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Avocados are a widely consumed fruit and are part of many Latin American cuisines and plant-based diets globally. However, producing avocados is water-intensive, and plantations can cause soil erosion and water stress. In Chile, avocados are produced in semiarid zones and require irrigation. They are widely consumed locally but are increasingly exported to meet growing global demand. This causes significant local conflicts over water, especially because of the system of private water rights in Chile. There are many gaps in understanding the complex and interconnected system of avocado production and international markets, especially its impacts on local communities and biodiversity.
Technical Summary.
The popularity of avocados has increased globally in alternative diets, alongside its integral role in Latin American cuisine. In Chile, avocados are grown extensively and intensively in orchards in the dry and Mediterranean climate of Central Chile. Avocado is a water-demanding crop and the severe water crisis in Chile has called attention to the conflicts caused by its water use. As most of the pressure to produce avocado comes from international demand but results in impacts on native ecosystems and local communities, avocado production in Chile is an example of a telecoupled system. Here, we characterize avocado production as a telecoupled social–ecological system in order to identify gaps in knowledge, based on a review of key studies. Research priorities include how to improve water-use efficiency, especially in the context of climate change; the impacts on biodiversity; and the socioeconomic dynamics between local communities, trade, and governance. The analysis is constrained by limited access to data and few interdisciplinary studies on the matter. To reduce the impacts of avocado production and increase its sustainability, there is an urgent need to amplify the interdisciplinary research that emphasizes the interconnections between the social and ecological components in avocado production in Chile.
Social Media Summary.
Global avocado demand fuels local conflicts in Chile due to water stress and social–ecological pressures on communities.
Baltic Sea ice coverage was modelled using a sea-ice thermodynamics and dynamics model coupled with a three-dimensional (3-D) PM3D hydrodynamic model. The validation for 1958–2007 showed the modelled maximum ice extents (MIEs) agree well with observations (r = 0.97) and the ice thickness less so, but satisfactory for most stations (r > 0.8). This enabled the production of cumulative ice thickness (CIT) maps and the determination of the spatial variation in sea-ice extent in the Baltic over the analysed period for four air temperature scenarios with a constant value reduction. This showed the spatial sensitivity of ice cover dynamics to temperature changes and allowed to distinct regions with different impact of change in temperature on CIT. The simulation for temperature of 2°C lower than 1958–2007 was consistent with the reconstruction of MIEs in the entire Baltic Sea for the end of the Little Ice Age (LIA) (1721–1860). For the western Baltic, the compliance was highest for temperature reduced by 3°C and 4°C. This indicates that climatic conditions may have differed between individual regions of the Baltic during the LIA, and the air temperature anomaly in the western Baltic may have been greater than indicated by previous studies
Jellyfish are widely distributed throughout the world’s oceans. However, understanding jellyfish species’ distributions remains poor. Here, we addressed this knowledge gap by applying an approach that uses citizen science observations to inform collection of samples which then undergo molecular analysis. Doing so allowed us to confirm the presence of the jellyfish Cyanea purpurea in the waters of Hong Kong SAR for the first time. Due to morphological overlap in Cyanea species, DNA analysis confirmed specimen identification. Samples were taken from 19 jellyfish individuals for subsequent DNA analysis. Ten samples (53%) were confirmed as C. purpurea, two samples (10%) were identified as Cyanea nozakii, and seven samples (37%) were not able to be identified. The combined application of citizen science and DNA analysis has proven effective in confirming the presence of C. purpurea in Hong Kong waters. This approach of using citizen science observations to inform the collection of samples for subsequent molecular analysis could be transferrable to other similar situations in which identification based solely on morphology is insufficient, potentially enhancing our ability to recognise species occurrence.
