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The superlinear scaling relationship between the hydrodynamic dispersion coefficient and the Péclet number in porous media has been widely acknowledged. Nevertheless, the mechanisms driving this behaviour remain inadequately understood. In this work, we investigate the mechanism responsible for this superlinear scaling using a Lagrangian framework that combines a statistical model, which links the global probability density function of tracer transition time to flow variability in porous media, with a continuous time random walk framework. Our analysis reveals that the intra-pore and inter-pore flow variabilities are the primary sources responsible for the superlinear scaling, with their relative significance characterised by a structure-specific parameter, $\chi$. Specifically, the inter-pore flow variability dominates when $\chi \gt 1$, while the intra-pore variability prevails for $0\lt \chi \lt 1$. The parameter $\chi$ is derived exclusively from the statistical distributions of pore-throat radius, length and orientation angle, which can be readily obtained from structural characterisation techniques such as X-ray computed tomography imaging. These theoretical predictions are validated through extensive numerical simulations on tube networks with substantial structural variation. This study resolves discrepancies in previous studies regarding the mechanisms of superlinear scaling in hydrodynamic dispersion and offers valuable insights into modulate dispersion and mixing in porous media.
This study analyses the dynamics of Southeast-1 and Southeast-2 glaciers on Devon Ice Cap (1959–2024) using multiple remote sensing datasets. Sharing a common tidewater terminus, the glaciers experienced two dynamic instabilities: an 8–9-year surge in the 1970s–80s advancing the terminus by up to ∼5 km and reaching velocities of >3000 m a−1, and a multiannual acceleration of Southeast-2 beginning in the mid-2000s, suggesting the start of a new surge within that basin. This instability progressed through stepwise increments each summer and propagated up-glacier, reaching velocities over an order of magnitude above quiescent levels. In 2020–23, Southeast-2 showed dynamic thickening of ∼1–5 m a−1 within the lower ∼7.5 km and thinning in the upper trunk (∼7.5–17 km from the terminus) of <−1 m a−1, indicating down-glacier mass transfer. Long-term terminus thinning and retreat increased surface slopes and driving stress, preconditioning the glacier for instability. Seasonal velocity patterns, crevasse expansion, strain rate evolution, and modelled runoff support a hydro-thermodynamic feedback, where meltwater increasingly accesses the bed and enhances basal motion. Southeast-1 remains quiescent but may destabilise similarly to the previous surge. The short surge cycle of Southeast-2 allows the first determination of a complete quiescent phase duration (∼36–37 years) in this region.
Radiocarbon dates have become a cornerstone in archaeological reconstructions of past population dynamics. The increasing reliance on large-scale radiocarbon databases, usually aggregated from diverse sources, however, raises persistent concerns about sampling bias, especially heterogeneous sampling intensity across sites. In this paper, we introduce a rescaling method that adjusts the frequency of dates in radiocarbon datasets in proportion to dwelling counts at the settlement level, using weighting and bootstrap resampling. Through a series of simulations, we show that this approach consistently yields probability distributions that more closely reflect hypothetical population trends, particularly in contexts with high inter-settlement variability in sampling intensity. We apply our method to archaeological data from two areas in Korea, the Yeongsan and Geum River Basins, during the Proto–Three Kingdoms (1C BC–AD 3C) and Three Kingdoms Periods (AD 4–7C). Results demonstrate that rescaled datasets offer significantly different interpretations of population organization and reconfiguration than those derived from original data. This study highlights the importance of addressing sampling heterogeneity in local-scale demographic research and suggests that rescaling is a valuable complement to existing bias-correction strategies in archaeological studies of demography.
Addressing environmental problems like climate change urgently requires the acceleration of sustainability transitions. This Intelligence Briefing explains why this is starting to happen for technical innovations like renewable energy technologies and electric vehicles. Drawing on socio-technical transitions theory, it discusses five acceleration mechanisms that reduce cost, improve performance, change actor orientations, mobilise finance, and increase socio-political support. While not denying their potential relevance, the Briefing also shows that these acceleration mechanisms are not (yet) being activated for social innovations and deep lifestyle change. The Briefing, therefore, also criticises wishful thinking tendencies in some sustainability transformation research strands.
