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Ancient changes in the biosphere, from organismic traits to wholesale ecosystem changes, can be aligned with climate forcing across the Phanerozoic. Clear examples of abrupt climate warming causing biodiversity crises are primarily found between the Permian and Paleogene periods. During these times, catastrophic events occurred, resembling the extreme climate scenarios projected for the near future. The paleobiologic literature around these events generally supports the hypothesis that abrupt climate change was a dominant trigger of extinction and/or ecological crisis. When climate change and climate history are considered, virtually all post-Paleozoic global biotic events can be confidently attributed to climatic change, with abrupt warming (hyperthermal events) leaving the most consistent fingerprint. The combined stress of deoxygenation and warming are sufficient to explain marine extinction patterns across most hyperthermal events. Although ocean acidification may have contributed, the direct role of pH on the extinction toll of organisms is not consistently demonstrated. Future research can enhance the correspondence between the magnitudes of climatic changes and their biological impacts, even though observed rates of change cannot currently be compared across different timescales. Mimicking multi-scale approaches in modern ecology, paleontological approaches to climate impact research will benefit from specifically targeting scaling relationships.
The motion of small non-spherical particles is often studied using the unsteady Stokes equations. Zhang & Stone (J. Fluid Mech., vol. 367, 1998, pp. 329–358) reported an asymptotic treatment for nearly spherical particles, to first order in particle non-sphericity, i.e. $O(\epsilon )$, where $\epsilon$ quantifies the shape deviation from a sphere. Importantly, key physical phenomena are absent at $O(\epsilon )$, including (1) coupling between the torque experienced by the particle and its linear translation, (2) coupling between the force the particle experiences and its rotation and (3) the effect of non-sphericity on the orientation averages of these forces and torques. We present an explicit asymptotic theory to second order in particle non-sphericity, i.e. $O(\epsilon ^2)$, for the force and torque acting on a particle in a general unsteady Stokes flow. The derived analytical formulae apply to particles of arbitrary shape, providing the leading-order asymptotic theory for the three above-mentioned phenomena. The theory is demonstrated for several example nearly spherical particles including a spheroid, a ‘pear-shaped’ particle and a simple model for a SARS-CoV-2 virion. This includes formulae for force and torque as a function of particle orientation and their corresponding orientation averages. Our study reveals that the orientation-averaged forces and torques experienced by a nearly spherical particle cannot be generally represented by a perfect sphere. The reported formulae are validated using finite-amplitude three-dimensional direct numerical simulations of the Navier–Stokes equations. A Mathematica notebook is also provided, facilitating implementation of the theory for particle shapes of the user's choosing.
We investigate the effect of three-dimensionality on the synchronisation characteristics of the wake behind an oscillating circular cylinder at ${\textit {Re}} = 300$. Cylinder oscillations in rotation, transverse translation and streamwise translation are considered. We utilise phase-reduction analysis, which quantifies the phase-sensitivity function of periodic flows, to examine the synchronisation properties. Here, we present an ensemble-based framework for phase-reduction analysis to handle three-dimensional wakes that are not perfectly time-periodic. Based on the phase-sensitivity functions, synchronisability to three types of cylinder oscillations is evaluated. In spite of similar trends, we find that phase-sensitivity functions involving three-dimensional wakes are lower in magnitude compared with those of two-dimensional wakes, which leads to narrower conditions for synchronisation to weak cylinder oscillations. We unveil that the difference between the phase-sensitivity functions of two- and three-dimensional flows is strongly correlated to the amplitude variation of the three-dimensional flow by the cylinder motions. This finding reveals that the cylinder motion modifies the three-dimensionality of the wake as well as the phase of vortex shedding, which leads to reduced phase modulation. The synchronisation conditions of three-dimensional wakes, predicted by phase-reduction analysis, agree with the identification by parametric studies using direct numerical simulations for forced oscillations with small amplitudes. This study presents the potential capability of phase-reduction to study synchronisation characteristics of complex flows.
To aid in prediction of turbulent boundary layer flows over rough surfaces, a new model is proposed to estimate hydrodynamic roughness based solely on geometric surface information. The model is based on a fluid-mechanics motivated geometric parameter called the wind-shade factor. Sheltering is included using a rapid algorithm adapted from the landscape shadow literature, while local pressure drag is estimated using a piecewise potential flow approximation. Similarly to evaluating traditional surface parameters such as skewness or average slope magnitude, the wind-shade factor is purely geometric and can be evaluated efficiently from knowing the surface elevation map and the mean flow direction. The wind-shade roughness model is applied to over 100 different surfaces available in a public roughness database and some others, and the predicted sandgrain-roughness heights are compared with measured values. Effects of various model ingredients are analysed, and transitionally rough surfaces are treated by adding a term representing the viscous stress component.
