Small ball inequalities have been extensively studied in the setting of Gaussian processes and associated Banach or Hilbert spaces. In this paper, we focus on studying small ball probabilities for sums or differences of independent, identically distributed random elements taking values in very general sets. Depending on the setting – abelian or non-abelian groups, or vector spaces, or Banach spaces – we provide a collection of inequalities relating different small ball probabilities that are sharp in many cases of interest. We prove these distribution-free probabilistic inequalities by showing that underlying them are inequalities of extremal combinatorial nature, related among other things to classical packing problems such as the kissing number problem. Applications are given to moment inequalities.

Continuous-time branching processes (CTBPs) are powerful tools in random graph theory, but are not appropriate to describe real-world networks since they produce trees rather than (multi)graphs. In this paper we analyze collapsed branching processes (CBPs), obtained by a collapsing procedure on CTBPs, in order to define multigraphs where vertices have fixed out-degree m≥2. A key example consists of preferential attachment models (PAMs), as well as generalized PAMs where vertices are chosen according to their degree and age. We identify the degree distribution of CBPs, showing that it is closely related to the limiting distribution of the CTBP before collapsing. In particular, this is the first time that CTBPs are used to investigate the degree distribution of PAMs beyond the tree setting.

We continue the analysis of large deviations for randomly connected neural networks used as models of the brain. The originality of the model relies on the fact that the directed impact of one particle onto another depends on the state of both particles, and they have random Gaussian amplitude with mean and variance scaling as the inverse of the network size. Similarly to the spatially extended case (see Cabana and Touboul (2018)), we show that under sufficient regularity assumptions, the empirical measure satisfies a large deviations principle with a good rate function achieving its minimum at a unique probability measure, implying, in particular, its convergence in both averaged and quenched cases, as well as a propagation of a chaos property (in the averaged case only). The class of model we consider notably includes a stochastic version of the Kuramoto model with random connections.

In a series of two papers, we investigate the large deviations and asymptotic behavior of stochastic models of brain neural networks with random interaction coefficients. In this first paper, we take into account the spatial structure of the brain and consider first the presence of interaction delays that depend on the distance between cells and then the Gaussian random interaction amplitude with a mean and variance that depend on the position of the neurons and scale as the inverse of the network size. We show that the empirical measure satisfies a large deviations principle with a good rate function reaching its minimum at a unique spatially extended probability measure. This result implies an averaged convergence of the empirical measure and a propagation of chaos. The limit is characterized through a complex non-Markovian implicit equation in which the network interaction term is replaced by a nonlocal Gaussian process with a mean and covariance that depend on the statistics of the solution over the whole neural field.

We show that for $p\geqslant 1$, the $p$th moment of suprema of linear combinations of independent centered random variables are comparable with the sum of the first moment and the weak $p$th moment provided that $2q$th and $q$th integral moments of these variables are comparable for all $q\geqslant 2$. The latest condition turns out to be necessary in the independent and identically distributed case.

In this paper we study the quasi-stationary behavior of absorbed one-dimensional diffusions. We obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for the exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in total variation, uniformly with respect to the initial distribution. An important tool is provided by one-dimensional strict local martingale diffusions coming down from infinity. We prove, under mild assumptions, that their expectation at any positive time is uniformly bounded with respect to the initial position. We provide several examples and extensions, including the sticky Brownian motion and some one-dimensional processes with jumps.

Let $F$ be a non-discrete non-Archimedean locally compact field and ${\mathcal{O}}_{F}$ the ring of integers in $F$ . The main results of this paper are the classification of ergodic probability measures on the space $\text{Mat}(\mathbb{N},F)$ of infinite matrices with entries in $F$ with respect to the natural action of the group $\text{GL}(\infty ,{\mathcal{O}}_{F})\times \text{GL}(\infty ,{\mathcal{O}}_{F})$ and the classification, for non-dyadic $F$ , of ergodic probability measures on the space $\text{Sym}(\mathbb{N},F)$ of infinite symmetric matrices with respect to the natural action of the group $\text{GL}(\infty ,{\mathcal{O}}_{F})$ .

We consider community detection in degree-corrected stochastic block models. We propose a spectral clustering algorithm based on a suitably normalized adjacency matrix. We show that this algorithm consistently recovers the block membership of all but a vanishing fraction of nodes, in the regime where the lowest degree is of order log(n) or higher. Recovery succeeds even for very heterogeneous degree distributions. The algorithm does not rely on parameters as input. In particular, it does not need to know the number of communities.