Technical summary
Sustainability transitions should accelerate to address environmental problems like climate change and biodiversity loss. This Intelligence Briefing aims to explain the empirical phenomenon that rapid transitions are starting to happen with regard to several low-carbon technologies (like solar-PV, wind, and electric vehicles), but not with regard to transformative social innovations or lifestyle changes. It identifies and discusses five reasons that help explain this difference: increasing-returns-to-adoption mechanisms; socio-technical feedbacks between technology, actors, and institutions; financial reorientation; issue linkage to wider political goals; and societal acceptance. It further suggests that technical innovations can act as a flywheel or catalyst for subsequent social innovations. And it makes critical comparisons between the socio-technical transitions literature and some approaches in the transformations literature, finding the former more theoretically developed, empirically validated, and policy relevant than the latter for the topic of acceleration.
Social media summary
Low-carbon technologies are starting to accelerate sustainability transitions, while purely social innovations linger.
I present a new set of new rules for Crystal Chemistry that greatly increases our understanding of the factors affecting the stereochemistry of mineral and inorganic crystal structures.
The electric field in a crystal is a vector field; bond strengths from cations to anions are positive and bond strengths from anions to cations are negative. The incident bond strengths at all ion sites must equal the formal charges at those sites. Bond strengths along non-degenerate paths between symmetrically equivalent ions in the structure must sum to zero. This leads to rule 1: the a priori bond-strength rule: “A priori bond-strengths may be calculated for all bonds in a structure by constructing a bond-strength table that includes all bond-strengths as unknown variables. The corresponding charge-conservation matrix can be solved for all the unknown bond-strengths”. The resultant bond strengths depend only on the formal charges of the constituent ions and the bond topology of the structure. However, they correlate strongly with bond lengths.
Ion radii derived from experimental bond lengths do not represent the radii of ions in crystals as we cannot objectively divide bond lengths into the radii of the constituent ions. This leads to rule 2, the ion-radius rule: “Ratios of ion radii have no physical meaning whereas sums of ion radii can be used in crystal chemistry (e.g. correlating site occupancies with observed mean bond lengths).”
The characteristic Lewis acidity of a cation is defined as its characteristic bond strength, which is equal to its charge/characteristic-coordination-number. The characteristic Lewis basicity of an anion is defined as the characteristic strength of the bonds formed by the anion. This leads to rule 3, the bond-strength-matching rule: “Stable structures will form where the Lewis acidity of the cation closely matches the Lewis basicity of the anion.” Cation and anion coordination numbers adjust to optimize matching of Lewis acidities and Lewis basicities.
The grazing of livestock on arid and hyper-arid rangelands is the dominant land use across much of the Arabian Peninsula, and is a human activity of large historical, cultural, and economical importance. In this perspective, we outline the historical trajectory of pastoralism in the Arabian Peninsula, examine its transformation over the past century, and propose a framework for sustaining this practice amid contemporary environmental and social pressures. Our context is the seven countries that make up the Peninsula, but with an emphasis on the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, given its size and geopolitical influence. A substantial part of Arabian rangelands is severely degraded due to overgrazing by goats, sheep and camels. This degradation has been accompanied by declines in customary pastoral and social practices such as al hima, which allowed rangelands to be grazed and managed sustainability for more than a thousand years. Major transformation in current pastoral practices is needed to ensure that Arabian rangelands continue to sustain people and ecosystems into the next century. An important need is to build capacity and capability in organisations and individuals charged with managing rangelands. This requires the establishment of programmes that include, but are not limited to, a greater investment in the science and management of pastoralism, including the need to develop and promote systems to monitor environmental change under different grazing practices. Rangeland management and conservation programmes should also aim to incorporate elements of traditional pastoral systems such as al hima, managed by local herders, to promote a more sustainable utilisation of rangeland resources. Together, it is hoped that these actions will create a core group of local scientists working on local solutions, with a reduced reliance on international experts. Finally, we advocate for a greater strengthening of communal governance of rangeland resources. This should include greater support for pastoral groups to ensure that land management is socially grounded, and co-investment in conservation and pastoralism. By linking science, tradition, and local empowerment, the Arabian Peninsula has the potential to lead a new era of sustainable pastoralism in the world’s arid and hyper-arid rangelands.
