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The paper builds a parsimonious US business cycle SVARMA model, establishing identification conditions for independent monetary shocks. The SVARMA model, utilizing Divisia M3 and Divisia M4, is compared to the simple sum M2. The monetary rule with Divisia M3 yields theoretically consistent results marked by the absence of the usual price and liquidity puzzles. As the Federal Reserve (Fed) took a more hawkish approach to curb inflation, significant increases in US interest rates and declines in monetary aggregates were largely influenced by the Fed’s reaction function, which incorporates the Divisia M3 monetary rule. Findings emphasize the monetary impact on the business cycle, highlighting the significance of Divisia monetary aggregates. Historical and variance decompositions reveal diverse, dynamic effects of monetary shocks on macroeconomic variables. The SVARMA model with Divisia M3 and M4 demonstrates superior performance over simple sum M2 in capturing the time path of monetary shocks.
The Malabar dwarf puffer, Carinotetraodon travancoricus is the smallest known pufferfish (family Tetraodontidae) and one of the smallest freshwater fishes of the Indian subcontinent. Due to their miniature size, wacky behaviour and appearance, they are much preferred in the international aquarium fish trade, although little is known regarding their breeding activity in captivity and their embryonic development. The purpose of this study was to fill these knowledge gaps. Wild-caught Malabar dwarf puffers were acclimatised to conditions, and pairs were introduced to breeding tanks. Adult fishes were fed with live and frozen diets including Artemia nauplii, moina and bloodworm. During spawning seasons, adult fish displayed elaborate courtship behaviour around sunset. Carinotetraodon travancoricus is a batch spawner releasing 1 to 5 eggs per diem. The eggs were spherical, and non-sticky, with a diameter of 1.48 ± 0.1 mm, and hatching took place after 108 to 116 h post-incubation. The newly hatched larvae were 3.5 ± 0.2 mm in length, and weighed 2.9 ± 0.4 mg. The early larvae have substantial yolk and oil globules as an energy reserve. Histological studies on mature females suggested the batch spawning nature of the species and low fecundity. Given its unique reproductive behaviour and characters, in situ protected habitats are required to ensure their continued survival in the wild, apart from encouraging captive breeding to augment the demand in the international aquarium fish trade.
OBJECTIVES/GOALS: Studies to improve uptake of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Clinical Practice Guidelines (COPD CPG) have yielded inconsistent results. We hypothesized that using implementation science would facilitate rigorous site ‘diagnosis’, and promote effective contextual tailoring of COPD CPG, while piloting the use of telehealth for this. METHODS/STUDY POPULATION: The study was conducted in two Veterans Affairs primary care clinics located in a small sized city. A detailed formative evaluation was conducted using key informant interviews (with VA staff and veterans with COPD who received care at this location) and quantitative data. Multidisciplinary stakeholder group was engaged and strategies to address the determinants identified through the previous step were identified. Telehealth was strongly encouraged as the primary modality for implementing the COPD CPG and we are collecting pilot data on this. Tele-Facilitation, used as the meta-strategy was employed in conjunction with other strategies such as develop/distribute educational materials, tailor strategies, change record systems and revise professional roles. RESULTS/ANTICIPATED RESULTS: Primary Care at the VA is provided by Patient Aligned Care Teams (PACT-teams), where each team consists of multiple health professionals to provide collaborative care to the patient. Discussions with the multidisciplinary stakeholder team suggested that any implementation effort primarily focused on physician and nursing efforts was unlikely to succeed due to competing demands. A pharmacy-centric model that allowed for the PACT-team clinical pharmacist to address most of the COPD CPG (inhaler technique education/assessment, inhaler choice optimization, COPD-specific patient education, spirometry use, smoking and immunization) was developed and implemented with incorporation of telehealth (video visits and telephone). We will present pilot implementation outcomes using RE-AIM framework elements. DISCUSSION/SIGNIFICANCE: This use of implementation science to implement COPD CPG and novel use of telehealth has enormous potential for impact. Increasing reach/adoption by targeting primary care practices can help permeate quality care to the underserved population. This data will allow us to explore generalizability through wider scale implementation studies.