We consider a marking procedure of the vertices of a tree where each vertex is marked independently from the others with a probability that depends only on its out-degree. We prove that a critical Galton–Watson tree conditioned on having a large number of marked vertices converges in distribution to the associated size-biased tree. We then apply this result to give the limit in distribution of a critical Galton–Watson tree conditioned on having a large number of protected nodes.

We prove nonuniversality results for first-passage percolation on the configuration model with independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) degrees having infinite variance. We focus on the weight of the optimal path between two uniform vertices. Depending on the properties of the weight distribution, we use an example-based approach and show that rather different behaviours are possible. When the weights are almost surely larger than a constant, the weight and number of edges in the graph grow proportionally to log log n, as for the graph distances. On the other hand, when the continuous-time branching process describing the first-passage percolation exploration through the graph reaches infinitely many vertices in finite time, the weight converges to the sum of two i.i.d. random variables representing the explosion times of the continuous-time processes started from the two sources. This nonuniversality is in sharp contrast to the setting where the degree sequence has a finite variance, Bhamidi et al. (2012).

An urn contains black and red balls. Let Z n be the proportion of black balls at time n and 0≤L<U≤1 random barriers. At each time n, a ball b n is drawn. If b n is black and Z n-1<U, then b n is replaced together with a random number B n of black balls. If b n is red and Z n-1>L, then b n is replaced together with a random number R n of red balls. Otherwise, no additional balls are added, and b n alone is replaced. In this paper we assume that R n =B n . Then, under mild conditions, it is shown that Z n →a.s. Z for some random variable Z, and D n ≔√n(Z n -Z)→𝒩(0,σ2) conditionally almost surely (a.s.), where σ2 is a certain random variance. Almost sure conditional convergence means that ℙ(D n ∈⋅|𝒢n )→w 𝒩(0,σ2) a.s., where ℙ(D n ∈⋅|𝒢n ) is a regular version of the conditional distribution of D n given the past 𝒢n . Thus, in particular, one obtains D n →𝒩(0,σ2) stably. It is also shown that L<Z<U a.s. and Z has nonatomic distribution.

We consider a model of N interacting two-colour Friedman urns. The interaction model considered is such that the reinforcement of each urn depends on the fraction of balls of a particular colour in that urn as well as the overall fraction of balls of that colour in all the urns combined together. We show that the urns synchronize almost surely and that the fraction of balls of each colour converges to the deterministic limit of one-half, which matches with the limit known for a single Friedman urn. Furthermore, we use the notion of stable convergence to obtain limit theorems for fluctuations around the synchronization limit.

We consider a time varying analogue of the Erdős–Rényi graph and study the topological variations of its associated clique complex. The dynamics of the graph are stationary and are determined by the edges, which evolve independently as continuous-time Markov chains. Our main result is that when the edge inclusion probability is of the form p=nα, where n is the number of vertices and α∈(-1/k, -1/(k + 1)), then the process of the normalised kth Betti number of these dynamic clique complexes converges weakly to the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process as n→∞.

We consider a variant of the randomly reinforced urn where more balls can be simultaneously drawn out and balls of different colors can be simultaneously added. More precisely, at each time-step, the conditional distribution of the number of extracted balls of a certain color, given the past, is assumed to be hypergeometric. We prove some central limit theorems in the sense of stable convergence and of almost sure conditional convergence, which are stronger than convergence in distribution. The proven results provide asymptotic confidence intervals for the limit proportion, whose distribution is generally unknown. Moreover, we also consider the case of more urns subjected to some random common factors.

Let $G$ be a finite group acting transitively on a set $\unicode[STIX]{x1D6FA}$ . We study what it means for this action to be quasirandom, thereby generalizing Gowers’ study of quasirandomness in groups. We connect this notion of quasirandomness to an upper bound for the convolution of functions associated with the action of $G$ on $\unicode[STIX]{x1D6FA}$ . This convolution bound allows us to give sufficient conditions such that sets $S\subseteq G$ and $\unicode[STIX]{x1D6E5}_{1},\unicode[STIX]{x1D6E5}_{2}\subseteq \unicode[STIX]{x1D6FA}$ contain elements $s\in S,\unicode[STIX]{x1D714}_{1}\in \unicode[STIX]{x1D6E5}_{1},\unicode[STIX]{x1D714}_{2}\in \unicode[STIX]{x1D6E5}_{2}$ such that $s(\unicode[STIX]{x1D714}_{1})=\unicode[STIX]{x1D714}_{2}$ . Other consequences include an analogue of ‘the Gowers trick’ of Nikolov and Pyber for general group actions, a sum-product type theorem for large subsets of a finite field, as well as applications to expanders and to the study of the diameter and width of a finite simple group.