Sinking marine snow particles, composed primarily of organic matter, control the global export of photosynthetically fixed carbon from the ocean surface to depth. The fate of sedimenting particles is partly regulated by their encounters with suspended objects, which leads to mass accretion and potentially alters their buoyancy, and with bacteria that can colonise the particles and degrade them. Their collision rates are typically calculated using two types of models focusing either on direct (ballistic) interception with a finite interaction range, or advective-diffusive capture with zero interaction range. Yet, since many relevant marine encounter scenarios span across both regimes, quantifying such encounters remains challenging because the two models yield asymptotically different predictions at high Péclet numbers. We reconcile the two approaches by quantifying encounters in the general case using theoretical analysis and simulations. By solving the advection-diffusion equation in Stokes flow around a sphere to model mass transfer to a sinking particle by finite-sized objects, we determine a new formula for the Sherwood number as a function of the Péclet number and the ratio of particle sizes. Contrary to the common assumption, we find that diffusion still plays a significant role in generating encounters even at high Péclet numbers. We predict that at Péclet numbers as high as 106 the direct interception model underestimates the encounter rate by up to two orders of magnitude. This overlooked contribution of diffusion to encounters suggests that processes affecting the fate of marine snow may proceed at a rate much higher than previously thought.
The Lilliput Effect, wherein assemblages decrease in mean individual body size after mass extinctions, has not been documented at a wide geographic scale in any of the Late Devonian mass extinction pulses in invertebrate taxa. Based on a dataset of 800 scolecodonts (polychaete jaw elements) from the literature, museum collections, and newly presented data from the Appalachian Basin, we find that scolecodont size distribution per temporal bin decreases across the Frasnian/Famennian Kellwasser Events from a median length of 500 μm before the Kellwasser Events to a median length of 196 μm during the Kellwasser Events. The majority of the small scolecodonts documented during the extinction interval are newly measured specimens from the Kellwasser Events of the Appalachian Basin, although this size change is not unique to the Appalachian Basin. We interpret the reduction in body size as a hypoxia-driven occurrence of the Lilliput Effect because of the susceptibility of benthic invertebrates to hypoxia and the association of this extinction event with hypoxia. While previous studies have shown that polychaete community biomass decreases in response to oxygen stress, our study provides fossil evidence of individual size reduction, plausibly due to oxygen stress.
Bubble dynamics constitutes a fundamental scientific problem in fluid mechanics. Although the oscillation can be predicted through theories for bubble dynamics in previous studies, the viscous effects on the bubble migration remains difficult to predict accurately. In this study, we establish a theoretical model for bubble migration across the entire cycle. The theoretical model derives a drag coefficient expression under dynamic Reynolds numbers, and incorporates corrections to account for non-spherical bubble dynamics. A key advance is the capability to account for viscous drag without relying on constant empirical drag coefficients. Validation against experimental results demonstrates that the theoretical model effectively predicts the bubble migration. Furthermore, we discuss the correlation between drag coefficient and Reynolds number, and elucidate the effects of viscous domain range and bubble deformation on the drag coefficient of the present model.
