied using massive ensembles of direct numerical simulations. These ensembles capture the evolution of the ensemble-averaged flow field and the ensemble variance in the fully nonlinear regime of perturbation growth. Evolution equations for these two fields are constructed by applying the ensemble average operator to the Navier–Stokes equations and used to study uncertainty growth in scale and physical space. It is shown that uncertainty growth is described by a flux of energy from the ensemble-averaged flow to the ensemble variance. This flux is formally equivalent to the subgrid scale (SGS) energy fluxes of the turbulence cascade, and can be interpreted as an inverse uncertainty cascade from small to large scales. In the absence of information sources (measurements), the uncertainty cascade is unsteady and leads to the progressive filtering of the small scales in the ensemble-averaged flow, a process that represents the loss of predictability due to chaos. Similar to the kinetic energy cascade, the uncertainty cascade displays an inertial range with a constant average uncertainty flux, which is bounded from below by the average kinetic energy dissipation. Locally in space, uncertainty fluxes differ from the SGS energy fluxes at the same scale, but both have similar statistics and are significantly correlated with each other in space. This suggests that uncertainty propagation is partly connected to the energy cascade and that they share similar mechanisms. These findings open avenues to model uncertainty propagation in turbulence following an approach similar to the SGS models in large-eddy simulations. This is relevant not only to efficiently assess the reliability and accuracy of turbulence forecasts, but also to design uncertainty-robust reconstruction techniques for data assimilation or SGS modelling.
To evaluate the hospital-level impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on U.S. academic medical centers (AMCs) and assess regional variation in care delivery to inform public health emergency preparedness strategies.
Methods
We retrospectively analyzed adult inpatient discharges from 106 AMCs using Vizient® Clinical Data Base from October 2019 to December 2023. The study period was divided into pre-COVID (Oct 2019-Mar 2020), early-COVID (Apr 2020-Dec 2020), late-COVD (Jan 2021-May 2023), and post-COVID (Jun-Dec 2023). Outcomes included hospital encounters, length of stay (LOS), ICU admissions, ICU LOS, mortality, and case mix index (CMI). Mixed models assessed temporal and regional variation.
Results
Among 13.5 million discharges, monthly encounters declined during early COVID and rebounded post-COVID (P < 0.0001). Observed LOS increased from 6.2 to 6.7 days during the pandemic and remained elevated post-COVID (P < 0.0001). ICU LOS rose during early and late COVID (P < 0.0001), while ICU admission rates declined slightly over time (P = 0.0112). Mortality peaked at 3.4% during early COVID and returned to 2.8% post-COVID (P < 0.0001).
Conclusions
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly disrupted inpatient operations at U.S. AMCs, with increased LOS, ICU burden, and case complexity. By segmenting the pandemic into phases, we identified patterns in hospital performance that reflect evolving public health challenges.
The simulation of turbulent flow requires many degrees of freedom to resolve all the relevant time and length scales. However, due to the dissipative nature of the Navier–Stokes equations, the long-term dynamics is expected to lie on a finite-dimensional invariant manifold with fewer degrees of freedom. In this study, we build low-dimensional data-driven models of pressure-driven flow through a circular pipe. We impose the ‘shift-and-reflect’ symmetry to study the system in a minimal computational cell (e.g. the smallest domain size that sustains turbulence) at a Reynolds number of 2500. We build these models by using autoencoders to parametrise the manifold coordinates and neural ordinary differential equation to describe their time evolution. Direct numerical simulations (DNSs) typically require of the order of $\mathcal{O}(10^5)$ degrees of freedom, while our data-driven framework enables the construction of models with fewer than 20 degrees of freedom. Remarkably, these reduced-order models effectively capture crucial features of the flow, including the streak breakdown. In short-time tracking, these models accurately track the true trajectory for one Lyapunov time, as well as the leading Lyapunov exponent, while at long-times, they successfully capture key aspects of the dynamics such as Reynolds stresses and energy balance. The model can quantitatively capture key characteristics of the flow, including the streak breakdown and regeneration cycle. Additionally, we report new exact coherent states found in the DNS with the aid of these low-dimensional models. This approach leads to the discovery of seventeen previously unknown solutions within the turbulent pipe flow system, notably featuring relative periodic orbits characterised by the longest reported periods for such flow conditions.