The purpose of this investigation was to examine neuropsychological functioning after frontal (FL) or temporal lobectomy (ATL) in patients with localization related epilepsy. Few studies have compared cognitive changes following FL and ATL. Past research found improvement on measures of verbal and visual memory along with confrontation naming after FL (Busch et al., 2017). In contrast, a number of studies have reported verbal memory and naming decline in those undergoing left ATL. The current study examined post-operative cognitive changes in epilepsy patients who underwent either a left or right FL or ATL.
Participants and Methods:
Subjects include 430 patients (204 men, 225 women, 1 gender not specified), who underwent surgical resection; Right FL = 25, Left FL = 26, Right ATL = 211, Left ATL = 168. Patients had a mean FSIQ = 90, ages ranging from 18 to 71 (mean age = 37 years), right (n=359), left (n=50), or mixed (n=18) handedness, and education ranging from 3 to 22 years (mean = 12.9 years of education). Change from pre- to post FL and ATL was examined in the following domains: learning and memory [Long Term Storage for Selective Reminding Tests (SRT), Wechsler’s Memory Scale (WMS): Logical Memory Delayed Recall (LM) and Visual Reproduction Delayed Recall (VR)], and language [Boston Naming Test (BNT)].
Results:
A one-way ANOVA was used to examine changes in language and memory. Our findings revealed statistically significant differences between resection groups for LM, SRT, and BNT. There were significant declines (p<.001) for left ATL when compared to right ATL for LM, SRT, and BNT. There were significant declines for left ATL, when compared to the gains in both left (p<.001; p=.002) and right (p=.018; p=.008) FL for LM and BNT. Left ATL also had significant declines when compared to gains in SRT (p<.001) for right FL. There were significant declines for left FL when compared to right ATL for SRT (p=.007). Lastly, there were significant gains for right FL when compared to left FL for SRT (p=.020).
Conclusions:
The pre- to post-surgical neuropsychological change in learning, memory, and language is understudied in frontal lobe epilepsy (FLE); although several investigators reported some learning and memory impairments in FLE at either pre- or post-surgical time points (Johnson-Markve et al., 2011; Incisa Della Rocchetta et al., 1993). The current study suggests that resections of the frontal lobes are associated with better outcomes for naming and verbal memory (LM) when compared to left ATLs. Interestingly, verbal list learning declined more in left than right FL and right ATL patients suggesting a possible language based executive functioning component to this memory measure. As expected, our study further supports that left ATLs are associated with material specific memory declines. This pattern was not seen for those undergoing a right ATL (i.e., nonverbal memory did not decline in patients with right ATL).
Ticks transmit pathogens and harbour non-pathogenic, vertically transmitted intracellular bacteria termed endosymbionts. Almost all ticks studied to date contain 1 or more of Coxiella, Francisella, Rickettsia or Candidatus Midichloria mitochondrii endosymbionts, indicative of their importance to tick physiology. Genomic and experimental data suggest that endosymbionts promote tick development and reproductive success. Here, we review the limited information currently available on the potential roles endosymbionts play in enhancing tick metabolism and fitness. Future studies that expand on these findings are needed to better understand endosymbionts’ contributions to tick biology. This knowledge could potentially be applied to design novel strategies that target endosymbiont function to control the spread of ticks and pathogens they vector.
OBJECTIVES/GOALS: The rates of computational phenotyping algorithm reuse across health systems are low, leading to a proliferation of algorithms for the same trait. We propose a framework for reusing computational phenotyping algorithms and describe the real-world deployment of this framework for the development of the Colorado Diabetes EHR Research Repository. METHODS/STUDY POPULATION: The novel phenotype reuse framework consists of 4 steps: select algorithms that are appropriate for reuse by assessing whether they are fit for purpose; extend the algorithm to account for changes in data and care practice standards; localize the algorithm to use local database standards and terminologies; optimize the algorithm by applying a data driven approach to achieve the desired local performance. To identify individuals with type 1 diabetes (T1D) or type 2 diabetes (T2D), we selected and implemented T2D algorithms in a cohort of adults with any diabetes or pre-diabetes related diagnosis code, medication, or abnormal glucose-related laboratory test in the clinical data warehouse for UCHealth and the University of Colorado. RESULTS/ANTICIPATED RESULTS: We included a total of 926,290 patients who were identified by initial filters. Patients were more likely to be female (53%), identify as non-Hispanic white (69%) and had a median age of 58 years (IQR: 41, 70). Implementation, extension, localization, & optimization through iterative chart review prioritized high sensitivity for all-cause diabetes and high specificity for T1D and T2D. Of the original cohort, 252,946 (27%) were identified by the all-cause diabetes algorithm. Of these 11,688 were identified as T1D and 135,588 as T2D. After optimization the all-cause diabetes algorithm had 88% sensitivity, 90% specificity, 74% positive predictive value (PPV), and 96% negative predictive value (NPV). Our algorithms for T1D and T2D had high specificity (100% and 99%, respectively) and PPV (100 and 96% respectively). DISCUSSION/SIGNIFICANCE: Developing computational phenotyping algorithms is expensive and time consuming, yet algorithm reuse is low due to a lack of practical approaches for reusing algorithms. We demonstrate application of a novel framework for algorithm reuse, yielding good alignment of algorithm performance with study goals for identifying individuals with diabetes.