Linear and weakly nonlinear stability analyses are carried out to understand the influence of anisotropic slip on the instability and transition characteristics of pressure-driven parallel flow in the fluid overlying a porous medium. The slip is induced on the upper plate dominating in the streamwise direction. The investigation is made by imposing Navier slip on the classical model considered by Aleria et al. (SIAM J. App. Math., vol. 84, 2024, pp. 433–463). For finite-amplitude disturbances, a weakly nonlinear stability analysis based on the cubic-Landau theory is exploited. The bifurcation phenomena are investigated as a function of slip length at the critical instability point (CIP) and as a function of Reynolds number away from the CIP. The linear stability analysis shows that Squire’s theorem does not hold for anisotropic slip, and the mode of instability along the neutral curve is sensitive to slip length. Along the instability boundary, slip stabilises (destabilises) the porous mode (odd-fluid mode), whereas in the even-fluid mode, slip can have either a stabilising or destabilising effect. When the porous mode or odd-fluid mode dominates the flow instability, only the supercritical bifurcation exists at and away from the CIP. For each value of the depth ratio, there exists a finite interval of slip parameter in which the three-dimensional disturbances are least stable and the critical mode of instability is the even-fluid mode. Both the subcritical and supercritical bifurcations are possible for the even-fluid mode of instability and the supercritical bifurcation at the CIP always shifts to a subcritical bifurcation away from the CIP. The nonlinear kinetic energy analysis reveals that modifications in energy due to gradient production and viscous dissipation are mainly responsible for inducing the subcritical instability. The role of spanwise slip, Darcy number, porosity and Beavers–Joseph coefficient is also investigated. The results demonstrates a stabilising (destabilising) impact of spanwise slip (porosity and Beavers–Joseph coefficient), and instability as well as bifurcation characteristics is a function of ${\sqrt {\textit{Da}}}/{\hat{d}}$, rather than individual Darcy number ($Da$) and depth ratio ($\hat{d}$). Overall, this study finds a significant relationship among the critical modes of instability, dimension of the least stable disturbances, bifurcation phenomena and skin-friction coefficient. The present results also witness good experimental support for the stability of flow in the fluid overlying a porous medium and slippery flow in a single-fluid layer configuration.
The settling dynamics of fractal aggregates in constant-density environments and through miscible density interfaces are investigated via particle-resolved direct numerical simulations, which provide the settling velocity as a function of the fractal dimension, Galileo number, and particle and fluid densities. In a fluid of uniform density the settling velocity increases with the fractal dimension and the Galileo number. This behaviour is captured by an empirical relationship that holds over a broad range of parameter values. In the presence of a miscible density interface, consistent with earlier observations we observe that lighter fluid is carried into the denser layer by the aggregate’s pore spaces, which we quantify based on the concept of $\alpha$-shapes. This causes the aggregate to slow down, until the lighter pore fluid is replaced by the denser fluid via a combination of diffusion and convection. The degree of the aggregate’s slowdown depends on the ratio of the density differences between the aggregate and the two fluids, and it can again be captured by an empirical relationship. The duration of the slowdown is determined by the pore fluid replacement time, which in turn depends on the relative importance of convection and diffusion, and hence on the aggregate’s geometry. A relationship is derived that captures the dependence of this replacement time on the shape of the aggregate, the ratio of the density differences, and the Galileo number.
Meltwater drainage through glaciers strongly influences ice dynamics and related hazards, yet detailed observations of active englacial and subglacial networks remain scarce due to challenges in direct observation. We present a novel high-density, UAV-based 3D ground-penetrating radar (GPR) survey of Switzerland’s Otemma Glacier, integrated with dye tracing experiments, photogrammetry and hydraulic potential modeling, to map internal water pathways with unprecedented spatial resolution and coverage. Advanced 3D imaging techniques, adapted from seismic diffraction processing, enhance the detection of small-scale conduits within the ice. We identify two primary subglacial channels having distinct hydraulic efficiencies and transport behaviors. Englacial drainage is found to be structurally complex, comprising lateral conduits, branching networks and localized pooling zones. These observations provide critical constraints on the geometry and dynamics of glacier drainage, supporting and extending existing models, and are essential for forecasting glacier behavior under future warming. UAV-based 3D GPR, in combination with novel processing strategies, emerges as an innovative approach for large-scale, repeatable surveys of glacier hydrology.
