We introduce the concept of dual Lyapunov exponents, leading to a multiplicative version of the classical Jensen’s formula for one-frequency analytic Schrödinger cocycles. This formula, in particular, gives a new proof and a quantitative version of the fundamentals of Avila’s global theory [3], fully explaining the behavior of complexified Lyapunov exponent through the dynamics of the dual cocycle. The key concepts of (sub/super) critical regimes and acceleration are all explained (in a quantitative way) through the duality approach. In particular, for trigonometric polynomial potentials, we establish partial hyperbolicity of the dual symplectic cocycle and show that the acceleration is equal to half the dimension of its center, this holding also in the appropriate sense for the general analytic case. These results lead to a number of powerful spectral and physics applications.

The locus of nonsimple abelian varieties in the moduli space of principally polarized abelian varieties gives rise to Noether-Lefschetz cycles. We study their intersection theoretic properties using the tautological projection constructed in [4], and show that projection defines a homomorphism when restricted to cycles supported on that locus. Using Hecke correspondences and the pullback by Torelli we prove that $[\mathcal {A}_1 \times \mathcal A_{g-1}]$ is not tautological in the sense of [38] for $g=12$ and $g\geq 16$ even. We also explore the connections between Noether-Lefschetz cycles and the Gromov-Witten theory of a moving elliptic curve.

In this paper, we prove the codimension-one nonlinear asymptotic stability of the extremal Reissner–Nordström family of black holes in the spherically symmetric Einstein–Maxwell-neutral scalar field model, up to and including the event horizon. More precisely, we show that there exists a teleologically defined, codimension-one “submanifold” ${\mathfrak{M}}_{\mathrm{stab}}$ of the moduli space of spherically symmetric characteristic data for the Einstein–Maxwell-scalar field system lying close to the extremal Reissner–Nordström family, such that any data in ${\mathfrak{M}}_{\mathrm{stab}}$ evolve into a solution with the following properties as time goes to infinity: (i) the metric decays to a member of the extremal Reissner–Nordström family uniformly up to the event horizon, (ii) the scalar field decays to zero pointwise and in an appropriate energy norm, (iii) the first translation-invariant ingoing null derivative of the scalar field is approximately constant on the event horizon $\mathcal H^+$, (iv) for “generic” data, the second translation-invariant ingoing null derivative of the scalar field grows linearly along the event horizon. Due to the coupling of the scalar field to the geometry via the Einstein equations, suitable components of the Ricci tensor exhibit nondecay and growth phenomena along the event horizon. Points (i) and (ii) above reflect the “stability” of the extremal Reissner–Nordström family and points (iii) and (iv) verify the presence of the celebrated Aretakis instability [11] for the linear wave equation on extremal Reissner–Nordström black holes in the full nonlinear Einstein–Maxwell-scalar field model.