OBJECTIVES/GOALS: COPD is a progressive airways disease that results in death or disability. There is poor uptake of clinical guidelines (CPG) to manage COPD and studies to bridge this implementation gap have shown inconsistent results. Using implementation science principles we aim to understand COPD-CPG implementation determinants from providers’perspective. METHODS/STUDY POPULATION: The study is being conducted in ten VA Primary Care Clinics. Guided by the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR), a conceptual framework developed to guide systematic assessment of multilevel implementation contexts, we are using semi-structured guides to conduct key informant qualitative interviews (physicians, physician extenders and nurses), to support a formative evaluation. CFIR domains relevant to the study were determined by a multidisciplinary team. Informants are identified through online outreach and voluntary participation. Sampling adequacy will be assessed by achievement of code saturation. A qualitative template analysis will be used to summarize the barriers and facilitators of each component of COPD-CPG organized by CFIR-domain. RESULTS/ANTICIPATED RESULTS: We anticipate a list of modifiable and non-modifiable contextual, recipient (provider and patient), and COPD CPG content (innovation) barriers to implementation. Many settings do not have critical elements of these CPG, such as a standardized inhaler education/assessment pathway, patient education material, or pulmonary rehabilitation referral pathway. Existing literature indicate reasons behind the insufficient uptake of COPD CPG include low familiarity with guidelines, perception of minimal value of guidelines by physicians, and time constraints; we will present contextual, recipient and innovation determinants specific to our setting. DISCUSSION/SIGNIFICANCE: This comprehensive assessment of barriers and facilitators to COPD-CPG will inform tool development and implementation strategies identification to improve COPD CPG uptake. COPD is the most common veteran lung disease. Improvement in COPD care has enormous potential for benefit for local veterans, as well as potential for wider dissemination.
Abstract The afterword considers the overall contribution of the book against the backdrop of the existing scholarship on the international history of South Asia.
Key words: internationalism, decolonization, South Asia, non-Western international relations
This volume has focused on two central questions. How do we plot the contours of modern South Asia's interactions with the wider world? And how do we conceive of the idea of internationalism in this context? These questions and the answers proffered in this volume are the product of the collective deliberation of a younger generation of scholars who want to write “New International Histories of South Asia.” To understand what is distinctive about this volume, we need to juxtapose it with the older historiography that it seeks to leave behind.
For a start, we may remind ourselves that international history has been the Cinderella of modern South Asian history. Given the extraordinary sophistication of this broader historiography over the past three decades – especially, in social, cultural, and environmental histories – it is striking that South Asia's engagements with the world, beyond the imperial connection, have hardly attracted scholarly attention. Indeed, the historiography of modern South Asia has, for the most part, remained stubbornly insular. After some early works in the 1950s and 1960s, the external engagements of the Raj largely fell out of view, as historians moved on to Indian nationalism. The postcolonial period and its international dimension was deemed too recent in time to merit historical treatment. Indeed, the only aspect of South Asia's international history that drew sustained interest in the next couple of decades was the Sino-Indian frontier – the dispute over which had led to the war of 1962.
Ironically, the revival of interest in the region's international history, especially in the late-colonial and postcolonial period, had to await the opening of official and diplomatic archives in Britain and the United States. This led to several important studies of South Asia's relations with these countries, especially at the time of decolonization and the early Cold War. These books were cast as “international” or diplomatic history, focusing on the making and makers of foreign policies and diplomatic maneuvers. Drawing all but exclusively on foreign archival materials, these studies could do only limited justice to the concerns and perspectives of the South Asian actors.