We establish a theoretical framework for predicting friction and heat transfer coefficients in variable-property forced air convection. Drawing from concepts in high-speed wall turbulence, which also involves significant temperature, viscosity and density variations, we utilize the mean momentum balance and mean thermal balance equations to develop integral transformations that account for the impact of variable fluid properties. These transformations are then applied inversely to predict the friction and heat transfer coefficients, leveraging the universality of passive scalars transport theory. Our proposed approach is validated using a comprehensive dataset from direct numerical simulations (DNS), covering both heating and cooling conditions up to a friction Reynolds number $\textit {Re}_\tau \approx 3200$. The predicted friction and heat transfer coefficients closely match the DNS data with accuracy margin 1–2 %, representing a significant improvement over the current state of the art.
Understanding the linear growth of disturbances due to external forcing is crucial for flow stability analysis, flow control, and uncertainty quantification. These applications typically require a large number of forward simulations of the forced linearized dynamics, often in a brute-force fashion. When dealing with simple steady-state or periodic base flows, there exist powerful and cost-effective solution operator techniques. Once these solution operators are constructed, they can be used to determine the response to various forcings with negligible computational cost. However, these methods do not apply to problems with arbitrarily time-dependent base flows. This paper develops and investigates reduced-order modelling with time-dependent bases to build low-rank solution operators for forced linearized dynamics with arbitrarily time-dependent base flows. In particular, we use forced optimally time-dependent decomposition (f-OTD), which extracts the time-dependent correlated structures of the flow response to various excitations. Several demonstrations are included to illustrate the utility of the f-OTD low-rank approximation for performing global transient stability analysis. Additionally, we demonstrate the application of f-OTD in computing the post-transient response of linearized Navier–Stokes equations to a large number of impulses, which has applications in flow control.
We study single bubble deformation statistics in an homogeneous and isotropic turbulent flow by means of direct numerical simulations. We consider bubbles at low Weber number ($We <3$) that have not been broken. We show that we can reproduce bubble deformations with a linear dynamics for each spherical harmonic mode. Inferring the coefficients of the linear model from the DNS data, we find that the natural frequency corresponds to the Rayleigh frequency, derived in a quiescent flow. However, the effective damping increases by a factor 7 compared with the quiescent case, at Taylor Reynolds number $\textit {Re}_\lambda = 55$. Looking at the flow structure around the bubble, we argue that the enhanced damping originates from a thick boundary layer surrounding the bubble. We demonstrate that the effective forcing, originating from the turbulent flow forcing on the bubble surface, is independent of bubble deformability. Therefore, the interface deformations are only one-way coupled to the flow. From this model we conclude that bubbles break rather from turbulent fluctuations than from a resonant mechanism. Eventually, we investigate the pressure modes’ statistics in the absence of bubbles and compare them with the effective forcing statistics. We show that both fields share the same probability distribution function, characterized by exponential tails, and a characteristic time scale corresponding to the eddy turnover time at the mode scale.
Floating fluid-filled membrane breakwater (FFMB) is a temporary structure that can attenuate waves in the deep sea. In this paper the hydrodynamic performance of the FFMB is analysed by using the eigenfunction expansion boundary element method (EEBEM) and physical model experiments. A general motion equation is derived that considers both the dynamic tension and curvature of the membrane. Moreover, an integral expression for the dynamic tension is provided. On this basis, a linear model for solving wave–membrane interaction is established through the EEBEM. Newly designed physical experiments are performed to verify the model and elucidate the nonlinear characteristics of the FFMB. Following verification of the model, this paper investigates the effects of various structural parameters of the FFMB on the wave transmission coefficient, reflection coefficient, horizontal wave force, vertical wave force and dynamic tension. Furthermore, the interrelationship between the structural resonant response and the hydrodynamic performance is elucidated, and the optimal density and filling ratio of the FFMB for engineering applications are proposed. The results demonstrate that the numerical and experimental results are in good agreement, indicating that the model and the motion equation are both practical and highly accurate. By optimizing the structural parameters, the FFMB is capable of effectively attenuating waves within a specific frequency band, while minimizing the wave force.
Liquid plug formation in thin channels due to the Plateau–Rayleigh instability of a liquid film is observed in a variety of fields. In this paper, complementarity between theoretical solutions and direct numerical simulations (DNS) based on a front-tracking algorithm is explored to evaluate the importance of inertia for the case of a cylindrical capillary. A linear stability analysis is first performed and DNS results are then used to investigate the spatial distributions of inertial, convective and viscous terms of the Navier–Stokes equation. The existence of both viscous and inertial regimes is evidenced with a threshold given by the film thickness. The presence of the core fluid slows down the instability. In the viscous regime, predictions of the lubrication theory are verified. An example of liquid water as the outer fluid film and water vapour as the inner core fluid is simulated with application to the fuel cells.
