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How do succession and the microhabitat interact to shape the mosaic of biocrust types in the Tabernas Desert (semi-arid Southeast Spain)? We hypothesize that succession (in human time scales) occurs only where the habitat allows it and can regress. Reviewing results from an extensive body of research conducted at the Tabernas region, we aimed (i) to show that crust types can be considered successional stages, (ii) to propose a succession model. We used two approaches: (a) direct, in situ monitoring of three sites (13, 17 and 11 years) and examination of unaltered micro-profiles of biocrusted soil; and (b) indirect assessment, by reviewing functional properties (e.g., ecohydrology, soil loss, physical–chemical properties, microbiota and gas exchange) of biocrust types hypothetically considered successional stages. Although differences among communities in these functions do not necessarily imply species replacement, they were consistent with the hypothetical successional order and the evidence of replacement from the direct approaches. Succession occurs at various speeds across space because it is controlled by habitat. Therefore, it is mainly observable in favourable habitats where the biocrust was altered, or in ecotones. We propose a succession model, including microclimatic controls, two early cyanobacterial stages and two later lichen stages, showing the regressive paths.
With its focus on the city rather than the disaster event, this book situates natural disasters in the context of urban growth and change. It offers an original, interdisciplinary perspective by connecting the technical and socioeconomic dimensions of disaster risk and highlighting the commonalities of hazards such as river flooding, coastal flooding, and earthquakes. The book begins by proposing a novel Urban Risk Dynamics framework that emphasizes the roles of economy, landscape, and technology in influencing hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. This framework is then used to support the examination of six contrasting cities from around the world, offering generalized insights that apply to a wide range of urban risk contexts. The book will be of significant interest to students and researchers working in urban planning, civil engineering, Earth sciences, and environmental science, and to policy makers and practitioners concerned with reducing future disaster risk in cities.
Tropical cyclones (TC) can produce waves and water levels that markedly reshape sand cay shorelines. TC Jasper (December 2023) passed near Low Island (Low Isles, Northern Great Barrier Reef [GBF]) as a category 2 storm. Using a combination of remote sensing and ground surveys, we compare detailed, high-resolution digital terrain models created before and after TC Jasper to quantify sediment redistribution around the cay during and after the event. During TC Jasper, net transport of 8,870 m3 occurred to elongate the spits at the eastern and western ends of the cay, but the sediment volume of the cay did not significantly change. Following TC Jasper, the shoreline at Low Island returned to its modal seasonal state within six months. This accords with historical accounts of seasonal shifts in shoreline configuration driven by prevailing wind and wave regimes, as well as the relatively rapid readjustment to a modal form following episodic extreme events. Overall, the documented changes to Low Island following cyclonic events highlight the complex interplay between episodic disturbances and longer-term geomorphic stability, emphasising the importance of ongoing research into these interactions as higher-intensity cyclones increase in frequency due to climate change.
Understanding the spatiotemporal variability of global summer monsoons and the factors controlling them is essential for testing and predicting their future changes under the anticipated global warming. Here, we reconstructed a series of East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) patterns over South Korea. Based on radiocarbon dates, grain size, carbon/sulfur (C/S) ratios, and high-resolution X-ray fluorescence core scanning (XRF-CS) data (e.g., Ti/Al and Zr/Al ratios) from a paleo-bay site in Hadong area, southern Korea, we investigated the multi-decadal- to centennial-scale variation in the terrestrial element inputs as a proxy for the EASM rainfall during the period from 8600 to 7800 cal yr BP and compared previous results from the Buan area, western coast of Korea, to test possible synchronous local-scale hydroclimate change. We also explored global teleconnections among EASM over Korea, the Indian summer monsoon (ISM), and the movement of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). We found that the EASM variability was positively correlated with that of the ISM through latitudinal shifts of the ITCZ. High-latitude cooling climates, including the 8.2 ka cooling event, were also directly connected to the weakened EASM via the intensified winter monsoon and southward shift of the westerly jet position over the Tibetan Plateau. To predict future changes in summer rainfall, synchronized changes in the global summer precipitation should be considered in terms of ITCZ and high-latitude climate change, including westerly jet shifts over Asian regions.
