During the discussion of relevance feedback in Section 9.1.2, we observed that if we have some known relevant and nonrelevant documents, then we can straightforwardly start to estimate the probability of a term t appearing in a relevant document P(t|R = 1), and that this could be the basis of a classifier that decides whether documents are relevant or not. In this chapter, we more systematically introduce this probabilistic approach to information retrieval (IR), which provides a different formal basis for a retrieval model and results in different techniques for setting term weights.
Users start with information needs, which they translate into query representations. Similarly, there are documents, which are converted into document representations (the latter differing at least by how text is tokenized, but perhaps containing fundamentally less information, as when a nonpositional index is used). Based on these two representations, a system tries to determine how well documents satisfy information needs. In the Boolean or vector space models of IR, matching is done in a formally defined but semantically imprecise calculus of index terms. Given only a query, an IR system has an uncertain understanding of the information need. Given the query and document representations, a system has an uncertain guess of whether a document has content relevant to the information need. Probability theory provides a principled foundation for such reasoning under uncertainty.
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