Exopsychology is a sub-discipline of psychology concerned with how humans contemplateextraterrestrials as well as forming hypothesis about how these beings may think, feel and behave. While researching the former is undoubtedly a subject for empirical science, aspects of the latter remain uncertain. Given the contemporary scientific insight, it may still be possible to identify a set of cornerstones and eventually create a space of possible configurations of the extraterrestrial mind. Here, we identify three basic compatibility requirements: first, any form of life must navigate internal and external (environmental) demands and thus actively ensure the compatibility of its current state with the same demands. Second, any advanced cognitive development and the emergence of remotely detectable technosignatures require not only the relevant capabilities for manipulation but also compatibility with a permissive environment. Lastly, requirements also concern the compatibility of extraterrestrial thinking and behaviour with our search method. In its most basic understanding, search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI) searches for something done by somebody. However, the meaning of this simple formula and the psychological theory behind it is underdeveloped. Hence, psychological aid is needed to assist SETI in its effort to reveal whether galactic information indicates the presence of a mere object or activity of an identified subject with whom humans may establish contact. The fact that people believe in and search for extraterrestrials emphasizes that psychology should pay attention to this domain of phenomena. Hence, different imaginations of the extraterrestrial, ranging from benign to cruel, from superior to equally developed, are briefly discussed regarding their emergence and function as coping and motivating mechanisms for the uncertain search.
Rules on liability are essential to ensuring the enforcement of an international agreement. The Antarctic Treaty Consultative Meeting's adoption of Measure 1 (2005), which contains Annex VI to the Protocol on Environmental Protection, is the first step towards complying with Article 16 of the Environmental Protocol on Liability. However, the approval process has been slow, and Measure 1 (2005) is still not in force. Here, we show a need for more momentum in its approval and that its domestic implementation varies significantly. Only 19 states have approved Measure 1 (2005) out of the 28 Consultative Parties required to enter into force. Ten have incorporated national provisions anticipating its entry into force. Our study suggests that the perceived inadequacy of Annex VI, the cost of response actions to environmental emergencies and the misplaced importance of Antarctic matters within many states’ priorities contribute to the slow approval process. This analysis provides insights into the Antarctic Treaty System's governance mechanisms, particularly the liability regime and its implementation. The domestic legislation related to Antarctic liability is also analysed. This paper aims to explain the cumbersome approval process of Annex VI and to serve as a cautionary tale for future liability developments.
We propose a novel approach for non-Newtonian viscoelastic steady flows based on a decomposition of the rate-of-deformation tensor which here, in a simplified version, leads to an anisotropic generalised Newtonian fluid-like model with separated treatment of kinematics pertaining to shear and extensional flows. Care is taken to assure that the approach is objective and does not introduce spurious effects due to dependence on a specific reference frame. This is done by separating the rate-of-deformation tensor into shear and elongational components, with the local scalar shear and elongation rates being the second invariant of each tensor separately, and by modifying the method used to separate the rate-of-deformation tensor so that it becomes independent of superimposed rigid rotations, thus satisfying the principle of material indifference. We assess the model with two test cases: planar contraction flow, often employed to evaluate numerical methods or constitutive equations and for which experimentally observed corner vortex enhancement and pressure drop increase are seldom found in numerical simulations; and flow past confined or unconfined cylinders, for which experiments indicate a drag increase due to elasticity and most predictions give a drag decrease. With our anisotropic model, incorporating additional elongational-flow-related terms, large vortices and accentuated pressure drop coefficients can be predicted for the contraction problem and enhanced drag coefficient for the cylinder problems. This is the first work where problems of non-Newtonian fluid mechanics are solved numerically with separation of strain rate into shear and elongational components.
Dryland cities are important locations for human–environmental interactions and differ in many key characteristics from cities in wetter environments. Defined by chronic water deficit, these cities face challenges that include securing essential resources, reducing vulnerability to hazards and conserving threatened species. The resilience of dryland cities depends on interactions across the entire urban continuum, from urban cores and suburban areas to teleconnected zones and wildland–urban interfaces. Resilience solutions must enhance the well-being of residents and institutions while fostering adaptive capacity throughout the urban continuum. Key axes of solutions include hydrologic integration, including stormwater capture and reuse, nature-based solutions, including expanding urban tree cover for cooling and health benefits, and landscape sustainability, including the incorporation of spatial heterogeneity into planning and development. Addressing the large uncertainties in ensuring more resilient cities requires convergence research, the integration of theoretically driven science that brings researchers and stakeholders together to identify problems, solutions and opportunities for action. While convergence approaches look to address pressing scientific uncertainties, they also are inherently place-based and address compelling case studies to understand system dynamics and improve decision-making and land management. New research is needed to address the trade-offs resulting from decision-making and urban management activities, to meet the needs of diverse stakeholders and to ensure that policies do not marginalize underserved communities. By leveraging innovative technologies, sustainable practices and community involvement, dryland cities can overcome the challenges posed by chronic water limitations and thrive in their diverse environments.