In the field of parafoil airdrop path planning, the inherent complexity and time-sensitive nature of mission requirements necessitate rapid path generation through low-order mathematical models that approximate the system’s true dynamics. This study presents a novel sparse identification framework for constructing a parafoil path planning approximate model. Leveraging high-fidelity 9-degree-of-freedom (9 DOF) dynamic simulation data as training inputs, our method identifies simple nonlinear relationships between 3D positional coordinates (for spatial targeting) and yaw angle (for directional control), which are critical path planning parameters. Compared to conventional 4 DOF models, experimental validation using field airdrop data reveals that the proposed sparse model achieves enhanced predictive accuracy while maintaining computational efficiency. Quantitative analysis demonstrates reductions in root mean square error (RMSE) by approximately 12.96% (horizontal position), 54.44% (height) and 37.96% (yaw angle). The efficacy is further confirmed through successful fixed-point homing across diverse initial deployment scenarios, underscoring its potential for parafoil path planning.
CBRN events can occur randomly or intentionally. Rapid and appropriate response to CBRN events can significantly mitigate the adverse effects on physical health and reduce mortality rates. The effectiveness of these responses largely depends on the preparedness of hospital emergency Clinical staff.
Methods
This study was a mixed-methods research aiming to develop and validate a psychometric research instrument in 2025. Based on the review of the literature regarding CBRN events, the items were extracted, rewritten, and validated. In the quantitative phase, the validity of the questionnaire was evaluated in terms of face, content, and construct validity, and its reliability was evaluated based on internal consistency and stability (Cronbach’s alpha and Interclass Correlation Coefficient [ICC]).
Results
The designed questionnaire included 6 dimensions and 65 items. The dimensions included (1) programs and guidelines, treatment of the injured; (2) exercise; (3) decontamination and waste management; (4) education and human resources; (5) prevention, coordination, and security; and (6) PPE. The content and face validity of the questionnaire were approved by the specialists and experts of hospital emergency and health in disasters and emergencies. The content validity ratio was >0.6 for all items. The content validity index was also approved for all items. The Cronbach’s alpha coefficient and ICC were respectively 0.977 and 0.972 for the total questionnaire.
Conclusion
Hospital Emergency Clinical Staff play a vital role in responding to CBRN events; therefore, policies, programs, coordination efforts, budgets, and other necessary measures are strongly recommended to increase ED clinical staff preparedness against CBRN events.
The atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki reshaped international politics and the field of International Relations. But one question—“How should the atomic bomb be used?”—has been largely overlooked in political science. This article recovers American deliberations on alternative nuclear use options before August 1945, including the “noncombat demonstration,” targeting military installations, giving advance warning, and striking more symbolically valuable cities. We develop theoretical insights on the value of staging violent spectacles and the emotive power of visible destruction. We then use a wide range of sources to show that U.S. leaders selected an ostentatiously lethal means of atomic debut due to concerns about conventional military inferiority vis-à-vis the Soviet Union, the desire to instill a widespread view of the bomb’s revolutionary character, and the imperative of shaping the postwar international order. This study advances our understanding of the post-1945 international order and the performative dimensions of political violence.
Gas-phase turbulence in a bubbling gas–solid fluidised bed is modelled using the data from particle-resolved direct numerical simulations. The subgrid particle-induced turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) is modelled as a function of filter width, filtered solid volume fraction, particle Reynolds number and filtered gas-phase strain rate tensor. Within the volume-filtered framework, we demonstrate that the fluid Reynolds stress models originally developed for a homogeneous system remain applicable to the inhomogeneous fluidised bed, provided that the inhomogeneous drag and particle-induced TKE models are used for the dissipation rate interfacial term. An algebraic model for the anisotropy of gas-phase velocity variance is developed by simplifying the proposed Reynolds stress equation model, which incorporates the effects from both filtered slip velocity and filtered fluid strain rate. The new models are shown to agree well with the direct numerical simulation data of clustered particle settling systems, indicating good applicability of our models for various clustered particle-laden flows.