Sub-convective wall pressure fluctuations play a critical role in vibroacoustic and noise analyses of vehicle structures as they serve as the primary forcing function. However, measuring these fluctuations is challenging due to their weak pressure magnitudes, typically $10^{-3}{-}10^{-5}$ of convective fluctuations. This study introduces a non-intrusive measurement technique using an array of multi-pore Helmholtz resonator sensors to capture sub-convective fluctuations with high resolution. The array features large-area, spanwise-oriented sensors arranged linearly for optimal sampling. Results provide a continuous streamwise wavenumber–frequency spectrum, resolving sub-convective fluctuations with sufficient range and accuracy. Convergence analysis indicates that long sampling durations, $\mathcal{O}(10^6 \delta ^*/U_\infty )$, $\delta^*$ is the displacement thickness of the boundary layer. $U_\infty$ is the freestream velocity are necessary to capture true sub-convective levels. Comparisons with four existing wall pressure models, which account for sensor area averaging, reveal discrepancies in predicted levels, convection speed relations and convective ridge characteristics. Notably, the measured data align most closely with the Chase (1980, J. Sound Vib., vol.70, pp. 29–67) model at convective peak levels and in the sub-convective domain. However, the observed roll-off at wavenumbers exceeding the convective wavenumber decays more slowly than predicted, giving the convective ridge an asymmetric profile about the convective line. These findings underscore the need for improved wall pressure models that incorporate frequency-dependent convective speed relations, ridge asymmetry, and more accurate sub-convective levels. Further validation using a microphone array from Farabee & Geib (1991) confirms the accuracy of our measurements, which indicate sub-convective pressure levels lower than reported previously.
The chapter explores the social relations of renewable energy and everyday life in the Indian state of Karnataka, focusing on the 2 GW Pavagada solar energy park, said to be the largest in Asia, and on the experience of wind energy at the local level. It analyses these installations in the historical context of national and state-level energy policy, framed by wider developmental dynamics and stratification in the Karnataka locality. We contrast the renewable ‘resource’ with fossil fuel sources and highlight differences between solar and wind power. We discuss the drive to attract renewable investment to the region, along with development finance, in the context of Karnataka’s development trajectory. We interpret the transition to renewable energy in terms of social structures and the extent to which it exacerbates or alleviates pre-existing social divides. There is a strong focus on implications for land, water, livelihood, caste, gender, and environment, including for instance the role, or displacement, of rural landless and lower-caste groups.
The Introduction sets the rationale and parameters for the study. The rationale begins with the growing climate crisis and the urgent necessity to decarbonise energy. It outlines the limits of the current assumption that private sector investment can deliver the required decarbonisation. Public legitimacy for renewables, we argue, has moved to the centre of the energy transition, requiring stronger forms of social ownership over the emerging energy systems. New roles for the state in decarbonising society are highlighted, along with a ‘re-commoning’ agenda and issues of sufficiency. Finally, the book’s focus on investigating and comparing region-level ‘success’ stories is outlined.
We outline the socio-ecological appropriation of ‘nature’s free gifts’ of wind and sun for renewable energy, understood as a process of capture, which opens a new ‘frontier’ in capital-nature relations. We elaborate on the term ‘nature’s free gifts’, originally derived from Marx, and its use in Marxist approaches to ecology and social theory as documented by Saito (2022). Second, we highlight the process of securing a spatial, temporal, and social ‘fix’ for large-scale renewables, to enable accumulation, and as an emerging aspect of rivalry between region-level authorities and developers to reap the rewards of the renewable energy transition. Third, we focus on the social relations of renewable accumulation, encompassing state authorities, corporates, workers, landowners, and communities, engaged in a contest to define models for renewable transition and lay claim to ‘nature’s free gifts’. These three strands are used to develop a conceptual model to interpret the social legitimacy of renewable transition and to guide the comparative analysis.
For Stokes waves in finite depth within the neighbourhood of the Benjamin–Feir stability transition, there are two families of periodic waves, one modulationally unstable and the other stable. In this paper we show that these two families can be joined by a heteroclinic connection, which manifests in the fluid as a travelling front. By shifting the analysis to the setting of Whitham modulation theory, this front is in wavenumber and frequency space. An implication of this jump is that a permanent frequency downshift of the Stokes wave can occur in the absence of viscous effects. This argument, which is built on a sequence of asymptotic expansions of the phase dynamics, is confirmed via energetic arguments, with additional corroboration obtained by numerical simulations of a reduced model based on the Benney–Roskes equation.
The chapter centres on the expansion of wind power and the subsequent ‘solar rush’ in the German ‘energy state’ of Brandenburg, where the energy transition (or Energiewende) has been underway for more than two decades. We follow the unfolding process of renewable energy development and socio-ecological capture, paying particular attention to the changing scale of operations exemplified by a move to larger wind turbines and the current shift to large-scale solar farms. The chapter provides a rich account of the nexus between a well-established renewables sector and other forms of land use, such as leisure, aesthetics, agriculture, or forestry. The conflict between narratives of regional and local development, prompted, defined, and mobilised in the energy transition, is seen as opening new fields of engagement and disputation in the emerging ‘green’ economy.