Global climate change is causing glaciers to shrink, and in some cases, to vanish completely. Glaciers in Norway are no exception. Glacier inventories, archived imagery and topographic maps across Norway help trace the decadal evolution of individual glaciers. This study focuses on Breifonn (59.75°N, 6.89°E), the southernmost glacier in Norway. Using photogrammetric analyses of historical aerial photography, satellite data and uncrewed aerial vehicle data, we quantify how Breifonn has changed from its ‘pre-industrial’ Little Ice Age extent to its present size. Our geomorphology-based glacier reconstruction indicates that Breifonn covered an area of 5.8 ± 1.2 km2 during the Little Ice Age. Its main part reduced in area from 3.3 ± 0.3 km2 in 1955 to 0.17 ± 0.02 km2 in 2024 (94%) and has thinned on average by 0.4 ± 0.02 m a−1 between 1978 and 2019. Since the 1980s, the glacier has fragmented into several disconnected ice bodies. If current melt rates persist, Breifonn may disappear entirely soon.
In areas where waste management is inadequate, the welfare of free-roaming animals can be significantly affected by the ingestion of plastic waste, potentially impacting human livelihoods and health. However, the effect of plastic pollution on terrestrial animals is poorly understood. Using a combination of methodologies from animal behaviour, environmental and social sciences, this study assesses the effects of plastic pollution on donkeys, cattle and their owners in Kenya. Behavioural observations suggested that donkeys and cattle preferentially fed at waste sites, where 1 in every 10–20 items ingested were plastic. Faecal sampling also showed much higher concentrations of microplastics than those reported in previous studies of farmed cattle and significantly higher concentrations in the faeces of donkeys and cattle grazing at waste sites compared to rural areas. Survey data showed that the majority of livestock owners believed that plastic pollution was a problem, and nearly a third of local residents had witnessed an animal becoming ill following plastic ingestion, reporting mortality rates of 78%. Triangulating data from multiple methods highlights the risks terrestrial plastic pollution poses to domestic animals, demonstrating the need for interdisciplinary projects that tackle this important issue by addressing the interconnectedness of human behaviour, animal welfare and environmental health.
Linearly stable shear flows first transition to turbulence in the form of localised patches. At low Reynolds numbers, these turbulent patches tend to suddenly decay, following a memoryless process typical of rare events. How far in advance their decay can be forecasted is still unknown. We perform massive ensembles of simulations of pipe flow and a reduced-order model of shear flows (Moehlis et al. 2004 New J. Phys. vol. 6, issues 1, p. 56) and determine the first moment in time at which decay becomes fully predictable, subject to a given magnitude of the uncertainty on the flow state. By extensively sampling the chaotic sets, we find that, as one goes back in time from the point of inevitable decay, predictability degrades at greatly varying speeds. However, a well-defined (average) rate of predictability loss can be computed. This rate is independent of the uncertainty and also of the type of rare event, i.e. it applies to decay and to other extreme events. We leverage our databases to define thresholds that approximately separate phase-space regions of distinct decay predictability. Our study has implications for the development of predictive models, in particular it sets their theoretical limits. It also opens avenues to study the causes of extreme events in turbulent flows: a state which is predictable to produce an extreme event is causal to it from a probabilistic perspective.
Global Land Ice Measurements from Space (GLIMS), an initiative to build and distribute a database of global glacier data, has recently begun to track glaciers that have recently disappeared. GLIMS provides a definition of “extinct” glaciers for our community, and the final determination of extinction is left to local experts. There are currently 181 glaciers in the GLIMS Glacier Database that are marked as “extinct”, though we recognize that there have been many more reported in the literature. GLIMS welcomes more submissions to make the list more complete.