Extensive evidence indicates that rates of psychotic disorder are elevated in more urban compared with less urban areas, but this evidence largely originates from Northern Europe. It is unclear whether the same association holds globally. This study examined the association between urban residence and rates of psychotic disorder in catchment areas in India (Kancheepuram, Tamil Nadu), Nigeria (Ibadan, Oyo), and Northern Trinidad.
Methods
Comprehensive case detection systems were developed based on extensive pilot work to identify individuals aged 18–64 with previously untreated psychotic disorders residing in each catchment area (May 2018–April/May/July 2020). Area of residence and basic demographic details were collected for eligible cases. We compared rates of psychotic disorder in the more v. less urban administrative areas within each catchment area, based on all cases detected, and repeated these analyses while restricting to recent onset cases (<2 years/<5 years).
Results
We found evidence of higher overall rates of psychosis in more urban areas within the Trinidadian catchment area (IRR: 3.24, 95% CI 2.68–3.91), an inverse association in the Nigerian catchment area (IRR: 0.68, 95% CI 0.51–0.91) and no association in the Indian catchment area (IRR: 1.18, 95% CI 0.93–1.52). When restricting to recent onset cases, we found a modest positive association in the Indian catchment area.
Conclusions
This study suggests that urbanicity is associated with higher rates of psychotic disorder in some but not all contexts outside of Northern Europe. Future studies should test candidate mechanisms that may underlie the associations observed, such as exposure to violence.
Yarkoni highlights patterns of overgeneralization in psychology research. In this comment, we note that such challenges also pertain to applied psychological and organizational research and practice. We use two examples – cross-cultural generalizability and implicit bias training – to illustrate common practices of overgeneralization from narrow research samples to broader operational populations. We conclude with recommendations for research and practice.
Descriptive set theory and computability theory are closely-related fields of logic; both are oriented around a notion of descriptive complexity. However, the two fields typically consider objects of very different sizes; computability theory is principally concerned with subsets of the naturals, while descriptive set theory is interested primarily in subsets of the reals. In this paper, we apply a generalization of computability theory, admissible recursion theory, to consider the relative complexity of notions that are of interest in descriptive set theory. In particular, we examine the perfect set property, determinacy, the Baire property, and Lebesgue measurability. We demonstrate that there is a separation of descriptive complexity between the perfect set property and determinacy for analytic sets of reals; we also show that the Baire property and Lebesgue measurability are both equivalent in complexity to the property of simply being a Borel set, for
$\boldsymbol {\Sigma ^{1}_{2}}$
sets of reals.
Nasal septal perforations are defects of the septum. Symptomatic patients failing conservative measures may be considered for surgery; however, the surgery is challenging. This study describes a technique involving mucosal advancement flaps and autologous or acellular porcine interposition grafts and assessed the long-term closure rate and symptom control.
Method
This study looked at patients with symptomatic septal perforations who underwent surgery between 2005 and 2017. Symptoms were assessed pre- and post-operatively using a visual analogue scale. A literature search was performed for septal perforation repair techniques and outcomes.
Results
A total of 95 per cent of patients had complete closure of their septal perforations, 90 per cent had complete symptom control. There were statistically significant differences between the pre- and post-operative mean visual analogue scale score for epistaxis (p < 0.001), crusting (p < 0.001), whistling (p < 0.001) and nasal obstruction (p < 0.001).
Conclusion
Surgical closure of nasal septal perforations with mucosal advancement flaps and an interposition graft is a reliable technique with excellent long-term outcomes.
We prove that if the set of unordered pairs of real numbers is coloured by finitely many colours, there is a set of reals homeomorphic to the rationals whose pairs have at most two colours. Our proof uses large cardinals and verifies a conjecture of Galvin from the 1970s. We extend this result to an essentially optimal class of topological spaces in place of the reals.