This paper explores the construction of quadratic Lyapunov functions for establishing the conditional stability of shear flows described by truncated ordinary differential equations, addressing the limitations of traditional methods like the Reynolds–Orr equation and linear stability analysis. The Reynolds–Orr equation, while effective for predicting unconditional stability thresholds in shear flows due to the non-contribution of nonlinear terms, often underestimates critical Reynolds numbers. Linear stability analysis, conversely, can yield impractically high limits due to subcritical transitions. Quadratic Lyapunov functions offer a promising alternative, capable of proving conditional stability, albeit with challenges in their construction. Typically, sum-of-squares programs are employed for this purpose, but these can result in sizable optimisation problems as system complexity increases. This study introduces a novel approach using linear transformations described by matrices to define quadratic Lyapunov functions, validated through nonlinear optimisation techniques. This method proves particularly advantageous for large systems by leveraging analytical gradients in the optimisation process. Two construction methods are proposed: one based on general optimisation of transformation matrix coefficients, and another focusing solely on the system’s linear aspects for more efficient Lyapunov function construction. These approaches are tested on low-order models of subcritical transition and a two-dimensional Poiseuille flow model with degrees of freedom nearing 1000, demonstrating their effectiveness and efficiency compared with sum-of-squares programs.
The chapter tracks the field of renewable energy transition in the three sub-national states where the ethnographic studies are located: Karnataka, Brandenburg, and South Australia. It applies the conceptual model outlined in Chapter 1 to address the full scope of the transition in these regions. The model is used to analytically ‘unbundle’ the dimensions of transition in the three contrasting regions of study, allowing deeper understanding of the relations in play. The chapter focuses on each state in turn, providing historical and contemporary data about renewable energy policy-making and development at the region level in the context of national authorities and global institutions and agencies. We demonstrate the process of renewable ‘capture’ by capital, but also how it is contested and the extent to which it prefigures more democratic social relations and new ‘forms of collective life’.
In time-dependent systems, autoregressive models are frequently employed to investigate the interactions between variables of interest in fields such as climate science, macroeconomics, and neuroscience. Typically, these variables are aggregated from smaller-scale variables into large-scale variables, for instance, representing modes of climate variability in climate science. A key aspect of these models is estimating the long-term effects of external perturbations, once the system stabilizes. Our primary contribution is an explicit formula for quantifying these long-term effects on small-scale variables, which is directly estimable from the model’s linear coefficients and aggregation weights. This improves traditional autoregressive models by providing a localized understanding of the system behavior. We conduct a series of numerical experiments to evaluate the performance of various methods to estimate perturbation effects from data. Our second contribution is the derivation of the asymptotic properties of these estimators under suitable assumptions. These asymptotic properties can be leveraged for uncertainty quantification. In a numerical experiment, we compare the uncertainty ranges of the proposed asymptotic-based approach with four bootstrap-based methods. Finally, we apply our methods to investigate the effects of economic activities on air pollution in Northern Italy, demonstrating their ability to reveal local effects. Our novel approach provides a comprehensive framework for analyzing the impacts of perturbations on both large- and small-scale variables, thereby enhancing our understanding of complex systems. Our research has implications for various disciplines where the study of perturbation effects is crucial for understanding and predicting systems’ behavior.
The passive flight of a thin wing or plate is an archetypal problem in flow–structure interactions at intermediate Reynolds numbers. This seemingly simple aerodynamic system displays an impressive variety of steady and unsteady motions that are familiar from fluttering leaves, tumbling seeds and gliding paper planes. Here, we explore the space of flight behaviours using a nonlinear dynamical model rooted in a quasisteady description of the fluid forces. Efficient characterisation is achieved by identification of the key dimensionless parameters, assessment of the steady equilibrium states and linear analysis of their stability. The structure and organisation of the stable and unstable flight equilibria proves to be complex, and seemingly related factors such as mass and buoyancy-corrected weight play distinct roles in determining the eventual flight patterns. The nonlinear model successfully reproduces previously documented unsteady states such as fluttering and tumbling while also predicting new types of motions, and the linear analysis accurately accounts for the stability of steady states such as gliding and diving. While the conditions for dynamic stability seem to lack tidy formulae that apply universally, we identify relations that hold in certain regimes and which offer mechanistic interpretations. The generality of the model and the richness of its solution space suggest implications for small-scale aerodynamics and related applications in biological and robotic flight.
