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We examine the impact of temperature shocks on the saving behaviour of rural households in Ethiopia. Two rounds of survey data and time-series temperature data from Climate Engine/Terra Climate are used for this analysis. We find that the probability of household saving falls following an increase in temperature anomalies, measured by standardized deviations, and this impact is channelled through time and risk preferences. More specifically, temperature shocks increase risk-taking and impatience, both of which are linked to a reduced probability of saving. As a result, preserving long-term welfare requires the promotion of commitment-based saving instruments, including saving mechanisms with automatic deductions at harvest time. Our heterogeneity analysis demonstrates that, compared to their counterparts, poor households’ saving behaviour and those without credit access are more affected by temperature shocks. Therefore, policies aimed at mitigating the adverse effects of climate change on household financial outcomes, such as saving, should prioritize these groups.
This chapter investigates the electoral consequences of broken promises in the context of globalization. Combining large-n observational data with a survey experiment and a in-depth case study of French voters, it demonstrates that voters do punish governing parties for failing to fulfill campaign pledges, and this punishment intensifies in more globalized environments. Contrary to claims that globalization might provide excuses for unfulfilled promises, the findings suggest that globalization amplifies voters’ concerns about competence and follow-through. As ideological differences between parties shrink and governing space contracts, pledge fulfillment becomes a key signal of competence, heightening electoral costs for unkept promises.
This article analyses the implementation of emergency cash transfer policies during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in four decentralized political systems: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, and Spain, focusing on how different institutional capacities shaped policy effectiveness. The study examines key dimensions such as digital infrastructure, intergovernmental coordination, pre-existing social protection systems, and fiscal effort to assess the factors that determined the scope and impact of these policies. The findings suggest that state capacity was crucial in shaping outcomes: while digital infrastructure emerged as a necessary condition for effective implementation, it was not sufficient on its own. Likewise, intergovernmental coordination played a decisive role in federal systems, with cooperative governance models yielding better implementation outcomes. Using a qualitative comparative analysis, the study identifies different pathways to successful policy implementation, highlighting the importance of administrative flexibility and institutional adaptation in crisis contexts. The results contribute to the literature on state capacity and crisis governance, offering insights for designing resilient social protection systems. The first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic functioned as a natural experiment that tested the limits of social policy implementation and catalysed institutional innovations, some of which could have long-term implications for welfare states in Latin America and Southern Europe.
Standard narratives of the emergence and consolidation of the Portuguese overseas empire stress the importance of decisions taken during the successive reigns of Dom João II (1481-95) and his cousin Dom Manuel (1495-1521). In this essay, I propose a different point of departure, namely one that stresses the frequently opportunistic character of Portuguese expansion. The central argument is that the Portuguese were not necessarily masters of the rhythms of their own empire. Their agency was heavily constrained by other historical actors and processes, particularly in the Islamic world, and the opportunities that these either created or closed off. Drawing on a large canvas of the transformation of European geopolitics after the death of Amir Timur in 1405, the emphasis would be on the complex struggle for hegemony in the Sunni inter-state system, especially between the Timurids, Mamluks and Ottomans, but also involving other polities such as the Aqquyunlu, the Muzaffarids (in Gujarat), and the Bahmanids (in the Deccan).
Chapter 1 introduces the core question of the book: how does globalization affect parties’ ability to keep campaign promises and how do they adapt in response? It argues that globalization imposes structural constraints on policymaking that challenge the traditional model of promissory representation, in which parties make pledges and are held accountable for their fulfillment. The chapter presents a theoretical framework linking international economic integration to promise-breaking and outlines the mechanisms through which parties strategically adapt: by modifying the clarity and content of their promises and increasingly using populist or ambiguous rhetoric. It introduces the book’s multimethod approach, combining cross-national pledge data, case studies, and experimental evidence. The chapter also situates the argument in the broader literature on democratic representation, highlighting both the persistence of voter expectations for accountability and the evolving pressures parties face in fulfilling them. This sets the stage for the book’s empirical analyses of how promise-breaking, ideological repositioning, populist framing, and strategic ambiguity reflect broader efforts by political parties to remain electorally competitive while navigating a more constrained and interdependent policy environment.