The trace fossil record provides important insights into the evolution of early animals during the Ediacaran/Cambrian transition, with changes in ichnodiversity through time and between environments informing on the diversification of major body plans, behaviors, and niches. To quantify variation in the diversity of trace fossils across this critical interval, we propose a measure of trace fossil dissimilarity (ichnodissimilarity) based on vector calculation. Furthermore, by comparing discrepancies between the angular bisector and mean vector of two sets of vectorized fossil data, we are able to weigh the relative contribution of increases and decreases in the variation of occurrences of taxa. We used this metric to analyze an expansive dataset of Ediacaran/Cambrian trace fossils. The results allowed us to quantify the diversification of traces across this transition, informing on the timing of first appearance of different behaviors (e.g., foraging, grazing, and resting) and functional groups. By interpreting the results in the context of environmental changes and advancements in motility and sensory capabilities, we were able to pinpoint the onset and sequence of the Fortunian diversification event, Cambrian information revolution, and agronomic revolution, shedding light on the evolution of organismal body plans, behaviors, and locomotion during the Ediacaran/Cambrian transition. We identified two phases of origination and expansion during the divergence of early animal traces. Furthermore, by analyzing shallow- and deep-marine trace fossils, we were able to uncover evidence for a more rapid diversification of traces in shallow-marine environments, with progressive niche partitioning through the Ediacaran to Cambrian.
Preserved records of tooth–bone interactions, known as tooth marks, can yield a wealth of information regarding organismal behavior and ecology. For this reason, workers in a wide range of disciplines, but particularly paleontology, have inspected and interpreted these features for decades. Although previous studies have gleaned invaluable insights, they have also described tooth marks using terminological frameworks that have been incompletely defined, have incorporated behavioral hypotheses in definitions, and/or have been inconsistently applied. To address these problems, we introduce the category-modifier (CM) system, the first system to both sort tooth marks into clearly defined main categories and use descriptive modifiers to characterize their appearance more precisely. The CM system is designed to apply to a wide range of vertebrates, to enable comparisons across disciplines and studies, and to help researchers keep their investigations into behavioral hypotheses free of circular reasoning.
Geometric morphometrics facilitates the quantification and visualization of variation in shape and proportion through the comparison of homologous features. Eublastoidea, a Paleozoic echinoderm clade with a conservative body plan, is an ideal group for morphometric analysis, because their plate junctions are homologous and identifiable on all species. Eublastoids have previously been grouped taxonomically by generalized shape types (e.g., globose). These shapes are often used in taxonomic descriptions and as characters in phylogenetic analyses. The underlying homology of these broad shape types has never been explored. Herein we apply the first comprehensive use of three-dimensional geometric morphometrics (3D GMM) on fossil echinoderms to investigate taxonomic assignments, temporal distribution, and whether the varying proportions of skeletal elements that produce the gross thecal morphology are distinguishable. Taxonomic assignments specifically at the ordinal and family levels show varying amounts of overlap in morphospace, suggesting that many assignments may not be reevaluated. Our results suggest that none of the generalized shape types are distinct in morphospace and, therefore, likely do not capture the homologous changes in taxa. The plate circlet ratios showed trends specifically relating to the deltoid plate circlet, which has the most variability. We reanalyzed previous work and subsetted our data to be more comparable and found that there are key differences between methodologies and landmarks that will require future evaluation. Applying modern technological methods to previously explored questions allows for an updated understanding of this important fossil clade and provides a framework for others to assess fossil clades in a similar manner.
The last mass extinction event some 66 million years ago at the Late Cretaceous/Paleogene boundary caused the extinction of many clades, including the non-avian dinosaurs. Turtles, as well as several other vertebrate clades, survived. However, the debate about whether the diversity of turtles was affected during this event is still ongoing. Here, I calculate a global turtle diversity curve at the species level that shows that the diversity of turtle species was already in decline since the Campanian, before the extinction event, and was further reduced during the Danian. The sample coverage of turtle occurrences at the stage level is also calculated and discussed.