Wall-resolved large-eddy simulation (LES) of a non-equilibrium turbulent boundary layer (TBL) is performed. The simulations are based on the experiments of Volino (2020a J.Fluid Mech.897, A2), who reported profile measurements at several streamwise stations in a spatially developing zero pressure gradient TBL evolving through a region of favourable pressure gradient (FPG), a zero pressure gradient recovery and subsequently an adverse pressure gradient (APG) region. The pressure gradient quantified by the acceleration parameter $K$ was held constant in each of these three regions. Here, $K = -(\nu /\rho U_e^{3}) {\textrm d}P_e/{\textrm d}x$, where $\nu$ is the kinematic viscosity, $\rho$ is density, $U_e$ is the free stream velocity and ${\textrm d}P_e/{\textrm d}x$ is the streamwise pressure gradient at the edge (denoted by the subscript ‘$e$’) of the TBL. The simulation set-up is carefully designed to mimic the experimental conditions while keeping the computational cost tractable. The computational grid appropriately resolves the increasingly thinning and thickening of the TBL in the FPG and APG regions, respectively. The results are thoroughly compared with the available experimental data at several stations in the domain, showing good agreement. The results show that the computational set-up accurately reproduces the experimental conditions and the results demonstrate the accuracy of LES in predicting the complex flow field of the non-equilibrium TBL. The scaling laws and models proposed in the literature are evaluated and the response of the TBL to non-equilibrium conditions is discussed.
The Conclusions widen the lens to develop a series of substantive recommendations for policymakers, regional, national, and global, who are seeking to strengthen public legitimacy for electricity decarbonisation. It also seeks to draw out implications, in the long haul, for recasting socio-ecological relations under climate change in more democratic directions, to realise its fullest potential for societal transformation, and democratic engagement. As with energy transitions in the past, the current juncture offers manifold (still undreamt-of) possibilities: we argue for a transition regime that allows for such possibilities to be fostered and realised. There is capacity and agency for distributed renewables, for energy transformations and new forms of energy social ownership and democratisation, in other words, for a ‘re-commoning’ of socio-ecological relations.
We investigate the dynamics of circular self-propelled particles in channel flow, modelled as squirmers using a two-dimensional lattice Boltzmann method. The simulations explore a wide range of parameters, including channel Reynolds numbers ($\textit{Re}_c$), squirmer Reynolds numbers ($\textit{Re}_s$) and squirmer-type factors ($\beta$). For a single squirmer, four motion regimes are identified: oscillatory motion confined to one side of the channel, oscillatory crossing of the channel centreline, stabilisation at a lateral equilibrium position with the squirmer tilted and stable upstream swimming near the channel centreline. For two squirmers, interactions produce not only these four corresponding regimes but also three additional ones: continuous collisions with repeated position exchanges, progressive separation and drifting apart and, most notably, the formation of a stable wedge-like conformation (regime D). A key finding is the emergence of regime D, which predominantly occurs for weak pullers ($\beta = 1$) and at moderate to high $\textit{Re}_c$ values. Hydrodynamic interactions align the squirmers with streamline bifurcations near the channel centreline, enabling stability despite transient oscillations. Additionally, the channel blockage ratio critically affects the range of $\textit{Re}_s$ values over which this regime occurs, highlighting the influence of geometric confinement. This study extends the understanding of squirmer dynamics, revealing how hydrodynamic interactions drive collective behaviours. The findings also offer insights into the design of self-propelled particles for biomedical applications and contribute to the theoretical framework for active matter systems. Future work will investigate three-dimensional effects and the stability conditions for spherical squirmers forming stable wedge-like conformations, further generalising these results.
The chapter focuses on South Australia’s Upper Spencer Gulf region in South Australia, which now aspires to 500% renewable energy by 2050. The state has access to world-best onshore wind and solar, with downstream industrial linkages that are now fuelling new spatio-temporal planning horizons. While the state promotes the new energy industry as a ‘green’ industrial economy, ethnographic research reveals mixed outcomes. Local socio-ecological relations are changing favourably for some groups, such as for host landowners and Aboriginal native title holders. Others find themselves left out or further marginalised. Post-construction, renewable energy installations offer few jobs, in localities where unemployment rates are high. Dissatisfaction erupts during the project application processes, where the limits of local demands for meaningful involvement, equitable sharing of benefits, and accountable planning regulation become clear. These, we argue, pose significant threats to the social legitimacy of renewable energy.