This study compares turbulent channel flows over elastic walls with those over rough walls, to explore the role of the dynamic change of shape of the wall in turbulence. The comparison is made meaningful by generating rough walls from instantaneous configurations of elastic cases. The aim of this comparison is to individually understand the role of fluid–structure interaction effects and the role of wall shape/undulations in determining the overall physics of flow near elastic walls. With an increase in the compliance of the wall, qualitatively similar trends for many of the effects produced by a rough wall are also seen in the elastic wall. However, specific features can be observed for the elastic-wall cases only, arising from the mutual interaction between the solid and fluid, leading to a further increase in drag. To understand them, we look at the turbulent structures, which exhibit clear differences across the various configurations: roughness induces only a slight reduction of streamwise coherency, resulting in a situation qualitatively similar to what is found in classical turbulent channel flows, whereas elasticity causes the emergence of a novel dominant spanwise coherency. Additionally, we explored the effect of vertical disturbances on elastic-wall dynamics by comparing with permeable walls having similar (average) wall-normal velocity fluctuations at the interface. The permeable walls were found to have minimal similarities to elastic walls. Overall, we can state that the wall motion caused by the complex fluid–structure interaction contributes significantly to the flow and must be considered when modelling it. In particular, we highlight the emergence of strong wall-normal fluctuations near the wall, which result in strong ejection events, an attribute not observed for rigid walls.
The locomotion of microorganisms in complex fluids at low Reynolds numbers has been widely studied by ignoring fluid inertia. Here, we combine the asymptotic analysis and numerical simulations to explore the effect of fluid inertia on the dynamic mechanism of microorganisms swimming through viscoelastic fluids using Taylor’s swimming sheet model, undergoing small-amplitude undulations. Surprisingly, fluid inertia can enhance the speed and efficiency of the infinite-length sheet in viscoelastic fluids at finite Reynolds numbers, in stark contrast to the previous results found in Newtonian fluids. Moreover, speed and efficiency slightly exceed those Newtonian values at the small Weissenberg number due to a passive inertial response of the sheet. We associate this with the magnitude of the hydrodynamic force increasing at finite Reynolds numbers. These insights contribute to a deeper understanding of the inertial effect on the locomotion of microorganisms through complex fluids.
Twin children are more likely to die than singletons. This is an additional burden in sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries, as child mortality levels are already higher than anywhere else. This article provides estimates of under-5 mortality rates (U5MRs) for twins and singletons in SSA from 1986 to 2016. It describes the geographical variations and changes over time. It also describes the variation of twins’ excess mortality according to age from 0 to 5 years. Additionally, it analyzes the factors associated with twins’ excess mortality. We used data from 156 national surveys from 42 countries. We estimated U5MRs for twins and single children and built a Cox model to analyze factors associated with excess mortality among twins. Although child mortality has declined on the continent, twins’ excess mortality remains very high. U5MRs are, on average, 3 times higher among twins than singletons. The Cox model shows that all other things being equal, the adjusted hazard ratio of under-5 mortality (U5M) is 3.2 (2.9−3.3; p < .001) times higher among twins than singletons. The main factors associated with excess mortality risks among twins are biomedical and nutritional features, such as low birth weight, non-use of cesarean section delivery, and lack of breastfeeding. Health policy makers in SSA should be aware of the vulnerability of twins, and interventions to prevent their early deaths should be considered.
Turbulence accounts for most of the energy losses associated with the pumping of fluids in pipes. Pulsatile drivings can reduce the drag and energy consumption required to supply a desired mass flux, when compared with steady driving. However, not all pulsation waveforms yield reductions. Here, we compute drag- and energy-optimal driving waveforms using direct numerical simulations and a gradient-free black-box optimisation framework. Specifically, we show that Bayesian optimisation is vastly superior to ordinary gradient-based methods in terms of computational efficiency and robustness, due to its ability to deal with noisy objective functions, as they naturally arise from the finite-time averaging of turbulent flows. We identify optimal waveforms for three Reynolds numbers and two Womersley numbers. At a Reynolds number of $8600$ and a Womersley number of 10, optimal waveforms reduce total energy consumption by 22 % and drag by 37 %. These reductions are rooted in the suppression of turbulence prior to the acceleration phase, the resulting delay in turbulence onset, and the radial localisation of turbulent kinetic energy and production towards the pipe centre. Our results pinpoint that the predominant, steady operation mode of pumping fluids through pipes is far from optimal.