An estimated 6,500 undocumented immigrants in the United States have been diagnosed with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). These individuals are ineligible for the federal insurance program that covers dialysis and/or transplantation for citizens, and consequently are subject to local or state policies regarding the provision of healthcare. In 76% of states, undocumented immigrants are ineligible to receive scheduled outpatient dialysis treatments, and typically receive dialysis only when presenting to the emergency center with severe life-threatening symptoms. ‘Emergency-only hemodialysis’ (EOHD) is associated with higher healthcare costs, higher mortality, and longer hospitalizations. In this paper, we present an ethical critique of existing federal policy. We argue that EOHD represents a failure of fiduciary and professional obligations, contributes to moral distress, and undermines physician obligations to be good stewards of medical resources. We then explore potential avenues for reform based upon policies introduced at the state level. We argue that, while reform at the federal level would ultimately be a more sustainable longterm solution, state-based policy reforms can help mitigate the ethical shortcomings of EOHD.
Calcium–magnesium–alumino-silicate (CMAS) particulates enter the aero-engine in a sandy environment, melt and infiltrate into 7 wt% yttria-stabilized zirconia (7YSZ) thermal barrier coatings (TBCs), reducing their lifetime. This leads to chemical degradation in 7YSZ accompanied by tetragonal to monoclinic phase transformation upon cooling. In this work, electron-beam physical vapor deposition coatings were infiltrated with a synthetic CMAS. Synchrotron X-ray diffraction measurements show that CMAS infiltration at 1250 °C has about 43% higher monoclinic phase volume fraction (PVF) at the coating surface compared to 1225 °C and remains consistently higher throughout the coating depth. Additionally, the increase in annealing time from 1 to 10 h results in a 31% higher monoclinic phase at the surface. Scanning electron microscopy revealed the presence of globular monoclinic phases corresponding spatially with the above findings. These results resolve the impact of time and temperature on CMAS infiltration kinetics which is important for mitigation.
The incidence of dementia in Black, Asian and minority ethnic (BAME) groups is increasing in the UK, with concern about underdiagnosis and late presentation.
Aims
By reviewing referrals to memory clinics from Leicester City we examined whether the following differed by ethnicity: the proportion with a diagnosis of dementia, type of dementia and severity at presentation.
Method
We examined referrals between 2010 and 2017: all those whose ethnicity was recorded as Black (n = 131) and a random sample of 260 Asian and 259 White British referrals. Severity of dementia was assessed by record review. Odds ratios (ORs) were adjusted for general practice, age, gender and year of referral.
Results
A diagnosis of dementia was recorded in 193 (74.5%) White British, 96 (73.3%) Black and 160 (61.5%) Asian referrals. Compared with Asians, White British had twice the adjusted odds of a dementia diagnosis (OR = 1.99 (1.23–3.22). Of those with dementia, Alzheimer's disease was more common in White British (57.0%) than in Asian (43.8%) and Black referrals (51.0%): adjusted OR White British versus Asian 1.76 (1.11–2.77). Of those with dementia, the proportion with moderate/severe disease was highest in White British (66.8%), compared with 61.9% in Asian and 45.8% in Black groups. The adjusted OR for the White versus Black groups was 2.03 (1.10–3.72), with no significant difference between Asian and White British groups.
Conclusions
Differences in confirmed dementia suggest general practitioners have a lower threshold for referral for possible dementia in some BAME groups. Unlike other centres, we found no evidence of greater severity at presentation in Asian and Black groups.
The airborne radomes have to cater superior electromagnetic (EM) performance with bandpass characteristics of stealth application. In this regard, a hybrid A-sandwich radome is proposed in this paper. The proposed radome consists of a novel strongly coupled frequency selective surface (FSS) core sandwiched between two dielectric layers (acts as skin) to form an A-sandwich structure. The dielectric layers are cascaded in such a way that the middle layer has less dielectric parameters than the skin dielectric. The core layer comprises a modified FSS array using strongly coupled FSS layers through a series of metallic vias. This strongly-coupled FSS element will have the advantage of eliminating inter-element interference and improves the EM performance characteristics of the structure. The structure exhibits very good band-pass characteristics (>90%) at a normal impinging angle with sharp roll-off characteristics. To show the efficacy of the proposed structure, the transmission loss has been compared with that of conventional A-sandwich radomes at 0°, 50° incidence angle for both TE and TM polarization. Conformal analysis of the unit cell has been carried out, and sector-wise thickness optimization was performed to analyze the structure for the conformal shaped radome application. Finally, a physical prototype has been fabricated and measured its scattering parameters, radiation characteristics in a fully shielded anechoic chamber. The results are encouraging and prove its suitability for radome application.