This study investigates the influence of free-stream turbulence (FST) and the thrust coefficient ($C_T$) on wind turbine wakes. Wakes generated at $C_T \in \{0.5, 0.7,0.9\}$ are exposed to turbulent inflows with varying FST intensities ($1\,\% \lesssim {\textit{TI}}_{\infty } \lesssim 11\,\%$) and integral length scales ($0.1 \lesssim {\mathcal L}_x/\!D \lesssim 2$, $D$ is the rotor diameter). For high-${\textit{TI}}_{\infty }$ inflows, a flow region in the wake is observed where a mean momentum deficit persists despite the turbulence intensity having already homogenised with that of the free stream, challenging traditional wake definitions. A ‘turning point’ in the mean wake width evolution is identified, beyond which wakes spread at slower rates. Near-field ($x\!/\!D \lesssim 7$) wake growth rate increases with higher ${\textit{TI}}_{\infty }$ and $C_T$, while far-field ($x\!/\!D \gtrsim 15$) wake growth rate decreases with higher ${\textit{TI}}_{\infty }$ – a finding with profound implications for wind turbine wake modelling that also aligns with the entrainment behaviours observed in bluff- and porous-body wakes exposed to FST. Increasing ${\mathcal L}_x$ delays wake recovery onset and reduces the mean wake width, with minimal effect on the spreading rate. Both $C_T$ and FST influence the high- and low-frequency wake dynamics, with varying contributions in the near and far fields. For low-${\textit{TI}}_{\infty }$ and small-${\mathcal L}_x$ inflows, wake meandering is minimal, sensitive to $C_T$ and appears to be triggered by a shear-layer instability. Wake meandering is enhanced for high-${\textit{TI}}_{\infty }$ and large-${\mathcal L}_x$ inflows, with the integral length scale playing a leading role. This emphasises the complex role of FST integral length scale: while increasing ${\mathcal L}_x$ amplifies meandering, it does not necessarily translate to larger mean wake width due to the concurrent suppression of entrainment rate.
Urbanization has become a key pressure on many of the world’s protected areas. This study investigates how local communities perceive landscape values and disvalues in and around Bannerghatta National Park (near Bengaluru, India), which is experiencing high rates of urban development at its peripheries. Using combined free-listing and Public Participation Geographic Information Systems (PPGIS) mapping, we surveyed 489 residents from 12 villages to elicit both landscape values and disvalues. Respondents mapped values such as biodiversity, fertile land and clean air, while disvalues focused on human–wildlife conflicts. Despite persistent conflicts and urbanization pressures, residents valued the National Park for its multiple landscape values. Both values and disvalues were concentrated around village areas. We find that socio-demographic factors – especially caste, land ownership and work in agriculture – significantly influenced perceptions. Specifically, marginalized caste members and landless individuals reported more disvalues, while landowners and farmers noted more values. Our study emphasizes the need to consider both landscape values and disvalues for balanced decision-making in protected areas. It also highlights the potential of free-listing to identify the well-being aspects that matter most for people, which points to the importance of agricultural uses in and around protected areas undergoing urbanization.
We present an analysis of the coherent structures in Langmuir turbulence, a state of the ocean surface boundary layer driven by the interactions between water waves and wind-induced shear, via a resolvent framework. Langmuir turbulence is characterised by multiscale vortical structures, notably counter-rotating roll pairs known as Langmuir circulations. While classic linear stability analyses of the Craik–Leibovich equations have revealed key instability mechanisms underlying Langmuir circulations, the vortical rolls characteristic of Langmuir turbulence, the present work incorporates the turbulent mean state and varying eddy viscosity using data from large-eddy simulations (LES) to investigate the turbulence dynamics of fully developed Langmuir turbulence. Scale-dependent resolvent analyses reveal a new formation mechanism of two-dimensional circulating rolls and three-dimensional turbulent coherent vortices through linear amplification of sustained harmonic forcing. Moreover, the integrated energy spectra predicted by the principal resolvent modes in response to broadband harmonic forcing capture the dominant spanwise length scales that are consistent with the LES data. These results demonstrate the feasibility of resolvent analyses in capturing key features of multiscale turbulence–wave interactions in the statistical stationary state of Langmuir turbulence.