Chapter 10 examines how ambiguity in campaign promises affects electoral accountability. Building on the previous chapter’s findings that political parties often employ vague language to manage constraints, this chapter evaluates whether such ambiguity allows parties to avoid punishment when pledges are unfulfilled. Drawing on a combination of original survey experiments and cross-national observational data, the analysis shows that voters are generally less likely to punish broken promises when they were made ambiguously. Ambiguity thus serves as a strategic tool that helps parties obscure responsibility and minimize electoral costs, highlighting the trade-off between strategic communication and democratic responsiveness.
The mental lexicon is a repository of all known words and their phonological connections in long-term memory. These connectivity patterns can be visualized through phonological networks, with network metrics (degree and local clustering coefficient) having previously been observed to influence spoken word recognition. However, it remains unclear whether different dialects of a language have distinct phonological networks and whether such differences affect cross-dialect word recognition. This study compared American English (AmE-Net) and Singaporean English (SgE-Net) phonological networks on predicting word detection performance of native speakers of AmE-Net and SgE-Net for words spoken in both dialects. We hypothesized that network metrics from a participant’s dialect would better predict their spoken word recognition in their own dialect. Results were not entirely as expected: The pattern of the interaction effects suggested that the AmE-Net degree was the superior predictor for both participant groups; yet, the SgE-Net degree, but not the AmE-Net degree, was a significant predictor when words were produced by the Singaporean talker. The Singaporean mental lexicon may thus be more influenced by AmE than previously anticipated. Overall, phonological networks remain valuable for modeling dialect differences, though their predictive power may depend on listener familiarity with the dialect.
This article examines how Black communities in New York City and Atlanta responded to the crack epidemic of the 1980s and how their grassroots activism shaped the rise of order-maintenance policing. Although much scholarship attributes the development of order-maintenance policing to top-down neoliberal and conservative forces, we demonstrate that residents—facing daily violence, open-air drug markets, and social collapse—demanded more aggressive enforcement. Drawing on extensive archival research, including municipal records, police files, oral histories, and congressional testimony, this study analyzes the formation of Tactical Narcotics Teams in New York and Operation Red Dog in Atlanta. We find that community activism was both a catalyst for and a constraint on policing strategy. Ultimately, this article complicates dominant accounts of contemporary policing by showing how demands for authority and public order, forged from the ground up, helped pave the way for order-maintenance policing.
This chapter examines how conservative parties strategically adapt their political appeals in response to the constraints imposed by globalization. Confronted with the challenge of reconciling their long-standing commitments to market liberalism with rising voter demands for protection and control, these parties increasingly adopt populist rhetoric to reshape the terms of political competition. Rather than abandoning core economic positions, conservative parties shift their emphasis to anti-elite, nationalist, and antiglobalist themes, recasting political debates around identity, sovereignty, and cultural belonging. These rhetorical strategies allow them to deflect attention from unpopular policy continuities and channel voter discontent away from economic grievances and toward external threats or internal scapegoats. The chapter argues that this populist turn reflects a calculated political adaptation rather than ideological transformation. It highlights how globalization not only reshapes the policy space available to democratic governments but also incentivizes new forms of narrative construction and voter persuasion, particularly among mainstream parties seeking to preserve broad electoral coalitions.
To assess the impact of a pharmacist-led anti-methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) agents’ time-out and identify clinical areas most likely to benefit.
Stewardship pharmacists alerted physicians to reassess intravenous anti-MRSA therapy at 72 hours after its start. Monthly days of therapy per 1,000 patient-days (DOT) were compared between October 2017 to September 2022 and October 2022 to September 2024 after stratification by ward and department. Acceptance rate and therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) tests were also assessed.