In their recent paper Velleman and Warrington (2013) analyzed the expected values of some of the parameters in a memory game; namely, the length of the game, the waiting time for the first match, and the number of lucky moves. In this paper we continue this direction of investigation and obtain the limiting distributions of those parameters. More specifically, we prove that when suitably normalized, these quantities converge in distribution to a normal, Rayleigh, and Poisson random variable, respectively. We also make a connection between the memory game and one of the models of preferential attachment graphs. In particular, as a by-product of our methods, we obtain the joint asymptotic normality of the degree counts in the preferential attachment graphs. Furthermore, we obtain simpler proofs (although without rate of convergence) of some of the results of Peköz et al. (2014) on the joint limiting distributions of the degrees of the first few vertices in preferential attachment graphs. In order to prove that the length of the game is asymptotically normal, our main technical tool is a limit result for the joint distribution of the number of balls in a multitype generalized Pólya urn model.

In this paper we consider linear functions constructed on two different weighted branching processes and provide explicit bounds for their Kantorovich–Rubinstein distance in terms of couplings of their corresponding generic branching vectors. Motivated by applications to the analysis of random graphs, we also consider a variation of the weighted branching process where the generic branching vector has a different dependence structure from the usual one. By applying the bounds to sequences of weighted branching processes, we derive sufficient conditions for the convergence in the Kantorovich–Rubinstein distance of linear functions. We focus on the case where the limits are endogenous fixed points of suitable smoothing transformations.

Density dependent Markov population processes in large populations of size N were shown by Kurtz (1970), (1971) to be well approximated over finite time intervals by the solution of the differential equations that describe their average drift, and to exhibit stochastic fluctuations about this deterministic solution on the scale √N that can be approximated by a diffusion process. Here, motivated by an example from evolutionary biology, we are concerned with describing how such a process leaves an absorbing boundary. Initially, one or more of the populations is of size much smaller than N, and the length of time taken until all populations have sizes comparable to N then becomes infinite as N → ∞. Under suitable assumptions, we show that in the early stages of development, up to the time when all populations have sizes at least N1-α for 1/3 < α < 1, the process can be accurately approximated in total variation by a Markov branching process. Thereafter, it is well approximated by the deterministic solution starting from the original initial point, but with a random time delay. Analogous behaviour is also established for a Markov process approaching an equilibrium on a boundary, where one or more of the populations become extinct.

We study k-divisible partition structures, which are families of random set partitions whose block sizes are divisible by an integer k = 1, 2, …. In this setting, exchangeability corresponds to the usual invariance under relabeling by arbitrary permutations; however, for k > 1, the ordinary deletion maps on partitions no longer preserve divisibility, and so a random deletion procedure is needed to obtain a partition structure. We describe explicit Chinese restaurant-type seating rules for generating families of exchangeable k-divisible partitions that are consistent under random deletion. We further introduce the notion of Markovian partition structures, which are ensembles of exchangeable Markov chains on k-divisible partitions that are consistent under a random process of Markovian deletion. The Markov chains we study are reversible and refine the class of Markov chains introduced in Crane (2011).

We consider ‘unconstrained’ random k-XORSAT, which is a uniformly random system of m linear non-homogeneous equations in $\mathbb{F}$2 over n variables, each equation containing k ⩾ 3 variables, and also consider a ‘constrained’ model where every variable appears in at least two equations. Dubois and Mandler proved that m/n = 1 is a sharp threshold for satisfiability of constrained 3-XORSAT, and analysed the 2-core of a random 3-uniform hypergraph to extend this result to find the threshold for unconstrained 3-XORSAT.

We show that m/n = 1 remains a sharp threshold for satisfiability of constrained k-XORSAT for every k ⩾ 3, and we use standard results on the 2-core of a random k-uniform hypergraph to extend this result to find the threshold for unconstrained k-XORSAT. For constrained k-XORSAT we narrow the phase transition window, showing that m − n → −∞ implies almost-sure satisfiability, while m − n → +∞ implies almost-sure unsatisfiability.