The Northeast Greenland Ice Stream (NEGIS) is an elongated feature extending ∼600 km into the interior of the Greenland Ice Sheet. Here, we investigate detailed subglacial topography along the length of the NEGIS to ascertain the characteristics of the ice stream bed. We use topographic analysis (hypsometry, spatial roughness and valley morphometry) to describe and demarcate three geomorphologically distinct regions. The upstream region, near the NEGIS onset, exhibits low roughness and a lack of valleys, indicating the likely presence of subglacial sediments. Downstream, roughness abruptly increases, with two wide subglacial troughs present in the middle region. In the downstream region, the topography displays smaller alpine-like valleys. We propose that these differences are attributable to changing geological provinces, which are poorly constrained in this area. The topography also has a distinct impact on ice stream geometry, as ice flow is generally preferentially steered through a trough. Whilst the upstream regime appears to have little effect on the location of the ice stream onset and shear margins, its low friction enables fast flow that propagates longitudinally upstream from the troughs. On the basis of our data, we argue that the NEGIS is more strongly influenced by basal topography than has been previously suggested.
We present a theoretical study, supported by simulations and experiments, on the spreading of a silicone oil drop under MHz-frequency surface acoustic wave (SAW) excitation in the underlying solid substrate. Our time-dependent theoretical model uses the long-wave approach and considers interactions between fluid dynamics and acoustic driving. While similar methods have analysed the micron-scale oil and water film dynamics under SAW excitation, acoustic forcing was linked to boundary layer flow, specifically Schlichting and Rayleigh streaming, and acoustic radiation pressure. For the macroscopic drops in this study, acoustic forcing arises from Reynolds stress variations in the liquid due to changes in the intensity of the acoustic field leaking from the SAW beneath the drop and the viscous dissipation of the leaked wave. Contributions from Schlichting and Rayleigh streaming are negligible in this case. Both experiments and simulations show that, after an initial phase where the oil drop deforms to accommodate acoustic stress, it accelerates, achieving nearly constant speed over time, leaving a thin wetting layer. Our model indicates that the steady speed of the drop results from the quasi-steady shape of its body. The drop speed depends on drop size and SAW intensity. Its steady shape and speed are further clarified by a simplified travelling-wave-type model that highlights various physical effects. Although the agreement between experiment and theory on drop speed is qualitative, the results’ trend regarding SAW amplitude variations suggests that the model realistically incorporates the primary physical effects driving drop dynamics.
Turbulent wall-bounded flows, although present in many practical applications, are particularly challenging to simulate because of their large velocity gradients near the walls. To avoid the necessity of an extremely fine mesh resolution in the near-wall regions of wall-bounded turbulent flows, large eddy simulation (LES) with specific modelling near the wall can be applied. Since filtering close to the boundaries of the flow domain is not uniquely defined, existing wall-modelled LES typically rely on extensive assumptions to derive suitable boundary conditions at the walls, such as assuming that the instantaneous filtered velocity behaves similarly to the unfiltered mean velocity. Volume filtering constitutes a consistent extension of filtering close to the boundaries of the flow domain. In the present paper, we derive a formally exact expression for the wall-boundary conditions in LESs using the concept of volume filtering applied to wall-bounded turbulent flows that does not make any a priori assumptions on the flow field. The proposed expression is an infinite series expansion in powers of the filter width. It is shown in an a priori study of a turbulent channel flow and an a posteriori study of the turbulent flow over periodic hills that the proposed expression can accurately predict the volume-filtered velocity at the wall by truncating the infinite series expansion after a few terms.