As Arctic stakeholders navigate a new era of great power competition, this article reflects on the influence that Indigenous Peoples have had on Arctic and international politics through their roles as co-founders of the Arctic Council (AC) system and as Permanent Participants (PPs) within it. Through a constructivist lens, this article highlights the influence the PPs have had on the evolution of the Council’s interests and practices. Based on findings from multiple interviews and an extensive document analysis of the AC’s official Declarations between 1996 and 2021, the article identifies how PP advocacy for the inclusion of Indigenous worldviews, Knowledges, and rights has shaped the AC over time. The article argues that the PPs are a crucial part of the AC’s structure and co-constitute its identity, challenging state-centric understandings of the Council’s existence. It asserts that the PPs’ co-constitution of the AC is what has endowed it with its legitimacy in Arctic and international affairs. However, despite being a core element of what makes the Council what it is, the research findings highlight a variety of challenges and limitations that remain for the PPs. Additionally, the article discusses how the pause of AC work following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine exposed gaps in the recognition and full implementation of the rights and self-determination of Indigenous Peoples.
Miniature vortex generators (MVGs) are a promising passive flow control technique for viscous drag reduction by producing large-scale vortical motions that manipulate turbulence structures in turbulent boundary layers (TBLs) without significant device drag. This study conducts hot-wire anemometry experiments to investigate the influence of the Reynolds number and the ratio of MVG height $h$ to TBL thickness $\delta _0$ (MVG height ratio $h/\delta _0$) on turbulence structures. Experiments encompass two MVG height ratios, $h/\delta _0=0.09,\;0.18$, friction Reynolds numbers ranging from ${\textit{Re}}_\tau =400$ to 2000 and measure the velocity information at various downstream stations. Spectral analysis confirms the MVG-induced vortices amplify large-scale structures in the outer region, sustaining up to 100 times the MVG height downstream. The MVGs are also found to attenuate turbulence energy across a wide range of turbulence structures below the amplification location in the logarithmic region, connected with the MVG-induced spanwise motion. Increasing the friction Reynolds number from ${\textit{Re}}_\tau =400$ to $900$ or doubling the MVG height ratio causes the amplified structures to develop into longer motions and move away from the wall, while increasing the turbulence energy attenuation proportion to the log region. Moreover, the energy attenuation amplitude of large-scale structures in the near-wall region increases with a larger MVG height ratio but decreases with increasing Reynolds numbers. The findings indicate that, at friction Reynolds numbers ${\textit{Re}}_\tau \geqslant 900$, MVGs induce spanwise motions that attenuate near-wall structures and modulate large-scale outer motions. The present configuration does not yield a global viscous drag reduction, but the turbulence modulation trends suggest the potential for viscous drag reduction when the MVG configurations are optimised to enhance favourable buffer-layer spanwise motions.
Entropically driven fluid–solid transitions in monodisperse, purely repulsive hard spheres (MPRHS) are well established in theory, simulation and experiment for atomic and colloidal systems. For MPRHS, however, coexistence is usually located via bulk free-energy calculations; the underlying microscopic balance between configurational and vibrational entropy is left implicit. Frenkel clarified this mechanism explicitly as an exchange of long-range configurational entropy for short-range vibrational entropy, but in the pristine MPRHS limit the nucleation barrier near coexistence is so high that phase separation is predicted only on astronomical time scales. Consistent with this, even unbiased simulations do not show spontaneous, equilibrium fluid–crystal coexistence; transient mixtures are mostly overtaken by a single phase; observed coexistence is still algorithmically driven. Nearly hard-sphere colloid experiments do observe fluid–crystal coexistence, but always in the presence of unavoidable triggers such as gravity and walls. We treat the hard-sphere phase diagram as settled and ask how the entropic exchange mechanism can be revealed in nearly hard-sphere colloidal simulations. We probe the mechanism on finite time scales by introducing minimal perturbations that trigger phase separation: small reductions in hardness that increase locally accessible free volume (and thus gently increase vibrational entropy), and 2 %–4 % distributed crystal seeds. These perturbations produce coexisting fluid and crystal domains with crystal fraction, phase envelope and osmotic pressure that, with systematically increasing particle hardness, approach the hard-sphere limit. These results demonstrate that slight enhancements to vibrational entropy provide a dynamically accessible route to realising the long-range/short-range entropy exchange required for phase separation.
