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We consider possibly nonlinear distributional fixed-point equations on weighted branching trees, which include the well-known linear branching recursion. In Jelenković and Olvera-Cravioto (2012), an implicit renewal theorem was developed that enables the characterization of the power-tail asymptotics of the solutions to many equations that fall into this category. In this paper we complement the analysis in our 2012 paper to provide the corresponding rate of convergence.
In this paper we study the weak approximation problem of $E[\phi (x(T))] $ by $E[\phi (y(T))] $, where $x(T)$ is the solution of a stochastic differential delay equation and $y(T)$ is defined by the Euler scheme. For $\phi \in { C}_{b}^{3} $, Buckwar, Kuske, Mohammed and Shardlow (‘Weak convergence of the Euler scheme for stochastic differential delay equations’, LMS J. Comput. Math. 11 (2008) 60–69) have shown that the Euler scheme has weak order of convergence $1$. Here we prove that the same results hold when $\phi $ is only assumed to be measurable and bounded under an additional non-degeneracy condition.
We consider a semimartingale X which is reflected at an upper barrier T and a lower barrier S, where S and T are also semimartingales such that T is bounded away from S. First, we present an explicit construction of the reflected process. Then we derive a relationship in terms of stochastic integrals linking the reflected process and the local times at the respective barriers to X, S, and T. This result reveals the fundamental structural properties of the reflection mechanism. We also present a few results showing how the general relationship simplifies under additional assumptions on X, S, and T, e.g. if we take X, S, and T to be independent martingales (which satisfy some extra technical conditions).
We present a new algorithm to discretize a decoupled forward‒backward stochastic differential equation driven by a pure jump Lévy process (FBSDEL for short). The method consists of two steps. In the first step we approximate the FBSDEL by a forward‒backward stochastic differential equation driven by a Brownian motion and Poisson process (FBSDEBP for short), in which we replace the small jumps by a Brownian motion. Then, we prove the convergence of the approximation when the size of small jumps ε goes to 0. In the second step we obtain the Lp-Hölder continuity of the solution of the FBSDEBP and we construct two numerical schemes for this FBSDEBP. Based on the Lp-Hölder estimate, we prove the convergence of the scheme when the number of time steps n goes to ∞. Combining these two steps leads to the proof of the convergence of numerical schemes to the solution of FBSDEs driven by pure jump Lévy processes.
In the original article [LMS J. Comput. Math. 15 (2012) 71–83], the authors use a discrete form of the Itô formula, developed by Appleby, Berkolaiko and Rodkina [Stochastics 81 (2009) no. 2, 99–127], to show that the almost sure asymptotic stability of a particular two-dimensional test system is preserved when the discretisation step size is small. In this Corrigendum, we identify an implicit assumption in the original proof of the discrete Itô formula that, left unaddressed, would preclude its application to the test system of interest. We resolve this problem by reproving the relevant part of the discrete Itô formula in such a way that confirms its applicability to our test equation. Thus, we reaffirm the main results and conclusions of the original article.
We propose and study a number of layer methods for Navier‒Stokes equations (NSEs) with spatial periodic boundary conditions. The methods are constructed using probabilistic representations of solutions to NSEs and exploiting ideas of the weak sense numerical integration of stochastic differential equations. Despite their probabilistic nature, the layer methods are nevertheless deterministic.
In this paper we generalize the martingale of Kella and Whitt to the setting of Lévy-type processes and show that the (local) martingales obtained are in fact square-integrable martingales which upon dividing by the time index converge to zero almost surely and in L2. The reflected Lévy-type process is considered as an example.
Spot prices in energy markets exhibit special features, such as price spikes, mean reversion, stochastic volatility, inverse leverage effect, and dependencies between the commodities. In this paper a multivariate stochastic volatility model is introduced which captures these features. The second-order structure and stationarity of the model are analyzed in detail. A simulation method for Monte Carlo generation of price paths is introduced and a numerical example is presented.
In Benth and Vos (2013) we introduced a multivariate spot price model with stochastic volatility for energy markets which captures characteristic features, such as price spikes, mean reversion, stochastic volatility, and inverse leverage effect as well as dependencies between commodities. In this paper we derive the forward price dynamics based on our multivariate spot price model, providing a very flexible structure for the forward curves, including contango, backwardation, and hump shape. Moreover, a Fourier transform-based method to price options on the forward is described.