Results:
Hospital-wide DOT showed an immediate non-significant decrease (−19.23; 95% confidence interval [CI] −59.17 to 20.72; P = .35) and no significant trend change (+0.82; 95% CI −1.18 to 2.82; P = .42). In emergency medicine, DOT decreased in critical care (slope change −20.3; 95% CI −36.25 to −4.28; P = .01) and general wards (−31.6; 95% CI −61.4 to −1.79; P = .04). In emergency medicine critical care, vancomycin use decreased (level change −406.1; 95% CI −801.3 to −10.9; P = .04) with a reduced trend (slope change −24.5; 95% CI −41.2 to −7.8; P < .001). Acceptance was higher in critical care than in general wards (77.1% [27/35] vs 33.6% [40/119]). TDM tests per 1,000 patient-days decreased (8.47 ± 2.39 to 6.55 ± 1.18; P < .001), with no increase in length of stay or in-hospital mortality.
Conclusions:
Targeting an implementation to areas most likely to benefit from it may improve antimicrobial stewardship when resources are limited. Complementary strategies may be needed if acceptance is poor.
This article offers a new way to think about objects of memory, focusing on how a single item can take on various roles – from a cherished personal keepsake through a commercial product to a powerful political symbol. By examining the ‘Bring Them Home’ dog tags created in response to the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel in 2023, the article explores how these dog tags emerged as expressions of empathy for the hostages and their families, then evolved into a powerful symbol of the current historic moment, and eventually came to reflect diverse political positions on the conflict and even on broader human rights issues. Drawing from media reports, interviews, and visual evidence, the article highlights how these dog tags were worn during local protests, featured in international discussions, dominated the Israeli public space, and were integrated into everyday life, serving as a compact representation of both political identity and protest.
This article discusses cases of phonological abstractness and opacity and shows how they are eminently learnable, given certain assumptions about the innate cognitive endowment that learners bring to acquisition. I argue that opacity is not a learning problem but its solution. I propose that a distinction in patterning between two types of i in Inuit dialects is best explained by positing that surface [i] represents a merger of two underlying vowels. The apparently similar case of /i/ in Uyghur is shown to require a different type of solution. A review of contrasting approaches to prefix selection in Esimbi shows that opacity plays no role in evaluating their relative learnability. Though a celebrated case of opacity in Polish appears to have been misanalysed, an abstract analysis can still be motivated to account for alternations in certain lexemes. Uniting these cases is a preference for phonological analyses over diacritics or suppletion.
Dairy polar lipids have demonstrated anti-inflammatory properties and protective effects on intestinal integrity, potentially mitigating the adverse impacts of weaning in piglets by modulating microbiota composition and intermediary metabolism. This study evaluated a dairy by-product rich in polar lipids on the microbiome and plasma lipid mediators of weaned piglets. A total of 240 male piglets (21 days old; 6.3 ± 0.5 kg) received either a soybean lipid-based diet (SD) or a polar lipid-based diet (PD) from weaning to day 21, followed by a common diet until day 42. Within each diet, animals were provided with one of the three milk replacers (MRs) for the first 7 days: (1) Commercial MR (CO); (2) Polar lipid-based MR (PO); and (3) Soybean lipid-based MR (SO). Fecal and plasma samples were analyzed to assess microbial composition and lipid mediator profiles. Taxonomical distance between diets increased over time, whereas MR type had no effect. The PD diet significantly altered microbiota composition, increasing, for instance, the relative abundance of Firmicutes-belonging genera of the Lachnospiraceae family (Coprococcus, Roseburia), and increasing levels of ethanolamides (e.g., AEA, PEA, SEA, and DPEA). In contrast, the SD diet increased pro-inflammatory lipid mediators (e.g., 13-HODE, 13-KODE) derived from linoleic acid. Polar lipid supplementation in diet, but not in MRs, influenced microbiota diversity and lipid mediator profiles, suggesting a potential long-term impact on immune regulation and metabolism, highlighting their potential to enhance resilience during early-life stress. Future studies should explore these effects under traditional weaning conditions or other stress models.