Baltic amber is the best known of all the inclusion-bearing ambers and is often washed up on the shores around the Baltic Sea. The Upper Blue Earth Member of the Prussian Formation is the main source of this amber, although it also occurs in beds above and below. The age of Baltic amber has been a subject of controversy for many years, but it is important to know what its most likely age is when studying the evolution of different animal and plant groups trapped in the amber, particularly taxa used in phylogenetic trees. A review of the different dating techniques confirms that dinoflagellate cyst biostratigraphy is the best method for dating the amber-bearing beds. Here we correlate the published dinocyst species records with the zonation schemes in the Geologic Time Scale 2020 to provide more accurate and up-to-date dating of these beds. The Prussian Formation is late Eocene (Priabonian) in age, 37.7–34 million years old, and the Upper Blue Earth Member is mid-Priabonian, 36–35 million years old. Amber from the Upper Blue Earth is considered to be the same age and, given that it is concentrated towards the base of the member, an age of 36 Ma can be used in phylogenetic trees. Baltic amber of unknown provenance is probably Priabonian in age.
Since the early 1990s, numerous theoretical methods have been proposed to predict Mach stem height in steady supersonic shock reflections by assembling sub-models for local flow structures, including incident/reflected shocks, the triple point, the slipline, and Mach stem curvature. We constructed an updated model and employed it as a benchmark to evaluate the performance of various sub-models corresponding to typical flow regions. The results show that the curved assumption for the free part of the slipline outperforms the straight-line approximation, considering the differences in regions after the reflected shock can improve the predictive accuracy, while using compatibility relations in the interactive part of the slipline is superior to the wave reflection model and better captures the linear slope of Mach stem height with wedge trailing edge height. Nevertheless, prediction errors in the slope and systematic biases in the overall Mach stem height prediction persist. To address these shortcomings, we developed a calibrated scaling law for the coefficient of a linear Mach stem model. Grounded in asymptotic reasoning and high-fidelity numerical simulations, this law yields a compact, easy-to-implement expression that achieves substantially higher accuracy than existing analytical composite models across the full parameter space. It retains well-established limiting cases, clarifies how inadequate sub-modelling degrades prediction accuracy, and provides uncertainty estimates for practical engineering applications.
The behaviour of near-inertial waves (NIWs) in baroclinic currents is investigated, with a focus on wave trapping and critical layer dynamics. We present theoretical analysis, supported by numerical simulations, of the Sawyer–Eliassen equation, which describes waves in the plane perpendicular to an arbitrary balanced background flow. Gradients of the background velocity and buoyancy field modulate the wave properties, in particular defining the range of frequencies for which the Sawyer–Eliassen equation is hyperbolic, i.e. wave-like. Variations in the lower limit of this range, the local minimum frequency, lead to the trapping of low-frequency, typically sub-inertial, waves through either total internal reflection or the formation of critical layers. Both mechanisms are studied. We introduce a local coordinate rotation that not only elucidates these dynamics by simplifying the governing equation, but also allows us, through direct analogy, to draw upon theory and intuition developed for barotropic problems. In the majority of physically relevant cases, the transformed coordinates are aligned with and perpendicular to isopycnals, and are thus easily utilised. Employing the coordinate transformation, we consider along-isopycnal modes, and study the behaviour of waves approaching a critical level without the need for a full ray-tracing approximation. Finally, we find qualitative differences in the critical layers that form in strongly and weakly baroclinic flows, most notably in their location. In the weakly baroclinic case, NIW energy accumulates about the minimum in the relative vorticity of the background flow, whereas in the strongly baroclinic case, we find slantwise critical layers concentrated in fronts.