Conditional distributions for affine Markov processes are at the core of present (defaultable) bond pricing. There is, however, evidence that Markov processes may not be realistic models for short rates. Fractional Brownian motion (FBM) can be introduced by an integral representation with respect to standard Brownian motion. Using a simple prediction formula for the conditional expectation of an FBM and its Gaussianity, we derive the conditional distributions of FBM and related processes. We derive conditional distributions for fractional analogies of prominent affine processes, including important examples like fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck or fractional Cox–Ingersoll–Ross processes. As an application, we propose a fractional Vasicek bond market model and compare prices of zero-coupon bonds to those achieved in the classical Vasicek model.
We consider the question of an optimal transaction between two investors to minimize their risks. We define a dynamic entropic risk measure using backward stochastic differential equations related to a continuous-time single jump process. The inf-convolution of dynamic entropic risk measures is a key transformation in solving the optimization problem.
Many prominent continuous-time stochastic volatility models exhibit certain functional relationships between price jumps and volatility jumps. We show that stochastic volatility models like the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck and other continuous-time CARMA models as well as continuous-time GARCH and EGARCH models all exhibit such functional relations. We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of certain functionals of price and volatility processes for discrete observations of the price process on a grid, which are relevant for estimation and testing problems.
We study mean-variance hedging under portfolio constraints in a general semimartingale model. The constraints are formulated via predictable correspondences, meaning that the trading strategy is restricted to lie in a closed convex set which may depend on the state and time in a predictable way. To obtain the existence of a solution, we first establish the closedness in L2 of the space of all gains from trade (i.e. the terminal values of stochastic integrals with respect to the price process of the underlying assets). This is a first main contribution which enables us to tackle the problem in a systematic and unified way. In addition, using the closedness allows us to explain and generalise in a systematic way the convex duality results obtained previously by other authors via ad-hoc methods in specific frameworks.
In this paper we consider the optimal dividend strategy under the diffusion model with regime switching. In contrast to the classical risk theory, the dividends can only be paid at the arrival times of a Poisson process. By solving an auxiliary optimal problem we show that the optimal strategy is the modulated barrier strategy. The value function can be obtained by iteration or by solving the system of differential equations. We also provide a numerical example to illustrate the effects of the restriction on the timing of the payment of dividends.
Nearly fifty years after the introduction of skew Brownian motion by Itô and McKean (1963), the first passage time distribution remains unknown. In this paper we first generalize results of Pitman and Yor (2011) and Csáki and Hu (2004) to derive formulae for the distribution of ranked excursion heights of skew Brownian motion, and then use these results to derive the first passage time distribution.
We extend Goldie's (1991) implicit renewal theorem to enable the analysis of recursions on weighted branching trees. We illustrate the developed method by deriving the power-tail asymptotics of the distributions of the solutions R to and similar recursions, where (Q, N, C1, C2,…) is a nonnegative random vector with N ∈ {0, 1, 2, 3,…} ∪ {∞}, and are independent and identically distributed copies of R, independent of (Q, N, C1, C2,…); here ‘∨’ denotes the maximum operator.
We perform an almost sure linear stability analysis of the θ-Maruyama method, selecting as our test equation a two-dimensional system of Itô differential equations with diagonal drift coefficient and two independent stochastic perturbations which capture the stabilising and destabilising roles of feedback geometry in the almost sure asymptotic stability of the equilibrium solution. For small values of the constant step-size parameter, we derive close-to-sharp conditions for the almost sure asymptotic stability and instability of the equilibrium solution of the discretisation that match those of the original test system. Our investigation demonstrates the use of a discrete form of the Itô formula in the context of an almost sure linear stability analysis.
Continuous-time discrete-state random Markov chains generated by a random linear differential equation with a random tridiagonal matrix are shown to have a random attractor consisting of singleton subsets, essentially a random path, in the simplex of probability vectors. The proof uses comparison theorems for Carathéodory random differential equations and the fact that the linear cocycle generated by the Markov chain is a uniformly contractive mapping of the positive cone into itself with respect to the Hilbert projective metric. It does not involve probabilistic properties of the sample path and is thus equally valid in the nonautonomous deterministic context of Markov chains with, say, periodically varying transition probabilities, in which case the attractor is a periodic path.