We consider the two-layer quasi-geostrophic model with linear bottom friction and, in certain simulations, a planetary vorticity gradient, $\beta$. We derive energy budgets in wavenumber space for eddy available potential energy (EAPE), baroclinic eddy kinetic energy (EKE) and barotropic EKE, a particular decomposition that has previously been overlooked. The conversion between EAPE and baroclinic EKE, $\widehat {T}^{{W}}$, has a strong dependence on both bottom drag strength and planetary $\beta$. At the deformation scale $\widehat {T}^{{W}}$ is always negative, representing the conversion of EAPE to EKE via baroclinic instability. For strong, linear bottom drag, $\widehat {T}^{{W}}$ is positive at large scales due to frictional energisation of the baroclinic mode, providing a large-scale EAPE source. With weak-to-moderate bottom drag and moderate-to-strong planetary $\beta$, $\widehat {T}^{{W}}$ is the dominant source of EAPE at large scales, converting baroclinic EKE that has experienced a baroclinic inverse cascade back into EAPE, and thus closing a novel and exclusively baroclinic energy loop. With planetary $\beta$, zonal jets form and the dominant large-scale processes in the energy cycle of the system, e.g. barotropic dissipation and the peak of positive $\widehat {T}^{{W}}$, occur at the meridional wavenumber corresponding to the jet spacing, with no zonal wavenumber component, i.e., $k_{x}=0$. Importantly, the traditional source of large-scale EAPE, barotropic stirring of the baroclinic mode, is not a part of this $k_{x} = 0$ energy cycle, and thus plays a secondary role. The results suggest that consideration of horizontally two-dimensional processes is requisite to understand the energetics and physics of baroclinic geophysical jets.
Robust surfaces capable of reducing flow drag, controlling heat and mass transfer, and resisting fouling in fluid flows are important for various applications. In this context, textured surfaces impregnated with a liquid lubricant show promise due to their ability to sustain a liquid–liquid interface that induces slippage. However, theoretical and numerical studies suggest that the slippage can be compromised by surfactants in the overlying fluid, which contaminate the liquid–liquid interface and generate Marangoni stresses. In this study, we use Doppler-optical coherence tomography, an interferometric imaging technique, combined with numerical simulations to investigate how surfactants influence the slip length of lubricant-infused surfaces with longitudinal grooves in a laminar flow. Surfactants are endogenously present in the contrast agent (milk) which is added to the working fluid (water). Local measurements of slip length at the liquid–liquid interface are significantly smaller than theoretical predictions for clean interfaces (Schönecker & Hardt 2013). In contrast, measurements are in good agreement with numerical simulations of fully immobilized interfaces, indicating that milk surfactants adsorbed at the interface are responsible for the reduction in slippage. This work provides the first experimental evidence that liquid–liquid interfaces within textured surfaces can become immobilised in the presence of surfactants and flow.
The Vera C. Rubin Observatory is expected to increase interstellar object (ISO) detections from a few over the past decade to potentially one per few months, demanding a systematic classification scheme. We present the Interstellar Object Significance Scale (IOSS), also known in the literature as the Loeb Scale, a 0–10 classification system extending the proven Torino Scale framework, to address ISOs’ unique anomalies, including potential technosignatures. The scale provides quantitative thresholds for natural phenomena (Levels 0–3) and graduated protocols for increasingly anomalous characteristics (Levels 4–7), with Levels 8–10 reserved for confirmed artificial origin. Each level specifies observable criteria and response protocols. We demonstrate the scale’s application using 1I/'Oumuamua (Level 4), 2I/Borisov (Level 0) and 3I/ATLAS (Level 4) as test cases. The IOSS provides the astronomical community with a standardized framework for consistent, evidence-based and dynamic evaluation while maintaining scientific rigor across the full spectrum of possibilities as we enter an era of routine ISO encounters.